Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Flamengo arrive in strong form (WWDWW) and are well-fancied to back -3.5 against Independiente del Valle, with our model giving this a 69% probability at odds of 1.44.

World: CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fri, 18th Sep, 2026 Quarter-finals
Flamengo

Flamengo

1st in table

W W D W W
FT
1 - 1
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

W W W W L
31' Djorkaeff Reascos
53' Lucas Paquetá
55' Jorginho
58' Mateo Carabajal
65' Jorginho
80' Erick Pulgar
83' Giorgian de Arrascaeta
90+2' Nicolas De la Cruz
Prediction: -3.5 (1.44 Odds) Won
3 5 Goals 69% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Flamengo

1.75

1.75 – 0.75

Independiente del Valle

0.75

Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro A. M. Matonte Cabrera

Flamengo

1.38

68% implied

Draw

5.25

18% implied

Independiente del Valle

7.00

14% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Won

-3.5

Odds 1.44 69%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle

52%   Possession   48%

3   Shots on Target   4

0   Pass Accuracy   0

5   Corner Kicks   3

13   Fouls   3

1 3 0
2 1 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

4

Flamengo wins

1

Draws

2

Independiente del Valle wins

2.9

Goals / game

14%

Both scored

57%

Over 2.5

11 Sep 2026
Independiente del Valle
0-2
Flamengo
01 Mar 2023
Flamengo
1-0
Independiente del Valle
22 Feb 2023
Independiente del Valle
1-0
Flamengo
01 Oct 2020
Flamengo
4-0
Independiente del Valle
18 Sep 2020
Independiente del Valle
5-0
Flamengo
27 Feb 2020
Flamengo
3-0
Independiente del Valle
20 Feb 2020
Independiente del Valle
2-2
Flamengo

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Flamengo
6 5 1 0 14:2 12 16
2
Estudiantes L.P.
6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
3
Independiente Medellin
6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
4
Cusco
6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1

Top scorers

CONMEBOL Libertadores
# Player Team Goals
1
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
9
2
C. González
Independiente del Valle
7
3
Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
5
4
F. Fydriszewski
Independiente Medellin
4
5
G. de Arrascaeta
Flamengo
4
6
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
4
7
J. López
Palmeiras
4
8
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
4
9
L. Melgarejo
Libertad Asuncion
4
10
J. Arias
Palmeiras
3

Recent form

Flamengo

7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Gremio 3-1 W
A Vasco DA Gama 1-4 W
H Atletico-MG 3-2 W
A Bahia 0-3 W
A Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 D
H Fluminense 1-0 W
A Santos 2-2 D
H RB Bragantino 2-1 W
H Independiente del Valle 1-1 D
H Corinthians 2-1 W

Independiente del Valle

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Aucas 2-4 W
H Delfin SC 2-0 W
H LDU de Quito 2-0 W
A Delfin SC 0-3 W
H Universidad Catolica 0-0 D
A Macara 1-0 L
H Aucas 2-1 W
A Gualaceo SC 0-2 W
A Flamengo 1-1 D
A Libertad 2-3 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Flamengo

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 0.75

Independiente del Valle

0.75

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

68%
18%
14%
Flamengo Draw Independiente del Valle

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Flamengo Independiente del Valle
52% Recent form 48%
50% Attack 50%
67% Defence 33%
77% Poisson 23%
60% Head-to-head 40%
54% Goals 46%
60% Overall 40%

Double chance : Flamengo or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
5
2
46-60'
2
5
61-75'
5
5
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
3
0
76-90'
2

Side by side

Flamengo Independiente del Valle
8 Played 9
6 Won 6
2 Drawn 1
0 Lost 2
16 Goals for 15
4 Goals against 9
4 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Flamengo

Atletico Paranaense (H) 18 Nov MID
Palmeiras (A) 21 Nov MID
Coritiba (A) 29 Nov MID
Chapecoense-sc (H) 03 Dec MID

Independiente del Valle

Macara (H) 22 Nov MID
Barcelona SC (A) 25 Nov MID
Universidad Catolica (A) 29 Nov MID
Universidad Catolica (A) 02 Dec MID

Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.44 odds).

Flamengo are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Independiente del Valle at 10%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2.9 goals per game, with BTTS in 14% and over 2.5 in 57%.

Double chance : Flamengo or draw

Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle FAQs

What is the best prediction for Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.44 odds).

Who will win Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?

Model lean: Flamengo 45%, draw 45%, Independiente del Valle 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 14% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.9 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 57% of the time.

When is Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?

Friday, 18th September 2026 at 00:30 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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