Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Independiente del Valle arrive in strong form (LWWWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Flamengo at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, with our model giving this a 69% probability at odds of 1.44.

World: CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fri, 11th Sep, 2026 Quarter-finals
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

L W W W W
FT
0 - 2
Flamengo

Flamengo

1st in table

D W W D W
50' Erick Pulgar
57' Mateo Carabajal
61' Bruno Henrique
75' Léo Pereira
90+2' Edwin Quintero
Prediction: X2 (1.44 Odds) Won
Double Chance 69% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.80

Independiente del Valle

1.75

1.75 – 1.05

Flamengo

1.05

Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito F. Tello

Independiente del Valle

2.70

35% implied

Draw

3.00

31% implied

Flamengo

2.80

34% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Won

+1.5

Odds 1.40 71%
Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.44 69%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo

63%   Possession   37%

3   Shots on Target   2

0   Pass Accuracy   0

10   Corner Kicks   3

10   Fouls   7

0 2 1
1 1 0

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6 games

2

Independiente del Valle wins

1

Draws

3

Flamengo wins

3

Goals / game

17%

Both scored

67%

Over 2.5

01 Mar 2023
Flamengo
1-0
Independiente del Valle
22 Feb 2023
Independiente del Valle
1-0
Flamengo
01 Oct 2020
Flamengo
4-0
Independiente del Valle
18 Sep 2020
Independiente del Valle
5-0
Flamengo
27 Feb 2020
Flamengo
3-0
Independiente del Valle
20 Feb 2020
Independiente del Valle
2-2
Flamengo

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Flamengo
6 5 1 0 14:2 12 16
2
Estudiantes L.P.
6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
3
Independiente Medellin
6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
4
Cusco
6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1

Top scorers

CONMEBOL Libertadores
# Player Team Goals
1
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
9
2
C. González
Independiente del Valle
7
3
Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
5
4
F. Fydriszewski
Independiente Medellin
4
5
G. de Arrascaeta
Flamengo
4
6
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
4
7
J. López
Palmeiras
4
8
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
4
9
L. Melgarejo
Libertad Asuncion
4
10
J. Arias
Palmeiras
3

Recent form

Independiente del Valle

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Aucas 2-4 W
H Delfin SC 2-0 W
H LDU de Quito 2-0 W
A Delfin SC 0-3 W
H Universidad Catolica 0-0 D
A Macara 1-0 L
H Aucas 2-1 W
A Gualaceo SC 0-2 W
A Flamengo 1-1 D
A Libertad 2-3 W

Flamengo

7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Gremio 3-1 W
A Vasco DA Gama 1-4 W
H Atletico-MG 3-2 W
A Bahia 0-3 W
A Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 D
H Fluminense 1-0 W
A Santos 2-2 D
H RB Bragantino 2-1 W
H Independiente del Valle 1-1 D
H Corinthians 2-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.80

Independiente del Valle

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 1.05

Flamengo

1.05

xG

Our tip model

14%
17%
69%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

35%
31%
34%
Independiente del Valle Draw Flamengo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Independiente del Valle Flamengo
52% Recent form 48%
53% Attack 47%
43% Defence 57%
55% Poisson 45%
40% Head-to-head 60%
43% Goals 57%
48% Overall 52%

Double chance : draw or Flamengo

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
5
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
2
5
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
5
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0

Side by side

Independiente del Valle Flamengo
8 Played 7
6 Won 5
1 Drawn 2
1 Lost 0
15 Goals for 14
7 Goals against 4
3 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Independiente del Valle

Macara (H) 22 Nov MID
Barcelona SC (A) 25 Nov MID
Universidad Catolica (A) 29 Nov MID
Universidad Catolica (A) 02 Dec MID

Flamengo

Atletico Paranaense (H) 18 Nov MID
Palmeiras (A) 21 Nov MID
Coritiba (A) 29 Nov MID
Chapecoense-sc (H) 03 Dec MID

Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.44 odds).

Independiente del Valle are rated 14% by our tip model, with the draw at 17% and Flamengo at 69%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 17% and over 2.5 in 67%.

Double chance : draw or Flamengo

Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.44 odds).

Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?

Model lean: Independiente del Valle 14%, draw 17%, Flamengo 69%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 17% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 67% of the time.

When is Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?

Friday, 11th September 2026 at 00:30 UTC , Estadio Banco Guayaquil.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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