Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict
Atletico-MG and Santos enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.95 (51% probability) to edge the CONMEBOL Sudamericana clash.
World: CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Atletico-MG
Santos
Expected Goals (xG)
Total 2.30
Atletico-MG
1.30
1.30 – 1.00
Santos
1.00
Atletico-MG
1.7552% implied
Draw
3.5026% implied
Santos
4.2022% implied
1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)
+1.5
X2
Atletico-MG vs Santos
49% Possession 51%
5 Shots on Target 4
0 Pass Accuracy 0
4 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 10
2
Atletico-MG wins
3
Draws
3
Santos wins
1.8
Goals / game
38%
Both scored
13%
Over 2.5
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
Santos
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Macara
|
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 |
Tigre
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 |
America de Cali
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 |
Alianza Atletico
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| # | Player | Team | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
S. Rodríguez
|
Atletico Torque
|
7 |
| 2 |
Gabriel Barbosa
|
Santos
|
6 |
| 3 |
Adson
|
Vasco DA Gama
|
5 |
| 4 |
Bernard
|
Atletico-MG
|
5 |
| 5 |
R. Contreras
|
Millonarios
|
5 |
| 6 |
C. Garcés
|
Cienciano
|
4 |
| 7 |
M. Merentiel
|
Boca Juniors
|
4 |
| 8 |
T. Cuello
|
Atletico-MG
|
3 |
| 9 |
F. González
|
O'Higgins
|
3 |
| 10 |
A. Hohberg
|
Cienciano
|
3 |
Atletico-MG
1.30
xG
Match
1.30 – 1.00
Santos
1.00
xG
Our tip model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Atletico-MG
Santos
Double chance : draw or Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
(A)
14 Nov
MID
Boca Juniors
(H)
21 Nov
MID
Corinthians
(H)
25 Nov
MID
Vasco DA Gama
(H)
29 Nov
MID
Santos
Coritiba
(A)
18 Nov
MID
Gremio
(H)
24 Nov
MID
Vitoria
(A)
29 Nov
MID
Botafogo
(H)
03 Dec
MID
Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.95 odds).
Atletico-MG are rated 22% by our tip model, with the draw at 27% and Santos at 51%.
In the last 8 meetings they averaged 1.8 goals per game, with BTTS in 38% and over 2.5 in 13%.
Double chance : draw or Santos
Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.95 odds).
Model lean: Atletico-MG 22%, draw 27%, Santos 51%.
Both teams scored in 38% of the last 8 meetings.
Recent H2H averaged 1.8 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 13% of the time.
Wednesday, 16th September 2026 at 22:00 UTC , MRV Arena.
Atletico-MG and Santos enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.95 (51% probability) to edge the CONMEBOL Sudamericana clash.
Teams: Atletico-MG vs Santos
Date: Wed, Sep 16, 2026
Time: 22:00 UTC
Venue: MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte
Check our prediction page now to see the complete Atletico-MG vs Santos prediction, analysis, and odds for today.
Networks:
Trusted football Prediction WebsiteWritten by
Sam M
Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict