Home United vs Adelaide United

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Home United and Adelaide United enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.67 (60% probability) to edge the AFC Cup clash.

World: AFC Cup
Thu, 5th Nov, 2026 Group Stage - 4
Home United

Home United

D W W
FT
5 - 0
Adelaide United

Adelaide United

W W L
5' M. Phaeton
17' B. Wright
41' K. Nakamura
71' I. Fandi
75' M. Phaeton
88' Matthias Phaëton
89' Ethan Alagich
90+3' Ui-young Song
Prediction: 1 (1.67 Odds) Won
Home Win 60% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Home United

1.00

1.00 – 1.50

Adelaide United

1.50

Jalan Besar Stadium, Singapore Sanzhar Zhakypbekov, Kyrgyzstan

Home United

1.67

54% implied

Draw

4.10

22% implied

Adelaide United

3.70

24% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.67 60%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Home United vs Adelaide United

48%   Possession   52%

11   Shots on Target   3

82%   Pass Accuracy   82%

7   Corner Kicks   5

12   Fouls   7

0 1 2
2 1 0

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

1

Home United wins

0

Draws

0

Adelaide United wins

2

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

29 Oct 2026
Adelaide United
0-2
Home United

AFC Cup table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Al Wahda FC
4 3 0 1 8:6 2 9
2
Al Kuwait
4 2 0 2 8:7 1 6
3
Nasaf
4 1 1 2 4:5 -1 4
4
Khalidiya
4 1 1 2 4:6 -2 4

Top scorers

AFC Cup
# Player Team Goals
1
K. Kuku
Al Shorta
4
2
M. Jurina
BG Pathum United
4
3
Malcom
Al-Jazira
4
4
M. Phaëton
Home United
3
5
B. Sekulić
Persib Bandung
3
6
F. Kruspzky
Al Wahda FC
3
7
Tiago Alves
Svay Rieng
3
8
Gleison Moreira
Khalidiya
3
9
Aref Al-Haj
Al Hussein
3
10
M. Dyer
Phnom Penh Crown
3

Recent form

Home United

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Adelaide United 5-0 W
A Balestier Khalsa 0-4 W
A Adelaide United 0-2 W
H Tanjong Pagar 6-0 W
A Albirex Niigata S 0-2 W
A Wofoo Tai Po 0-1 W
H Young Lions 6-1 W
H Công An Nhân Dân 0-1 L
H BG Pathum United 1-1 D
A Hougang United 2-2 D

Adelaide United

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Melbourne Victory 2-2 D
A Home United 5-0 L
A Perth Glory 4-0 L
H Home United 0-2 L
A Sydney 2-1 L
A BG Pathum United 1-2 W
A Perth Glory 1-3 W
A Perth Glory 2-0 L
H Wofoo Tai Po 3-0 W
H Công An Nhân Dân 0-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Home United

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 1.50

Adelaide United

1.50

xG

Our tip model

60%
22%
18%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

54%
22%
24%
Home United Draw Adelaide United

Most likely scores

1:1

11.1%

1:0

10.5%

2:0

10.5%

2:1

10.5%

3:0

7.7%

3:1

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 2.5 goals 67%

Team comparison

Home United Adelaide United
54% Recent form 46%
44% Attack 56%
75% Defence 25%
33% Poisson 67%
100% Head-to-head 0%
100% Goals 0%
52% Overall 49%

Double chance : Home United or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2

Side by side

Home United Adelaide United
3 Played 3
2 Won 2
1 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
4 Goals for 5
1 Goals against 3
2 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Home United

Geylang International (H) 22 Nov MID
BG Pathum United (A) 26 Nov MID
Young Lions (A) 29 Nov MID
Wofoo Tai Po (H) 03 Dec MID

Adelaide United

Western Sydney Wanderers (A) 20 Nov MID
Wofoo Tai Po (A) 26 Nov MID
BG Pathum United (H) 03 Dec MID
Wellington Phoenix (A) 06 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 2.5 1.50
67% implied
Under 2.5 2.50
40% implied
Home/Draw 1.22
82% implied
Home/Away 1.17
85% implied
Draw/Away 1.95
51% implied
1:0 9.50
11% implied
2:0 9.50
11% implied
2:1 9.50
11% implied
3:0 13.00
8% implied
3:1 13.00
8% implied
3:2 23.00
4% implied
4:0 21.00
5% implied
4:1 23.00
4% implied
0:0 17.00
6% implied
1:1 9.00
11% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 17.00
6% implied
0:2 23.00
4% implied
0:3 41.00
2% implied
1:2 15.00
7% implied
1:3 29.00
3% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 67.00
1% implied
1:4 51.00
2% implied
2:4 51.00
2% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
1:5 81.00
1% implied
3:4 81.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Home/Away 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 9.00
11% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 2.62
38% implied
Draw/Home 5.00
20% implied
Away/Home 21.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Away/Away 6.00
17% implied
Home -1.25 2.35
43% implied
Away -1.25 1.58
63% implied
Home -1 2.10
48% implied
Away -1 1.70
59% implied
Home -0.75 1.80
56% implied
Away -0.75 2.00
50% implied
Home -0.5 1.68
60% implied
Away -0.5 2.15
47% implied
Home -0.25 1.52
66% implied
Away -0.25 2.42
41% implied
Home +0 1.35
74% implied
Away +0 3.10
32% implied
Home +0.25 1.30
77% implied
Away +0.25 3.45
29% implied
Home +0.5 1.25
80% implied
Away +0.5 3.80
26% implied
Home +0.75 1.17
85% implied
Away +0.75 5.00
20% implied
Home -2 3.90
26% implied
Away -2 1.24
81% implied
Home +1 1.10
91% implied
Away +1 7.00
14% implied
Home -1.75 3.10
32% implied
Away -1.75 1.35
74% implied
Over 9.5 1.82
55% implied
Under 9.5 1.98
51% implied

Home United vs Adelaide United: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.67 odds).

Home United are rated 60% by our tip model, with the draw at 22% and Adelaide United at 18%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Double chance : Home United or draw

Home United vs Adelaide United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Home United vs Adelaide United?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.67 odds).

Who will win Home United vs Adelaide United?

Model lean: Home United 60%, draw 22%, Adelaide United 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Home United vs Adelaide United?

Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 10:00 UTC , Jalan Besar Stadium.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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