Palermo vs Mantova

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Palermo arrive in strong form (W) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Mantova at Stadio Renzo Barbera, with our model giving this a 85% probability at odds of 1.18.

Italy: Coppa Italia
Thu, 3rd Sep, 2026 Round of 32
Palermo

Palermo

W
FT
5 - 2
Mantova

Mantova

W
9' G. Strefezza
43' Rareș Ilie
45' A. Palumbo
52' F. Ruocco
55' R. Kouda
58' Alessandro Gabrielloni
62' Francesco Ruocco
70' J. Pohjanpalo
89' D. Johnsen
90' J. Pohjanpalo
Prediction: 1X (1.18 Odds) Won
Double Chance 85% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.10

Palermo

1.05

1.05 – 1.05

Mantova

1.05

Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo D. Di Marco

Palermo

1.65

56% implied

Draw

3.90

24% implied

Mantova

4.75

20% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.18 85%
3 5 Goals Lost

-3.5

Odds 1.40 71%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Palermo vs Mantova

43%   Possession   57%

9   Shots on Target   8

0   Pass Accuracy   0

3   Corner Kicks   2

9   Fouls   14

0 1 2
6 2 0

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

1

Palermo wins

3

Draws

0

Mantova wins

2.3

Goals / game

75%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

04 Mar 2026
Palermo
2-1
Mantova
11 Jan 2026
Mantova
1-1
Palermo
16 Feb 2025
Palermo
2-2
Mantova
30 Oct 2024
Mantova
0-0
Palermo

Top scorers

Coppa Italia
# Player Team Goals
1
J. Pohjanpalo
Palermo
3
2
A. Adams
Venezia
2
3
G. Kvernadze
Frosinone
2
4
F. Ruocco
Mantova
2
5
G. Ambrosino
Modena
2
6
S. Lontani
Parma
2
7
Gustavo Varela
Monza
2
8
V. Bayo
Udinese
2
9
D. Johnsen
Palermo
1
10
T. Berti
Cremonese
1

Recent form

Palermo

7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Ascoli 1-1 D
H Vicenza Virtus 3-1 W
A Pisa 3-3 D
H Carrarese 2-1 W
A Mantova 0-2 W
A Empoli 2-4 W
H Padova 2-1 W
A Avellino 1-1 D
H Sampdoria 3-1 W
H Mantova 5-2 W

Mantova

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Hellas Verona 0-0 D
A Modena 1-1 D
H Cremonese 0-2 L
A Virtus Entella 0-1 W
H Palermo 0-2 L
A Catanzaro 1-3 W
H Pisa 2-2 D
H Sampdoria 2-0 W
A Cesena 1-1 D
A Palermo 5-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.10

Palermo

1.05

xG

Match

1.05 – 1.05

Mantova

1.05

xG

Our tip model

85%
8%
7%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

56%
24%
20%
Palermo Draw Mantova

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Palermo Mantova
50% Recent form 50%
50% Attack 50%
67% Head-to-head 33%
56% Goals 44%
56% Overall 44%

Combo Double chance : Palermo or draw and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Palermo Mantova
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
2 Goals for 2
0 Goals against 0
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Palermo

Catanzaro (A) 21 Nov MID
Sudtirol (H) 24 Nov MID
Benevento (H) 28 Nov MID
Hellas Verona (A) 05 Dec MID

Mantova

Avellino (A) 21 Nov MID
Arezzo (H) 24 Nov MID
Sudtirol (A) 28 Nov MID
Ascoli (H) 05 Dec MID

Palermo vs Mantova: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.18 odds).

Palermo are rated 85% by our tip model, with the draw at 8% and Mantova at 7%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 75% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Combo Double chance : Palermo or draw and +1.5 goals

Palermo vs Mantova FAQs

What is the best prediction for Palermo vs Mantova?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.18 odds).

Who will win Palermo vs Mantova?

Model lean: Palermo 85%, draw 8%, Mantova 7%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 75% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Palermo vs Mantova?

Thursday, 3rd September 2026 at 16:00 UTC , Stadio Renzo Barbera.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links