FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

FC Winterthur and FC Luzern enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 3.50 (29% probability) to edge the Schweizer Cup clash.

Switzerland: Schweizer Cup
Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 Round of 32
FC Winterthur

FC Winterthur

W
FT
0 - 1
FC Luzern

FC Luzern

W
42' A. Ciganiks
58' P. Dorn
67' B. Beyer
74' B. H. Freimann
79' B. Freimann
84' R. Buess
84' M. Di Giusto
90+6' O. Kabwit
90' P. Dorn
Prediction: 1 (3.50 Odds) Lost
Home Win 29% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.60

FC Winterthur

0.05

0.05 – 1.55

FC Luzern

1.55

FC Winterthur

3.50

27% implied

Draw

5.00

19% implied

FC Luzern

1.75

54% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Lost

+2.5

Odds 1.40 71%
Home Win Lost

1

Odds 3.50 29%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

2

FC Winterthur wins

1

Draws

6

FC Luzern wins

4.4

Goals / game

78%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

04 Jul 2026
FC Luzern
3-2
FC Winterthur
16 May 2026
FC Winterthur
0-3
FC Luzern
15 Mar 2026
FC Luzern
1-2
FC Winterthur
29 Nov 2025
FC Luzern
1-3
FC Winterthur
25 Oct 2025
FC Winterthur
2-2
FC Luzern
09 Feb 2025
FC Luzern
3-2
FC Winterthur
11 Jan 2025
FC Winterthur
1-5
FC Luzern
14 Dec 2024
FC Winterthur
3-4
FC Luzern
24 Aug 2024
FC Luzern
3-0
FC Winterthur

Recent form

FC Winterthur

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Étoile Carouge 2-2 D
A FC WIL 1900 0-3 W
H Stade Nyonnais 4-0 W
H FC Luzern 0-1 L
A Neuchatel Xamax FC 3-0 L
H FC Basel 1893 7-3 W
A Seuzach 1-4 W
H FC Aarau 2-1 W
A Étoile Carouge 0-1 W
H Neuchatel Xamax FC 4-0 W

FC Luzern

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H BSC Young Boys 2-3 L
H FC Sion 1-1 D
A FC Zurich 2-1 L
A FC Winterthur 0-1 W
A FC Lugano 4-0 L
A SC Freiburg 4-2 L
H Grasshoppers 5-1 W
H FC Basel 1893 2-4 L
A BSC Young Boys 3-3 D
H FC Vaduz 2-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.60

FC Winterthur

0.05

xG

Match

0.05 – 1.55

FC Luzern

1.55

xG

Our tip model

29%
39%
32%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

27%
19%
54%
FC Winterthur Draw FC Luzern

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

FC Winterthur FC Luzern
50% Recent form 50%
50% Attack 50%
0% Defence 100%
50% Head-to-head 50%
47% Goals 53%
49% Overall 51%

Double chance : draw or FC Luzern

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

FC Winterthur FC Luzern
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
3 Goals for 3
1 Goals against 0
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

FC Winterthur

Yverdon Sport (A) 20 Nov MID
Rapperswil (H) 27 Nov MID
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (A) 05 Dec MID
SC Kriens (H) 12 Dec MID

FC Luzern

FC Basel 1893 (A) 22 Nov MID
FC Lugano (H) 29 Nov MID
FC WIL 1900 (A) 02 Dec MID
FC Thun (A) 05 Dec MID

FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (3.50 odds).

FC Winterthur are rated 29% by our tip model, with the draw at 39% and FC Luzern at 32%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 4.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 78% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Double chance : draw or FC Luzern

FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (3.50 odds).

Who will win FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern?

Model lean: FC Winterthur 29%, draw 39%, FC Luzern 32%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 78% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 4.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern?

Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 16:00 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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