Match Info Summary:
Teams: USA vs Mexico
Date: Sun, Oct 4, 2026
Time: 02:00 UTC
Venue: AT&T Stadium,Arlington
Check our prediction page now to see the complete USA vs Mexico prediction, analysis, and odds for today.
USA vs Mexico Prediction & Preview
USA arrive in strong form (LWLWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Mexico at AT&T Stadium, with our model giving this a 71% probability at odds of 1.40.
Friendlies
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
|
USA
02:00
VS
Mexico
Our Expert Prediction
Tip
X2
Odds
1.40
Probability
71%
Match Odds
Home Win
2.62
Draw
3.60
Away Win
2.30
Match Statistics
USA vs Mexico
49% Possession 51%
4 Shots on Target 1
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Corner Kicks 3
18 Fouls 9
0
2
2
4
1
1
Head to Head History
Previous encounters between USA and Mexico
Sun, Jul 6, 2025
23:00
USA
1 - 2
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Wed, Oct 16, 2024
02:30
Mexico
2 - 0
Friendlies
Mon, Mar 25, 2024
01:15
Mexico
0 - 2
CONCACAF Nations League
Fri, Jun 16, 2023
02:00
USA
3 - 0
CONCACAF Nations League
Thu, Apr 20, 2023
02:00
USA
1 - 1
Friendlies
Fri, Mar 25, 2022
02:00
Mexico
0 - 0
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Sat, Nov 13, 2021
02:10
USA
2 - 0
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Mon, Aug 2, 2021
00:30
USA
1 - 0
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Mon, Jun 7, 2021
01:00
USA
3 - 2
CONCACAF Nations League
Sat, Sep 7, 2019
00:30
USA
0 - 3
Friendlies
USA - Recent Matches
Sun, Oct 4
02:00
USA
3 - 0
Friendlies
Wed, Sep 30
00:00
USA
4 - 2
Friendlies
Sat, Sep 26
20:30
USA
4 - 1
Friendlies
Tue, Jul 7
00:00
USA
1 - 4
World Cup
Thu, Jul 2
00:00
USA
2 - 0
World Cup
Fri, Jun 26
02:00
Türkiye
3 - 2
World Cup
Fri, Jun 19
19:00
USA
2 - 0
World Cup
Sat, Jun 13
01:00
USA
4 - 1
World Cup
Sat, Jun 6
18:30
USA
1 - 2
Friendlies
Sun, May 31
19:30
USA
3 - 2
Friendlies
USA Form Analysis
USA come into this fixture in good form, having won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 7 during that run, averaging 2.8 goals per game. Key contributors in front of goal include M. Tillman (4 goals), J. Hall (3 goals) and S. Berhalter (2 goals). Their most recent outing ended in a victory against Mexico (3–0) in the Friendlies. They are currently on a run of 3 consecutive wins. Their recent momentum makes them a threat going into this fixture.
Mexico - Recent Matches
Sun, Oct 4
02:00
USA
3 - 0
Friendlies
Wed, Sep 30
01:00
Mexico
1 - 1
Friendlies
Sun, Sep 27
01:00
Mexico
1 - 1
Friendlies
Mon, Jul 6
01:00
Mexico
2 - 3
World Cup
Wed, Jul 1
01:00
Mexico
2 - 0
World Cup
Thu, Jun 25
01:00
Czechia
0 - 3
World Cup
Fri, Jun 19
01:00
Mexico
1 - 0
World Cup
Thu, Jun 11
19:00
Mexico
2 - 0
World Cup
Fri, Jun 5
02:00
Mexico
5 - 1
Friendlies
Sun, May 31
02:00
Mexico
1 - 0
Friendlies
Mexico Form Analysis
Mexico arrive in mixed form, with 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across their last 5 fixtures. They have netted 6 goals and let in 8, averaging 1.2 goals per game going forward. Key contributors in front of goal include J. Quinones (2 goals), R. Jimenez (2 goals) and V. Guzman. Most recently, they recorded a defeat against USA (0–3) in the Friendlies. A disciplined display could see them pick up a point or more.