Sarnese vs Paganese

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Sarnese arrive in strong form (WDWWD) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Paganese, with our model giving this a 65% probability at odds of 1.55.

Italy: Serie D - Girone G
Sun, 4th Oct, 2026 Group G - 6
Sarnese

Sarnese

W D W W D
FT
2 - 1
Paganese

Paganese

W W D W L
16' D. Maggio
39' F. Akammadu
48' F. Marquez
Prediction: X2 (1.55 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 65% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.75

Sarnese

2.00

2.00 – 2.75

Paganese

2.75

Sarnese

2.20

41% implied

Draw

3.25

28% implied

Paganese

2.88

31% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 1.55 65%

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5 games

1

Sarnese wins

1

Draws

3

Paganese wins

2

Goals / game

60%

Both scored

40%

Over 2.5

22 Feb 2026
Sarnese
1-1
Paganese
19 Oct 2025
Paganese
2-1
Sarnese
13 Apr 2025
Sarnese
1-0
Paganese
01 Dec 2024
Paganese
1-0
Sarnese
01 Sep 2024
Sarnese
1-2
Paganese

Recent form

Sarnese

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Monastir 2-5 W
H Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-0 W
A Aranova 2-1 L
H Città di Anagni 1-0 W
A Atletico Lodigiani 0-1 W
H Paganese 2-1 W
A Ossese 2-2 D
H Gelbison 3-1 W
A Venafro 0-1 W
A Afragolese 1-1 D

Paganese

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-0 L
H Ossese 1-1 D
A Città di Anagni 2-1 L
A Venafro 1-0 L
H Budoni 3-0 W
A Sarnese 2-1 L
H Gelbison 2-3 L
A Trastevere 1-6 W
H Afragolese 0-0 D
A Latte Dolce 2-3 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.75

Sarnese

2.00

xG

Match

2.00 – 2.75

Paganese

2.75

xG

Our tip model

16%
19%
65%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

41%
28%
31%
Sarnese Draw Paganese

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Sarnese Paganese
52% Recent form 48%
41% Attack 59%
58% Defence 42%
42% Poisson 58%
29% Head-to-head 71%
40% Goals 60%
44% Overall 56%

Combo Double chance : draw or Paganese and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
4
2
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
2

Side by side

Sarnese Paganese
5 Played 5
3 Won 3
2 Drawn 1
0 Lost 1
9 Goals for 13
5 Goals against 7
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Sarnese

Anzio (H) 15 Nov MID
Certosa V. Campagnano (A) 22 Nov MID
Albalonga (H) 29 Nov MID
Latte Dolce (A) 06 Dec MID

Paganese

Atletico Lodigiani (H) 15 Nov MID
Anzio (A) 22 Nov MID
Aranova (H) 29 Nov MID
Monastir (A) 06 Dec MID

Sarnese vs Paganese: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.55 odds).

Sarnese are rated 16% by our tip model, with the draw at 19% and Paganese at 65%.

In the last 5 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 60% and over 2.5 in 40%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Paganese and +1.5 goals

Sarnese vs Paganese FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sarnese vs Paganese?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.55 odds).

Who will win Sarnese vs Paganese?

Model lean: Sarnese 16%, draw 19%, Paganese 65%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 60% of the last 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 40% of the time.

When is Sarnese vs Paganese?

Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 13:30 UTC .

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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