Paganese vs Gelbison

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Paganese vs Gelbison is 1, at odds of 1.75 with a 57% probability rating.

Italy: Serie D - Girone G
Sun, 27th Sep, 2026 Group G - 5
Paganese

Paganese

W W D W
FT
2 - 3
Gelbison

Gelbison

D L W L
5' Normal Goal
28' Normal Goal
54' Normal Goal
67' Normal Goal
83' Normal Goal
Prediction: 1 (1.75 Odds) Lost
Home Win 57% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Paganese

1.75

1.75 – 0.75

Gelbison

0.75

Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani

Paganese

1.75

51% implied

Draw

3.40

26% implied

Gelbison

4.00

22% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Lost

1

Odds 1.75 57%

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

0

Paganese wins

3

Draws

1

Gelbison wins

2.3

Goals / game

75%

Both scored

25%

Over 2.5

06 Apr 2025
Paganese
1-1
Gelbison
24 Nov 2024
Gelbison
1-1
Paganese
03 Mar 2024
Paganese
1-1
Gelbison
28 Oct 2023
Gelbison
3-0
Paganese

Recent form

Paganese

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-0 L
H Ossese 1-1 D
A Città di Anagni 2-1 L
A Venafro 1-0 L
H Budoni 3-0 W
A Sarnese 2-1 L
H Gelbison 2-3 L
A Trastevere 1-6 W
H Afragolese 0-0 D
A Latte Dolce 2-3 W

Gelbison

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Anzio 2-0 L
H Atletico Lodigiani 1-1 D
H Igea Virtus 0-1 L
A Sarrabus Ogliastra 3-0 L
H Ossese 2-1 W
A Città di Anagni 3-1 L
H Venafro 0-1 L
A Paganese 2-3 W
A Sarnese 3-1 L
H Budoni 2-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Paganese

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 0.75

Gelbison

0.75

xG

Our tip model

57%
24%
19%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

51%
26%
22%
Paganese Draw Gelbison

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Paganese Gelbison
71% Recent form 29%
73% Attack 27%
60% Defence 40%
82% Poisson 18%
33% Head-to-head 67%
33% Goals 67%
59% Overall 41%

Winner : Paganese

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
4
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0

Side by side

Paganese Gelbison
4 Played 4
3 Won 1
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 2
11 Goals for 4
4 Goals against 6
1 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Paganese

Atletico Lodigiani (H) 15 Nov MID
Anzio (A) 22 Nov MID
Aranova (H) 29 Nov MID
Monastir (A) 06 Dec MID

Gelbison

Aranova (H) 15 Nov MID
Albalonga (A) 22 Nov MID
Monastir (H) 29 Nov MID
Certosa V. Campagnano (A) 06 Dec MID

Paganese vs Gelbison: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.75 odds).

Paganese are rated 57% by our tip model, with the draw at 24% and Gelbison at 19%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 75% and over 2.5 in 25%.

Winner : Paganese

Paganese vs Gelbison FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paganese vs Gelbison?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.75 odds).

Who will win Paganese vs Gelbison?

Model lean: Paganese 57%, draw 24%, Gelbison 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 75% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 25% of the time.

When is Paganese vs Gelbison?

Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 13:00 UTC , Stadio Marcello Torre.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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