Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone is 1, at odds of 1.95 with a 51% probability rating.

Italy: Serie D - Girone F
Sun, 27th Sep, 2026 Group F - 5
Vigor Senigallia

Vigor Senigallia

5th in table

W W W W
FT
0 - 0
Fossombrone

Fossombrone

6th in table

W L W L
74' Red Card
Prediction: 1 (1.95 Odds) Lost
Home Win 51% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.55

Vigor Senigallia

0.75

0.75 – 0.80

Fossombrone

0.80

Vigor Senigallia

1.95

46% implied

Draw

3.25

28% implied

Fossombrone

3.40

26% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Lost

1

Odds 1.95 51%

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

1

Vigor Senigallia wins

5

Draws

1

Fossombrone wins

2

Goals / game

57%

Both scored

43%

Over 2.5

08 Feb 2026
Vigor Senigallia
0-0
Fossombrone
05 Oct 2025
Fossombrone
1-2
Vigor Senigallia
31 Aug 2025
Fossombrone
0-0
Vigor Senigallia
27 Apr 2025
Vigor Senigallia
2-2
Fossombrone
15 Dec 2024
Fossombrone
2-2
Vigor Senigallia
07 Apr 2024
Vigor Senigallia
1-1
Fossombrone
26 Nov 2023
Fossombrone
1-0
Vigor Senigallia

Serie D - Girone F table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Teramo
11 8 2 1 27:14 13 26
2
L'Aquila
11 7 4 0 21:8 13 25
3
Ancona
11 6 3 2 19:9 10 21
4
Foligno Calcio
11 6 2 3 15:12 3 20
5
Vigor Senigallia
11 6 1 4 20:21 -1 19
6
Fossombrone
11 5 2 4 16:18 -2 17
7
Montecchio Gallo
11 4 4 3 14:11 3 16
8
Notaresco
11 4 4 3 13:11 2 16
9
Real Giulianova
11 5 1 5 14:14 0 16
10
Atletico Ascoli
11 4 3 4 14:12 2 15
11
Termoli Calcio
11 3 4 4 7:8 -1 13
12
Lanciano FC
11 3 3 5 15:18 -3 12
13
Maceratese
11 3 3 5 14:18 -4 12
14
Sporting Trestina
11 3 2 6 8:15 -7 11
15
Recanatese
11 2 3 6 12:17 -5 9
16
Pietralunga
11 2 3 6 6:12 -6 9
17
Santegidiese
11 2 3 6 9:17 -8 9
18
Angelana
11 2 1 8 7:16 -9 7

Recent form

Vigor Senigallia

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Pietralunga 2-1 W
A Foligno Calcio 3-1 L
H Ancona 0-5 L
A Santegidiese 0-2 W
H Atletico Ascoli 1-2 L
A Teramo 6-4 L
H Fossombrone 0-0 D
A Termoli Calcio 1-2 W
A Lanciano FC 1-2 W
H Real Giulianova 1-0 W

Fossombrone

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Santegidiese 4-1 W
A Pietralunga 0-0 D
H Teramo 2-4 L
A Ancona 2-3 W
H Termoli Calcio 1-2 L
A Atletico Ascoli 0-1 W
A Vigor Senigallia 0-0 D
H Lanciano FC 2-4 L
A Sporting Trestina 0-1 W
H L'Aquila 0-4 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.55

Vigor Senigallia

0.75

xG

Match

0.75 – 0.80

Fossombrone

0.80

xG

Our tip model

51%
27%
22%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

46%
28%
26%
Vigor Senigallia Draw Fossombrone

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Vigor Senigallia Fossombrone
67% Recent form 33%
67% Attack 33%
69% Defence 31%
100% Poisson 0%
64% Head-to-head 36%
55% Goals 45%
64% Overall 36%

Double chance : Vigor Senigallia or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
4

Side by side

Vigor Senigallia Fossombrone
4 Played 4
4 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 2
10 Goals for 5
4 Goals against 9
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Vigor Senigallia

Montecchio Gallo (A) 15 Nov MID
Recanatese (H) 22 Nov EASY
Maceratese (A) 29 Nov EASY
Notaresco (H) 06 Dec MID

Fossombrone

Recanatese (A) 15 Nov EASY
Foligno Calcio (H) 22 Nov HARD
Notaresco (A) 29 Nov MID
Montecchio Gallo (H) 06 Dec MID

Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.95 odds).

Vigor Senigallia are rated 51% by our tip model, with the draw at 27% and Fossombrone at 22%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 57% and over 2.5 in 43%.

Double chance : Vigor Senigallia or draw

Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone FAQs

What is the best prediction for Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.95 odds).

Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone?

Model lean: Vigor Senigallia 51%, draw 27%, Fossombrone 22%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 57% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 43% of the time.

When is Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone?

Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 13:00 UTC .

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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