Pro Patria vs Pistoiese

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 77% probability rating, X2 stands out as the confident call for Pro Patria vs Pistoiese in the Serie D - Girone D, priced at odds of 1.30.

Italy: Serie D - Girone D
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Group D - 11
Pro Patria

Pro Patria

3rd in table

D W W D L
FT
0 - 0
Pistoiese

Pistoiese

1st in table

W W W L W
Prediction: X2 (1.30 Odds) Won
Double Chance 77% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.30

Pro Patria

1.00

1.00 – 1.30

Pistoiese

1.30

Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio

Pro Patria

3.00

30% implied

Draw

3.25

28% implied

Pistoiese

2.10

43% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.30 77%

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5 games

2

Pro Patria wins

2

Draws

1

Pistoiese wins

2.4

Goals / game

80%

Both scored

60%

Over 2.5

07 Feb 2021
Pistoiese
1-2
Pro Patria
11 Oct 2020
Pro Patria
0-0
Pistoiese
24 Nov 2019
Pro Patria
1-1
Pistoiese
30 Dec 2018
Pistoiese
3-1
Pro Patria
16 Sep 2018
Pro Patria
2-1
Pistoiese

Serie D - Girone D table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Pistoiese
11 9 1 1 24:5 19 28
2
Lentigione
11 7 3 1 18:10 8 24
3
Pro Patria
11 6 3 2 14:7 7 21
4
Castellanzese
11 6 1 4 19:11 8 19
5
USD Casatese
11 6 1 4 15:14 1 19
6
Pro Sesto
11 5 3 3 23:11 12 18
7
Cittadella Vis Modena
11 5 2 4 12:9 3 17
8
Solbiatese
11 4 5 2 12:10 2 17
9
Sant'Angelo
11 4 3 4 13:13 0 15
10
Crema
11 4 3 4 14:17 -3 15
11
Città di Varese
11 3 5 3 17:13 4 14
12
Pavia
11 3 5 3 12:9 3 14
13
Correggese
11 3 3 5 12:19 -7 12
14
Varesina
11 2 5 4 14:16 -2 11
15
Coriano
11 2 3 6 10:15 -5 9
16
Pontedera
11 2 1 8 11:27 -16 7
17
Arconatese
11 1 3 7 11:26 -15 6
18
Oltrepò
11 1 2 8 5:24 -19 5

Recent form

Pro Patria

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Pistoiese 0-0 D
A Pavia 1-0 L
H Correggese 1-1 D
A USD Casatese 1-2 W
H Sant'Angelo 1-0 W
A Città di Varese 2-5 W
A Varesina 0-0 D
H Solbiatese 0-1 L
A Arconatese 0-3 W
H Crema 2-0 W

Pistoiese

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Pro Patria 0-0 D
H Castellanzese 4-2 W
A Cittadella Vis Modena 2-1 L
H Pavia 1-0 W
H Correggese 1-0 W
A Sestri Levante 1-0 L
A USD Casatese 0-3 W
H Sant'Angelo 3-0 W
A Varesina 0-1 W
H Arconatese 5-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.30

Pro Patria

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 1.30

Pistoiese

1.30

xG

Our tip model

10%
13%
77%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

30%
28%
43%
Pro Patria Draw Pistoiese

Most likely scores

1:1

15.4%

0:0

13.3%

0:1

13.3%

1:0

11.1%

0:2

9.1%

1:2

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 2.5 goals 47%

Team comparison

Pro Patria Pistoiese
40% Recent form 60%
29% Attack 71%
57% Defence 43%
40% Poisson 60%
50% Head-to-head 50%
44% Goals 56%
43% Overall 57%

Combo Double chance : draw or Pistoiese and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
4
4
16-30'
4
2
31-45'
8
1
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
4
3
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Pro Patria Pistoiese
10 Played 10
6 Won 9
2 Drawn 0
2 Lost 1
14 Goals for 24
7 Goals against 5
4 Clean sheets 7
3 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Pro Patria

Castellanzese (H) 15 Nov HARD
Cittadella Vis Modena (A) 22 Nov MID
Coriano (H) 29 Nov EASY
Pro Sesto (A) 06 Dec MID

Pistoiese

Coriano (H) 15 Nov EASY
Pro Sesto (A) 22 Nov MID
Lentigione (H) 29 Nov HARD
Città di Varese (A) 06 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 2.5 2.15
47% implied
Under 2.5 1.67
60% implied
Home/Draw 1.55
65% implied
Home/Away 1.28
78% implied
Draw/Away 1.33
75% implied
1:0 9.00
11% implied
2:0 15.00
7% implied
2:1 13.00
8% implied
3:0 29.00
3% implied
3:1 29.00
3% implied
3:2 41.00
2% implied
4:0 51.00
2% implied
4:1 51.00
2% implied
0:0 7.50
13% implied
1:1 6.50
15% implied
2:2 17.00
6% implied
0:1 7.50
13% implied
0:2 11.00
9% implied
0:3 21.00
5% implied
1:2 11.00
9% implied
1:3 21.00
5% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
0:4 41.00
2% implied
1:4 41.00
2% implied
2:4 67.00
1% implied
4:2 81.00
1% implied
0:5 67.00
1% implied
1:5 81.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 26.00
4% implied
Draw/Away 5.50
18% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50
18% implied
Home/Home 4.75
21% implied
Draw/Home 7.00
14% implied
Away/Home 29.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 3.40
29% implied
Home +0.25 1.80
56% implied
Away +0.25 2.00
50% implied
Over 9 1.80
56% implied
Under 9 2.00
50% implied
Over 9.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 9.5 1.73
58% implied

Pro Patria vs Pistoiese: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.30 odds).

Pro Patria are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 13% and Pistoiese at 77%.

In the last 5 meetings they averaged 2.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 80% and over 2.5 in 60%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Pistoiese and -3.5 goals

Pro Patria vs Pistoiese FAQs

What is the best prediction for Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.30 odds).

Who will win Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?

Model lean: Pro Patria 10%, draw 13%, Pistoiese 77%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 80% of the last 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 60% of the time.

When is Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 13:30 UTC , Carlo Speroni.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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