Castellanzese vs Varesina

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Castellanzese arrive in strong form (WWWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Varesina, with our model giving this a 65% probability at odds of 1.53.

Italy: Serie D - Girone D
Sun, 25th Oct, 2026 Group D - 9
Castellanzese

Castellanzese

4th in table

W W W W W
FT
1 - 1
Varesina

Varesina

14th in table

L L D D D
10' S. Banfi
31' A. Sassaro
Prediction: 1 (1.53 Odds) Lost
Home Win 65% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.15

Castellanzese

2.15

2.15 – 1.00

Varesina

1.00

Castellanzese

1.53

59% implied

Draw

3.80

24% implied

Varesina

5.00

18% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Lost

1

Odds 1.53 65%

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

1

Castellanzese wins

3

Draws

4

Varesina wins

2.5

Goals / game

63%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

10 May 2026
Castellanzese
1-2
Varesina
18 Mar 2026
Varesina
2-2
Castellanzese
02 Nov 2025
Castellanzese
2-1
Varesina
06 Apr 2025
Varesina
1-1
Castellanzese
24 Nov 2024
Castellanzese
0-0
Varesina
13 Jan 2024
Varesina
2-0
Castellanzese
18 Oct 2023
Castellanzese
0-2
Varesina
17 Sep 2023
Castellanzese
1-3
Varesina

Serie D - Girone D table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Pistoiese
11 9 1 1 24:5 19 28
2
Lentigione
11 7 3 1 18:10 8 24
3
Pro Patria
11 6 3 2 14:7 7 21
4
Castellanzese
11 6 1 4 19:11 8 19
5
USD Casatese
11 6 1 4 15:14 1 19
6
Pro Sesto
11 5 3 3 23:11 12 18
7
Cittadella Vis Modena
11 5 2 4 12:9 3 17
8
Solbiatese
11 4 5 2 12:10 2 17
9
Sant'Angelo
11 4 3 4 13:13 0 15
10
Crema
11 4 3 4 14:17 -3 15
11
Città di Varese
11 3 5 3 17:13 4 14
12
Pavia
11 3 5 3 12:9 3 14
13
Correggese
11 3 3 5 12:19 -7 12
14
Varesina
11 2 5 4 14:16 -2 11
15
Coriano
11 2 3 6 10:15 -5 9
16
Pontedera
11 2 1 8 11:27 -16 7
17
Arconatese
11 1 3 7 11:26 -15 6
18
Oltrepò
11 1 2 8 5:24 -19 5

Recent form

Castellanzese

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H USD Casatese 0-1 L
A Pistoiese 4-2 L
H Varesina 1-1 D
A Correggese 0-2 W
H Arconatese 1-0 W
A Sant'Angelo 1-2 W
H Crema 4-0 W
A Solbiatese 1-4 W
H Oltrepò 0-1 L
A Lentigione 1-0 L

Varesina

1 W 5 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Coriano 2-1 L
H Città di Varese 3-1 W
A Castellanzese 1-1 D
H Pro Sesto 0-0 D
A Pavia 2-2 D
H Pro Patria 0-0 D
A USD Casatese 4-2 L
H Pistoiese 0-1 L
A Correggese 2-1 L
A Sant'Angelo 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.15

Castellanzese

2.15

xG

Match

2.15 – 1.00

Varesina

1.00

xG

Our tip model

65%
19%
16%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

59%
24%
18%
Castellanzese Draw Varesina

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Castellanzese Varesina
83% Recent form 17%
76% Attack 24%
78% Defence 22%
85% Poisson 15%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
70% Overall 30%

Winner : Castellanzese

Season numbers

When the goals come

4
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
4

Side by side

Castellanzese Varesina
8 Played 8
6 Won 1
0 Drawn 4
2 Lost 3
16 Goals for 9
5 Goals against 12
3 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Castellanzese

Pro Patria (A) 15 Nov HARD
Pavia (H) 22 Nov EASY
Pro Sesto (H) 29 Nov MID
Cittadella Vis Modena (A) 06 Dec MID

Varesina

Pontedera (H) 15 Nov EASY
Lentigione (A) 22 Nov HARD
Crema (H) 29 Nov MID
Oltrepò (A) 06 Dec EASY

Castellanzese vs Varesina: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.53 odds).

Castellanzese are rated 65% by our tip model, with the draw at 19% and Varesina at 16%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 2.5 goals per game, with BTTS in 63% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Winner : Castellanzese

Castellanzese vs Varesina FAQs

What is the best prediction for Castellanzese vs Varesina?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.53 odds).

Who will win Castellanzese vs Varesina?

Model lean: Castellanzese 65%, draw 19%, Varesina 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 63% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Castellanzese vs Varesina?

Sunday, 25th October 2026 at 13:30 UTC .

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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