Correggese vs Pavia

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With a 74% probability rating, 1X stands out as the confident call for Correggese vs Pavia in the Serie D - Girone D, priced at odds of 1.36.

Italy: Serie D - Girone D
Sun, 4th Oct, 2026 Group D - 6
Correggese

Correggese

13th in table

D D W L W
FT
2 - 1
Pavia

Pavia

12th in table

D D D D
17' L. Siligardi
40' L. Siligardi
49' N. Cavallotti
Prediction: 1X (1.36 Odds) Won
Double Chance 74% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.55

Correggese

0.70

0.70 – 0.85

Pavia

0.85

Correggese

2.35

38% implied

Draw

3.10

29% implied

Pavia

2.75

33% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.36 74%

Serie D - Girone D table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Pistoiese
11 9 1 1 24:5 19 28
2
Lentigione
11 7 3 1 18:10 8 24
3
Pro Patria
11 6 3 2 14:7 7 21
4
Castellanzese
11 6 1 4 19:11 8 19
5
USD Casatese
11 6 1 4 15:14 1 19
6
Pro Sesto
11 5 3 3 23:11 12 18
7
Cittadella Vis Modena
11 5 2 4 12:9 3 17
8
Solbiatese
11 4 5 2 12:10 2 17
9
Sant'Angelo
11 4 3 4 13:13 0 15
10
Crema
11 4 3 4 14:17 -3 15
11
Città di Varese
11 3 5 3 17:13 4 14
12
Pavia
11 3 5 3 12:9 3 14
13
Correggese
11 3 3 5 12:19 -7 12
14
Varesina
11 2 5 4 14:16 -2 11
15
Coriano
11 2 3 6 10:15 -5 9
16
Pontedera
11 2 1 8 11:27 -16 7
17
Arconatese
11 1 3 7 11:26 -15 6
18
Oltrepò
11 1 2 8 5:24 -19 5

Recent form

Correggese

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Pro Sesto 4-2 L
H Coriano 2-2 D
A Pro Patria 1-1 D
H Castellanzese 0-2 L
A Pistoiese 1-0 L
H Pavia 2-1 W
A Cittadella Vis Modena 0-1 W
H USD Casatese 1-3 L
H Varesina 2-1 W
A Arconatese 1-1 D

Pavia

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Cittadella Vis Modena 2-1 L
H Pro Patria 1-0 W
H USD Casatese 3-1 W
A Pistoiese 1-0 L
H Varesina 2-2 D
H Sant'Angelo 1-3 L
A Correggese 2-1 L
H Arconatese 1-1 D
A Sant'Angelo 0-0 D
H Solbiatese 0-0 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.55

Correggese

0.70

xG

Match

0.70 – 0.85

Pavia

0.85

xG

Our tip model

74%
14%
12%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

38%
29%
33%
Correggese Draw Pavia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Correggese Pavia
67% Recent form 33%
86% Attack 14%
14% Defence 86%
56% Overall 44%

Combo Double chance : Correggese or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Correggese Pavia
5 Played 4
2 Won 0
2 Drawn 4
1 Lost 0
6 Goals for 1
6 Goals against 1
1 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Correggese

Lentigione (H) 15 Nov HARD
Città di Varese (A) 22 Nov MID
Oltrepò (H) 29 Nov EASY
Pontedera (A) 06 Dec EASY

Pavia

Pro Sesto (H) 15 Nov MID
Castellanzese (A) 22 Nov HARD
Città di Varese (H) 29 Nov MID
Coriano (A) 06 Dec EASY

Correggese vs Pavia: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.36 odds).

Correggese are rated 74% by our tip model, with the draw at 14% and Pavia at 12%.

Combo Double chance : Correggese or draw and -3.5 goals

Correggese vs Pavia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Correggese vs Pavia?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.36 odds).

Who will win Correggese vs Pavia?

Model lean: Correggese 74%, draw 14%, Pavia 12%.

When is Correggese vs Pavia?

Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 13:00 UTC .

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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