Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Pistoiese arrive in strong form (WWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Sant'Angelo, with our model giving this a 82% probability at odds of 1.22.

Italy: Serie D - Girone D
Sun, 27th Sep, 2026 Group D - 5
Pistoiese

Pistoiese

1st in table

W W W W
FT
3 - 0
Sant'Angelo

Sant'Angelo

9th in table

D D W D
21' G. Contini
41' G. Luperini
45' A. Toldo
84' M. Motti
Prediction: 1 (1.22 Odds) Won
Home Win 82% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.05

Pistoiese

2.25

2.25 – 0.80

Sant'Angelo

0.80

Pistoiese

1.22

74% implied

Draw

5.00

18% implied

Sant'Angelo

11.00

8% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.22 82%

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5 games

3

Pistoiese wins

2

Draws

0

Sant'Angelo wins

3.2

Goals / game

80%

Both scored

60%

Over 2.5

29 Mar 2026
Sant'Angelo
1-3
Pistoiese
16 Nov 2025
Pistoiese
4-1
Sant'Angelo
10 Dec 2023
Pistoiese
1-1
Sant'Angelo
25 Jan 2023
Pistoiese
2-2
Sant'Angelo
21 Sep 2022
Sant'Angelo
0-1
Pistoiese

Serie D - Girone D table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Pistoiese
11 9 1 1 24:5 19 28
2
Lentigione
11 7 3 1 18:10 8 24
3
Pro Patria
11 6 3 2 14:7 7 21
4
Castellanzese
11 6 1 4 19:11 8 19
5
USD Casatese
11 6 1 4 15:14 1 19
6
Pro Sesto
11 5 3 3 23:11 12 18
7
Cittadella Vis Modena
11 5 2 4 12:9 3 17
8
Solbiatese
11 4 5 2 12:10 2 17
9
Sant'Angelo
11 4 3 4 13:13 0 15
10
Crema
11 4 3 4 14:17 -3 15
11
Città di Varese
11 3 5 3 17:13 4 14
12
Pavia
11 3 5 3 12:9 3 14
13
Correggese
11 3 3 5 12:19 -7 12
14
Varesina
11 2 5 4 14:16 -2 11
15
Coriano
11 2 3 6 10:15 -5 9
16
Pontedera
11 2 1 8 11:27 -16 7
17
Arconatese
11 1 3 7 11:26 -15 6
18
Oltrepò
11 1 2 8 5:24 -19 5

Recent form

Pistoiese

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Pro Patria 0-0 D
H Castellanzese 4-2 W
A Cittadella Vis Modena 2-1 L
H Pavia 1-0 W
H Correggese 1-0 W
A Sestri Levante 1-0 L
A USD Casatese 0-3 W
H Sant'Angelo 3-0 W
A Varesina 0-1 W
H Arconatese 5-0 W

Sant'Angelo

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Città di Varese 2-2 D
H Lentigione 0-2 L
H Sanremese 0-1 L
A Pro Sesto 1-2 W
H Coriano 2-0 W
A Pro Patria 1-0 L
A Pavia 1-3 W
H Castellanzese 1-2 L
A Pistoiese 3-0 L
H Pavia 0-0 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.05

Pistoiese

2.25

xG

Match

2.25 – 0.80

Sant'Angelo

0.80

xG

Our tip model

82%
10%
8%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

74%
18%
8%
Pistoiese Draw Sant'Angelo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Pistoiese Sant'Angelo
67% Recent form 33%
73% Attack 27%
75% Defence 25%
100% Poisson 0%
75% Head-to-head 25%
67% Goals 33%
71% Overall 29%

Winner : Pistoiese

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Pistoiese Sant'Angelo
4 Played 4
4 Won 1
0 Drawn 3
0 Lost 0
11 Goals for 4
1 Goals against 3
3 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Pistoiese

Coriano (H) 15 Nov EASY
Pro Sesto (A) 22 Nov MID
Lentigione (H) 29 Nov HARD
Città di Varese (A) 06 Dec MID

Sant'Angelo

Oltrepò (H) 15 Nov EASY
Pontedera (A) 22 Nov EASY
Solbiatese (H) 29 Nov MID
Crema (A) 06 Dec MID

Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.22 odds).

Pistoiese are rated 82% by our tip model, with the draw at 10% and Sant'Angelo at 8%.

In the last 5 meetings they averaged 3.2 goals per game, with BTTS in 80% and over 2.5 in 60%.

Winner : Pistoiese

Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.22 odds).

Who will win Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

Model lean: Pistoiese 82%, draw 10%, Sant'Angelo 8%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 80% of the last 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 60% of the time.

When is Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 13:00 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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