Pavia vs Arconatese

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 82% probability rating, 1X stands out as the confident call for Pavia vs Arconatese in the Serie D - Girone D, priced at odds of 1.22.

Italy: Serie D - Girone D
Sun, 27th Sep, 2026 Group D - 5
Pavia

Pavia

12th in table

D D D
FT
1 - 1
Arconatese

Arconatese

17th in table

L D L L
6' A. Bernardi
86' A. Raballo
Prediction: 1X (1.22 Odds) Won
Double Chance 82% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Pavia

1.75

1.75 – 0.30

Arconatese

0.30

Pavia

1.91

47% implied

Draw

3.10

29% implied

Arconatese

3.70

24% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.22 82%

Serie D - Girone D table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Pistoiese
11 9 1 1 24:5 19 28
2
Lentigione
11 7 3 1 18:10 8 24
3
Pro Patria
11 6 3 2 14:7 7 21
4
Castellanzese
11 6 1 4 19:11 8 19
5
USD Casatese
11 6 1 4 15:14 1 19
6
Pro Sesto
11 5 3 3 23:11 12 18
7
Cittadella Vis Modena
11 5 2 4 12:9 3 17
8
Solbiatese
11 4 5 2 12:10 2 17
9
Sant'Angelo
11 4 3 4 13:13 0 15
10
Crema
11 4 3 4 14:17 -3 15
11
Città di Varese
11 3 5 3 17:13 4 14
12
Pavia
11 3 5 3 12:9 3 14
13
Correggese
11 3 3 5 12:19 -7 12
14
Varesina
11 2 5 4 14:16 -2 11
15
Coriano
11 2 3 6 10:15 -5 9
16
Pontedera
11 2 1 8 11:27 -16 7
17
Arconatese
11 1 3 7 11:26 -15 6
18
Oltrepò
11 1 2 8 5:24 -19 5

Recent form

Pavia

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Cittadella Vis Modena 2-1 L
H Pro Patria 1-0 W
H USD Casatese 3-1 W
A Pistoiese 1-0 L
H Varesina 2-2 D
H Sant'Angelo 1-3 L
A Correggese 2-1 L
H Arconatese 1-1 D
A Sant'Angelo 0-0 D
H Solbiatese 0-0 D

Arconatese

1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Lentigione 2-1 L
H Pontedera 3-4 L
A Coriano 1-2 W
H Città di Varese 1-5 L
A Castellanzese 1-0 L
H Pro Sesto 1-1 D
A Pavia 1-1 D
H Pro Patria 0-3 L
A Pistoiese 5-0 L
H Correggese 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Pavia

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 0.30

Arconatese

0.30

xG

Our tip model

82%
10%
8%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

47%
29%
24%
Pavia Draw Arconatese

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Pavia Arconatese
75% Recent form 25%
0% Attack 100%
100% Defence 0%
75% Overall 25%

Combo Double chance : Pavia or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
3
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2

Side by side

Pavia Arconatese
3 Played 4
0 Won 0
3 Drawn 1
0 Lost 3
0 Goals for 2
0 Goals against 11
3 Clean sheets 0
3 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Pavia

Pro Sesto (H) 15 Nov MID
Castellanzese (A) 22 Nov HARD
Città di Varese (H) 29 Nov MID
Coriano (A) 06 Dec EASY

Arconatese

Crema (H) 15 Nov MID
Oltrepò (A) 22 Nov EASY
Cittadella Vis Modena (H) 29 Nov MID
Solbiatese (A) 06 Dec MID

Pavia vs Arconatese: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.22 odds).

Pavia are rated 82% by our tip model, with the draw at 10% and Arconatese at 8%.

Combo Double chance : Pavia or draw and -3.5 goals

Pavia vs Arconatese FAQs

What is the best prediction for Pavia vs Arconatese?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.22 odds).

Who will win Pavia vs Arconatese?

Model lean: Pavia 82%, draw 10%, Arconatese 8%.

When is Pavia vs Arconatese?

Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 13:00 UTC .

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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