Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Vitoria and Vasco DA Gama enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.62 (62% probability) to edge the Copa Do Brasil clash.

Brazil: Copa Do Brasil
Thu, 3rd Sep, 2026 Quarter-finals
Vitoria

Vitoria

L W L W L
FT
0 - 2
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

W D D W W
51' Cacá
76' Luan Cândido
78' Jose Luis Rodriguez
81' A. Gomez
90' J. Rodriguez
Prediction: X2 (1.62 Odds) Won
Double Chance 62% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.05

Vitoria

1.75

1.75 – 1.30

Vasco DA Gama

1.30

Barradao, Salvador R. Klein

Vitoria

2.25

42% implied

Draw

3.20

29% implied

Vasco DA Gama

3.25

29% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.62 62%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama

62%   Possession   38%

1   Shots on Target   5

0   Pass Accuracy   0

0   Corner Kicks   3

19   Fouls   21

0 2 4
0 1 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

4

Vitoria wins

0

Draws

5

Vasco DA Gama wins

2.3

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

44%

Over 2.5

27 Aug 2026
Vasco DA Gama
1-0
Vitoria
16 Jul 2026
Vitoria
1-0
Vasco DA Gama
05 Oct 2025
Vasco DA Gama
4-3
Vitoria
10 May 2025
Vitoria
2-1
Vasco DA Gama
01 Sep 2024
Vitoria
0-1
Vasco DA Gama
12 May 2024
Vasco DA Gama
2-1
Vitoria
11 Nov 2021
Vasco DA Gama
0-3
Vitoria
07 Aug 2021
Vitoria
0-1
Vasco DA Gama
09 Sep 2018
Vitoria
1-0
Vasco DA Gama

Top scorers

Copa Do Brasil
# Player Team Goals
1
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
5
2
J. López
Palmeiras
4
3
A. Bernabéi
Internacional
3
4
Rene
Vitoria
3
5
Renan Lodi
Atletico-MG
3
6
J. Rodríguez
Vasco DA Gama
3
7
Maurício
Palmeiras
3
8
Erick
Vitoria
3
9
Kaio Jorge
Cruzeiro
3
10
F. Amuzu
Gremio
2

Recent form

Vitoria

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Fluminense 0-3 L
A Coritiba 2-0 L
H Atletico Paranaense 1-1 D
A Corinthians 1-1 D
A Sao Paulo 2-1 L
H Chapecoense-sc 4-0 W
H Cruzeiro 1-3 L
A Mirassol 2-2 D
H Gremio 1-0 W
H Vasco DA Gama 0-2 L

Vasco DA Gama

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Atletico Paranaense 1-3 W
A Palmeiras 1-0 L
H Flamengo 1-4 L
H Corinthians 3-2 W
H Boca Juniors 1-3 L
A Sao Paulo 1-0 L
A Boca Juniors 0-1 W
H Remo 0-0 D
A Botafogo 1-2 W
H Coritiba 5-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.05

Vitoria

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 1.30

Vasco DA Gama

1.30

xG

Our tip model

17%
21%
62%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

42%
29%
29%
Vitoria Draw Vasco DA Gama

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Vitoria Vasco DA Gama
35% Recent form 65%
47% Attack 53%
38% Defence 63%
100% Poisson 0%
40% Head-to-head 60%
46% Goals 54%
41% Overall 59%

Combo Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
2
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Vitoria Vasco DA Gama
5 Played 5
2 Won 3
0 Drawn 2
3 Lost 0
7 Goals for 8
5 Goals against 3
2 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Vitoria

RB Bragantino (H) 19 Nov MID
Internacional (A) 23 Nov MID
Santos (H) 29 Nov MID
Vasco DA Gama (A) 03 Dec MID

Vasco DA Gama

Chapecoense-sc (A) 14 Nov MID
Internacional (H) 19 Nov MID
RB Bragantino (A) 22 Nov MID
Atletico-MG (A) 29 Nov MID

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.62 odds).

Vitoria are rated 17% by our tip model, with the draw at 21% and Vasco DA Gama at 62%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 44%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama and -3.5 goals

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

What is the best prediction for Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.62 odds).

Who will win Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?

Model lean: Vitoria 17%, draw 21%, Vasco DA Gama 62%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 44% of the time.

When is Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?

Thursday, 3rd September 2026 at 00:30 UTC , Barradao.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links