Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 74% probability rating, 1X stands out as the confident call for Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro in the Copa Do Brasil, priced at odds of 1.36.

Brazil: Copa Do Brasil
Wed, 2nd Sep, 2026 Quarter-finals
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

W D D W D
FT
2 - 1
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

D W D W D
25' Otávio Costa
30' Kaio Jorge
35' Kaio Jorge
42' Lucas Villalba
58' Natanael Moreira Milouski
71' Lucas Romer
78' Victor Hugo
89' Fred
90+4' Keny arroyo
90+7' Fabrício Bruno
Prediction: 1X (1.36 Odds) Won
Double Chance 74% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.75

Atletico-MG

1.00

1.00 – 0.75

Cruzeiro

0.75

MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte R. Claus

Atletico-MG

2.45

38% implied

Draw

3.00

31% implied

Cruzeiro

3.00

31% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.36 74%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro

62%   Possession   38%

8   Shots on Target   4

0   Pass Accuracy   0

8   Corner Kicks   2

15   Fouls   13

0 1 1
1 5 1

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

2

Atletico-MG wins

3

Draws

3

Cruzeiro wins

2

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

25%

Over 2.5

26 Aug 2026
Cruzeiro
1-1
Atletico-MG
03 May 2026
Cruzeiro
1-3
Atletico-MG
08 Mar 2026
Cruzeiro
1-0
Atletico-MG
25 Jan 2026
Atletico-MG
2-1
Cruzeiro
16 Oct 2025
Atletico-MG
1-1
Cruzeiro
11 Sep 2025
Cruzeiro
2-0
Atletico-MG
27 Aug 2025
Atletico-MG
0-2
Cruzeiro
18 May 2025
Cruzeiro
0-0
Atletico-MG

Top scorers

Copa Do Brasil
# Player Team Goals
1
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
5
2
J. López
Palmeiras
4
3
A. Bernabéi
Internacional
3
4
Rene
Vitoria
3
5
Renan Lodi
Atletico-MG
3
6
J. Rodríguez
Vasco DA Gama
3
7
Maurício
Palmeiras
3
8
Erick
Vitoria
3
9
Kaio Jorge
Cruzeiro
3
10
F. Amuzu
Gremio
2

Recent form

Atletico-MG

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Gremio 1-1 D
A Botafogo 1-0 L
A Gremio 2-0 L
H Cruzeiro 0-1 L
A Flamengo 3-2 L
A Atletico Torque 2-0 L
H Coritiba 1-0 W
H Atletico Torque 3-0 W
H Santos 2-1 W
A Atletico Paranaense 2-2 D

Cruzeiro

7 W 0 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Bahia 3-2 W
A Atletico-MG 0-1 W
H Remo 1-0 W
A Gremio 2-4 W
A RB Bragantino 4-2 L
H Sao Paulo 2-0 W
A Vitoria 1-3 W
A Santos 2-1 L
H Atletico Paranaense 3-1 W
A Atletico-MG 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.75

Atletico-MG

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 0.75

Cruzeiro

0.75

xG

Our tip model

74%
14%
12%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

38%
31%
31%
Atletico-MG Draw Cruzeiro

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Atletico-MG Cruzeiro
50% Recent form 50%
50% Attack 50%
43% Defence 57%
60% Poisson 40%
62% Head-to-head 38%
58% Goals 42%
54% Overall 46%

Combo Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Atletico-MG Cruzeiro
5 Played 5
2 Won 2
3 Drawn 3
0 Lost 0
6 Goals for 6
4 Goals against 3
2 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Atletico-MG

Mirassol (A) 14 Nov MID
Boca Juniors (H) 21 Nov MID
Corinthians (H) 25 Nov MID
Vasco DA Gama (H) 29 Nov MID

Cruzeiro

Palmeiras (H) 18 Nov MID
Chapecoense-sc (A) 22 Nov MID
Fluminense (A) 27 Nov MID
Internacional (H) 03 Dec MID

Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.36 odds).

Atletico-MG are rated 74% by our tip model, with the draw at 14% and Cruzeiro at 12%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 25%.

Combo Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw and -3.5 goals

Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.36 odds).

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?

Model lean: Atletico-MG 74%, draw 14%, Cruzeiro 12%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 25% of the time.

When is Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?

Wednesday, 2nd September 2026 at 00:00 UTC , MRV Arena.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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