Palmeiras vs Santos

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Palmeiras arrive in strong form (WWWL) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Santos, with our model giving this a 65% probability at odds of 1.53.

Brazil: Copa Do Brasil
Thu, 27th Aug, 2026 Quarter-finals
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

W W W L
FT
3 - 0
Santos

Santos

D W D W
21' Gustavo Caballero
34' J. Lopez
45' Andreas Pereira
61' J. Lopez
77' Andreas Pereira
79' Rony
90+1' Alexander Barboza
Prediction: 1 (1.53 Odds) Won
Home Win 65% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.35

Palmeiras

1.55

1.55 – 0.80

Santos

0.80

Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo B. Arleu

Palmeiras

1.53

61% implied

Draw

4.10

23% implied

Santos

6.00

16% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.53 65%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Palmeiras vs Santos

45%   Possession   55%

8   Shots on Target   1

0   Pass Accuracy   0

8   Corner Kicks   5

10   Fouls   16

0 2 1
2 2 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

4

Palmeiras wins

1

Draws

2

Santos wins

1.7

Goals / game

29%

Both scored

14%

Over 2.5

02 May 2026
Palmeiras
1-1
Santos
14 Jan 2026
Palmeiras
1-0
Santos
16 Nov 2025
Santos
1-0
Palmeiras
07 Nov 2025
Palmeiras
2-0
Santos
23 Jan 2025
Santos
1-2
Palmeiras
07 Apr 2024
Palmeiras
2-0
Santos
31 Mar 2024
Santos
1-0
Palmeiras

Top scorers

Copa Do Brasil
# Player Team Goals
1
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
5
2
J. López
Palmeiras
4
3
A. Bernabéi
Internacional
3
4
Rene
Vitoria
3
5
Renan Lodi
Atletico-MG
3
6
J. Rodríguez
Vasco DA Gama
3
7
Maurício
Palmeiras
3
8
Erick
Vitoria
3
9
Kaio Jorge
Cruzeiro
3
10
F. Amuzu
Gremio
2

Recent form

Palmeiras

8 W 2 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Remo 6-1 W
H Vasco DA Gama 1-0 W
A Santos 0-0 D
H RB Bragantino 2-0 W
A Atletico Paranaense 0-2 W
A Fluminense 1-2 W
H Corinthians 4-1 W
H Bahia 1-0 W
A Gremio 0-0 D
H Sao Paulo 2-0 W

Santos

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A RB Bragantino 2-1 L
H Palmeiras 0-0 D
H Bahia 1-1 D
A Fluminense 1-2 W
A Atletico-MG 2-1 L
H Flamengo 2-2 D
A Sao Paulo 1-2 W
A Remo 1-2 W
H Cruzeiro 2-1 W
H Atletico-MG 2-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.35

Palmeiras

1.55

xG

Match

1.55 – 0.80

Santos

0.80

xG

Our tip model

65%
19%
16%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

61%
23%
16%
Palmeiras Draw Santos

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Palmeiras Santos
53% Recent form 47%
80% Attack 20%
0% Defence 100%
71% Head-to-head 29%
67% Goals 33%
68% Overall 32%

Winner : Palmeiras

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0

Side by side

Palmeiras Santos
4 Played 4
3 Won 2
0 Drawn 2
1 Lost 0
12 Goals for 3
4 Goals against 0
2 Clean sheets 4
0 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Palmeiras

Cruzeiro (A) 18 Nov MID
Flamengo (H) 21 Nov MID
Chapecoense-sc (A) 24 Nov MID
Estudiantes L.P. (H) 28 Nov MID

Santos

Coritiba (A) 18 Nov MID
Gremio (H) 24 Nov MID
Vitoria (A) 29 Nov MID
Botafogo (H) 03 Dec MID

Palmeiras vs Santos: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.53 odds).

Palmeiras are rated 65% by our tip model, with the draw at 19% and Santos at 16%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 1.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 29% and over 2.5 in 14%.

Winner : Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Santos FAQs

What is the best prediction for Palmeiras vs Santos?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.53 odds).

Who will win Palmeiras vs Santos?

Model lean: Palmeiras 65%, draw 19%, Santos 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 29% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 14% of the time.

When is Palmeiras vs Santos?

Thursday, 27th August 2026 at 00:30 UTC .

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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