Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 80% probability rating, 1X stands out as the confident call for Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, priced at odds of 1.25.

Spain: Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Sun, 11th Oct, 2026 Group 4 - 6
Aretxabaleta

Aretxabaleta

7th in table

W D D L W
FT
4 - 2
Pasaia KE

Pasaia KE

15th in table

L D W W W
3' M. Ibarrondo Martinez
19' L. Larranaga
28' G. Zabala
45' A. Tomas Carrasco
67' M. T. Gourmat
74' M. T. Gourmat
Prediction: 1X (1.25 Odds) Won
Double Chance 80% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

Aretxabaleta

0.75

0.75 – 1.25

Pasaia KE

1.25

Aretxabaleta

2.05

44% implied

Draw

3.10

29% implied

Pasaia KE

3.30

27% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.25 80%

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

3

Aretxabaleta wins

0

Draws

1

Pasaia KE wins

3.3

Goals / game

75%

Both scored

75%

Over 2.5

15 Apr 2026
Pasaia KE
3-2
Aretxabaleta
14 Dec 2025
Aretxabaleta
1-0
Pasaia KE
23 Feb 2025
Aretxabaleta
2-1
Pasaia KE
12 Oct 2024
Pasaia KE
1-3
Aretxabaleta

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Leioa
10 6 4 0 28:12 16 22
2
Aurrerá Vitoria
10 7 1 2 17:14 3 22
3
Deportivo Alavés III
10 5 3 2 21:10 11 18
4
Real Sociedad III
10 5 3 2 20:13 7 18
5
Derio
10 5 3 2 15:11 4 18
6
Durango
10 4 5 1 16:11 5 17
7
Aretxabaleta
10 5 2 3 12:11 1 17
8
Touring
10 4 3 3 12:10 2 15
9
Beasain
10 4 2 4 19:13 6 14
10
San Ignacio
10 4 2 4 16:12 4 14
11
Eibar III
10 4 2 4 16:14 2 14
12
Sodupe
10 4 2 4 7:15 -8 14
13
Lagun Onak
10 3 2 5 11:14 -3 11
14
R. Union B
10 2 4 4 12:18 -6 10
15
Pasaia KE
10 3 1 6 13:22 -9 10
16
Santurtzi
10 3 0 7 7:13 -6 9
17
Erandio
10 2 0 8 9:17 -8 6
18
Amurrio Club
10 0 1 9 3:24 -21 1

Recent form

Aretxabaleta

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Aurrerá Vitoria 0-3 L
A Amurrio Club 1-2 W
H Eibar III 0-2 L
A R. Union B 0-2 W
H Pasaia KE 4-2 W
A Lagun Onak 1-2 W
H Derio 1-2 L
A Durango 0-0 D
H Beasain 0-0 D
A Touring 0-1 W

Pasaia KE

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Lagun Onak 3-1 L
H Derio 2-3 L
A Durango 2-0 L
H Beasain 1-4 L
A Aretxabaleta 4-2 L
H Santurtzi 1-0 W
A San Ignacio 1-2 W
H Real Sociedad III 3-2 W
A Leioa 1-1 D
H Erandio 0-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

Aretxabaleta

0.75

xG

Match

0.75 – 1.25

Pasaia KE

1.25

xG

Our tip model

80%
11%
9%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

44%
29%
27%
Aretxabaleta Draw Pasaia KE

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Aretxabaleta Pasaia KE
44% Recent form 56%
36% Attack 64%
67% Defence 33%
22% Poisson 78%
75% Head-to-head 25%
62% Goals 38%
51% Overall 49%

Combo Double chance : Aretxabaleta or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Aretxabaleta Pasaia KE
5 Played 5
2 Won 3
2 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
4 Goals for 7
3 Goals against 6
3 Clean sheets 1
2 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Aretxabaleta

Deportivo Alavés III (A) 14 Nov HARD
Sodupe (H) 22 Nov EASY
Erandio (A) 29 Nov EASY
Leioa (H) 06 Dec HARD

Pasaia KE

Touring (A) 14 Nov MID
R. Union B (H) 21 Nov EASY
Eibar III (A) 29 Nov MID
Amurrio Club (H) 06 Dec EASY

Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.25 odds).

Aretxabaleta are rated 80% by our tip model, with the draw at 11% and Pasaia KE at 9%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 3.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 75% and over 2.5 in 75%.

Combo Double chance : Aretxabaleta or draw and -3.5 goals

Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE FAQs

What is the best prediction for Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.25 odds).

Who will win Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE?

Model lean: Aretxabaleta 80%, draw 11%, Pasaia KE 9%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 75% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 75% of the time.

When is Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE?

Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 14:30 UTC .

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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