Derio vs Beasain

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 74% probability rating, 1X stands out as the confident call for Derio vs Beasain in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, priced at odds of 1.36.

Spain: Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Sun, 4th Oct, 2026 Group 4 - 5
Derio

Derio

D D W W
FT
2 - 0
Beasain

Beasain

W D L L
9' M. De Urbina
43' E. Garcia
Prediction: 1X (1.36 Odds) Won
Double Chance 74% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.05

Derio

1.00

1.00 – 0.05

Beasain

0.05

Derio

2.35

38% implied

Draw

3.00

30% implied

Beasain

2.75

32% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.36 74%

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

0

Derio wins

1

Draws

3

Beasain wins

2

Goals / game

25%

Both scored

25%

Over 2.5

16 Apr 2025
Beasain
2-0
Derio
06 Dec 2024
Derio
1-4
Beasain
02 Mar 2024
Derio
0-0
Beasain
12 Oct 2023
Beasain
1-0
Derio

Recent form

Derio

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H R. Union B 2-3 L
A Pasaia KE 2-3 W
H Lagun Onak 2-1 W
A Touring 2-0 L
A Durango 1-1 D
H Beasain 2-0 W
A Aretxabaleta 1-2 W
H Santurtzi 2-0 W
A San Ignacio 1-1 D
H Real Sociedad III 0-0 D

Beasain

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Amurrio Club 6-0 W
A Eibar III 3-1 L
H R. Union B 1-1 D
A Pasaia KE 1-4 W
H Lagun Onak 4-2 W
A Derio 2-0 L
H Durango 1-2 L
A Touring 2-0 L
A Aretxabaleta 0-0 D
H Santurtzi 2-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.05

Derio

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 0.05

Beasain

0.05

xG

Our tip model

74%
14%
12%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

38%
30%
32%
Derio Draw Beasain

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Derio Beasain
67% Recent form 33%
63% Attack 38%
67% Defence 33%
100% Poisson 0%
9% Head-to-head 91%
13% Goals 88%
44% Overall 57%

Combo Double chance : Derio or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Derio Beasain
4 Played 4
2 Won 1
2 Drawn 1
0 Lost 2
5 Goals for 3
2 Goals against 4
2 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Derio

Eibar III (A) 14 Nov MID
Amurrio Club (H) 22 Nov MID
Aurrerá Vitoria (A) 29 Nov MID
Deportivo Alavés III (H) 06 Dec MID

Beasain

Aurrerá Vitoria (A) 15 Nov MID
Deportivo Alavés III (H) 22 Nov MID
Sodupe (A) 29 Nov MID
Erandio (H) 06 Dec MID

Derio vs Beasain: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.36 odds).

Derio are rated 74% by our tip model, with the draw at 14% and Beasain at 12%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 25% and over 2.5 in 25%.

Combo Double chance : Derio or draw and -3.5 goals

Derio vs Beasain FAQs

What is the best prediction for Derio vs Beasain?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.36 odds).

Who will win Derio vs Beasain?

Model lean: Derio 74%, draw 14%, Beasain 12%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 25% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 25% of the time.

When is Derio vs Beasain?

Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 16:30 UTC .

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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