Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Independiente Res. and Lanús Res. enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on +2.5 at odds of 1.70 (59% probability) to edge the Reserve League clash.

Argentina: Reserve League
Wed, 11th Nov, 2026 Clausura - 17
Independiente Res.

Independiente Res.

5th in table

D W W W D
HT
1 - 0
Lanús Res.

Lanús Res.

6th in table

W D W W W
39' Normal Goal
Prediction: +2.5 (1.70 Odds)
2.5 Goals 59% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.35

Independiente Res.

1.95

1.95 – 1.40

Lanús Res.

1.40

Independiente Res.

1.95

46% implied

Draw

3.40

26% implied

Lanús Res.

3.20

28% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Free

+2.5

Odds 1.70 59%

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

3

Independiente Res. wins

2

Draws

3

Lanús Res. wins

2.9

Goals / game

63%

Both scored

63%

Over 2.5

09 Jun 2026
Lanús Res.
0-4
Independiente Res.
02 Oct 2025
Independiente Res.
3-1
Lanús Res.
29 Apr 2025
Lanús Res.
2-2
Independiente Res.
03 Oct 2024
Independiente Res.
1-1
Lanús Res.
24 Apr 2024
Lanús Res.
2-0
Independiente Res.
27 May 2023
Lanús Res.
1-0
Independiente Res.
10 Aug 2022
Independiente Res.
1-2
Lanús Res.
29 Apr 2022
Lanús Res.
1-2
Independiente Res.

Reserve League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Vélez Sársfield Res.
20 15 2 3 42:13 29 47
2
Boca Juniors Res.
20 12 3 5 36:12 24 39
3
Racing Club Res.
21 11 6 4 33:26 7 39
4
River Plate Res.
21 11 4 6 29:20 9 37
5
Independiente Res.
19 11 3 5 38:19 19 36
6
Lanús Res.
19 11 2 6 40:27 13 35
7
Newell's Old Boys Res.
19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
8
Quilmes 2
18 10 3 5 20:12 8 33
9
Defensa y Justicia Res.
18 9 5 4 38:24 14 32
10
Atlético Tucumán Res.
19 9 3 7 26:28 -2 30
11
Unión Santa Fe Res.
18 7 8 3 23:19 4 29
12
Estudiantes La Plata Res
18 8 4 6 25:16 9 28
13
Argentinos Juniors Res.
18 7 7 4 24:18 6 28
14
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
18 8 3 7 27:29 -2 27
15
Talleres Córdoba Res.
18 7 5 6 27:21 6 26
16
Huracán Res.
18 7 5 6 23:17 6 26
17
Rosario Central Res.
18 7 5 6 25:22 3 26
18
Platense Res.
18 7 5 6 17:20 -3 26
19
Deportivo Riestra Res.
18 7 4 7 25:18 7 25
20
Independiente Riva. Res.
18 7 3 8 23:23 0 24
21
Instituto Res.
18 5 9 4 20:21 -1 24
22
San Lorenzo Res.
18 6 6 6 22:24 -2 24
23
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
18 6 5 7 19:17 2 23
24
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
18 6 5 7 16:19 -3 23
25
Banfield Res.
18 6 5 7 14:18 -4 23
26
Ferro 2
18 6 4 8 20:23 -3 22
27
Central Córdoba SdE Res.
18 5 4 9 21:33 -12 19
28
Colón Res.
18 5 3 10 15:23 -8 18
29
Aldosivi Res.
18 5 3 10 17:28 -11 18
30
Barracas Central Res.
18 4 5 9 11:24 -13 17
31
Sarmiento Res.
18 4 4 10 16:26 -10 16
32
Tigre Res.
18 4 4 10 15:25 -10 16
33
Godoy Cruz Res.
18 4 3 11 20:30 -10 15
34
Atl. Rafaela 2
18 3 3 12 21:36 -15 12
35
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
18 2 5 11 9:32 -23 11
36
San Martín San Juan Res.
18 2 2 14 16:59 -43 8

Top scorers

Reserve League
# Player Team Goals
1
Alejo Duarte
Deportivo Riestra Res.
1
2
Sebastian Montero
Newell's Old Boys Res.
1
3
Santino Aguirre
Racing Club Res.
1
4
Ramiro Gagliardi
Defensa y Justicia Res.
1

Recent form

Independiente Res.

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Newell's Old Boys Res. 2-2 D
H Defensa y Justicia Res. 4-1 W
A Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1-2 W
H Huracán Res. 3-0 W
A Ferro 2 0-0 D
H Boca Juniors Res. 2-1 W
A Racing Club Res. 1-2 W
H Colón Res. 1-0 W
A Atl. Rafaela 2 2-1 L
H Platense Res. 1-1 D

Lanús Res.

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Atl. Rafaela 2 4-2 W
A Platense Res. 1-3 W
H Quilmes 2 4-1 W
A Estudiantes La Plata Res 4-4 D
H Central Córdoba SdE Res. 3-0 W
A San Martín San Juan Res. 0-2 W
H Banfield Res. 2-1 W
H Independiente Riva. Res. 3-3 D
A Deportivo Riestra Res. 4-1 L
H Belgrano Córdoba Res. 3-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.35

Independiente Res.

1.95

xG

Match

1.95 – 1.40

Lanús Res.

1.40

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

46%
26%
28%
Independiente Res. Draw Lanús Res.

Most likely scores

1:1

14.3%

1:0

10%

2:1

10%

2:0

8.3%

0:0

8.3%

2:2

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 2.5 goals 60%

Team comparison

Independiente Res. Lanús Res.
46% Recent form 54%
38% Attack 62%
67% Defence 33%
62% Poisson 38%
62% Head-to-head 38%
63% Goals 38%
56% Overall 44%

Combo Double chance : Independiente Res. or draw and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

7
0-15'
12
7
16-30'
10
10
31-45'
9
16
46-60'
10
19
61-75'
12
12
76-90'
24
5
0-15'
5
5
16-30'
8
6
31-45'
9
4
46-60'
11
5
61-75'
4
6
76-90'
10

Side by side

Independiente Res. Lanús Res.
35 Played 35
22 Won 22
7 Drawn 5
6 Lost 8
74 Goals for 78
32 Goals against 48
13 Clean sheets 10
4 Failed to score 4

What comes next

Independiente Res.

Belgrano Córdoba Res. (A) 18 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 2.5 1.67
60% implied
Under 2.5 2.15
47% implied
Home/Draw 1.28
78% implied
Home/Away 1.28
78% implied
Draw/Away 1.62
62% implied
1:0 10.00
10% implied
2:0 12.00
8% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:0 19.00
5% implied
3:1 17.00
6% implied
3:2 26.00
4% implied
4:0 34.00
3% implied
4:1 34.00
3% implied
0:0 12.00
8% implied
1:1 7.00
14% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
0:2 17.00
6% implied
0:3 29.00
3% implied
1:2 13.00
8% implied
1:3 23.00
4% implied
2:3 29.00
3% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 51.00
2% implied
1:4 41.00
2% implied
2:4 51.00
2% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
1:5 81.00
1% implied
3:4 81.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 7.50
13% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00
17% implied
Home/Home 3.25
31% implied
Draw/Home 5.50
18% implied
Away/Home 23.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Away/Away 4.75
21% implied
Home -1.25 3.45
29% implied
Away -1.25 1.30
77% implied
Home -1 3.00
33% implied
Away -1 1.38
72% implied
Home -0.75 2.42
41% implied
Away -0.75 1.52
66% implied
Home -0.5 2.15
47% implied
Away -0.5 1.68
60% implied
Home -0.25 1.88
53% implied
Away -0.25 1.92
52% implied
Home +0 1.58
63% implied
Away +0 2.35
43% implied
Home +0.25 1.45
69% implied
Away +0.25 2.68
37% implied
Home +0.5 1.35
74% implied
Away +0.5 3.10
32% implied
Home +0.75 1.26
79% implied
Away +0.75 3.70
27% implied
Home -2 6.40
16% implied
Away -2 1.12
89% implied
Home +1 1.16
86% implied
Away +1 5.25
19% implied
Home -1.75 4.50
22% implied
Away -1.75 1.19
84% implied
Over 9.5 1.83
55% implied
Under 9.5 1.83
55% implied

Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 2.5 Goals: +2.5 (1.70 odds).

Independiente Res. are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Lanús Res. at 10%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 2.9 goals per game, with BTTS in 63% and over 2.5 in 63%.

Combo Double chance : Independiente Res. or draw and +1.5 goals

Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res. FAQs

What is the best prediction for Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Our top tip is 2.5 Goals: +2.5 (1.70 odds).

Who will win Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Model lean: Independiente Res. 45%, draw 45%, Lanús Res. 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 63% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.9 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 63% of the time.

When is Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Wednesday, 11th November 2026 at 18:00 UTC .

More Reserve League predictions

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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