Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Omiya Ardija and Montedio Yamagata enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.65 (61% probability) to edge the J2 League clash.

Japan: J2 League
Sat, 14th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 17
Omiya Ardija

Omiya Ardija

1st in table

L D W W W
FT
2 - 1
Montedio Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata

15th in table

L L W W L
10' S. Kokubu
14' Carlinhos Junior
30' R. Nakamura
50' Carlinhos Junior
53' Gabriel
78' S. Doi
78' H. Nodake
87' A. S. Disaro
90+2' K. Sekiguchi
Prediction: 1 (1.65 Odds) Won
Home Win 61% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Omiya Ardija

1.45

1.45 – 1.10

Montedio Yamagata

1.10

NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama

Omiya Ardija

1.65

55% implied

Draw

3.80

24% implied

Montedio Yamagata

4.33

21% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Won

+2.5

Odds 1.53 65%
3 5 Goals Won

-3.5

Odds 1.57 64%
Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.65 61%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

2

Omiya Ardija wins

4

Draws

3

Montedio Yamagata wins

3

Goals / game

89%

Both scored

67%

Over 2.5

26 Oct 2025
Montedio Yamagata
2-2
Omiya Ardija
15 Feb 2025
Omiya Ardija
2-1
Montedio Yamagata
03 Sep 2023
Montedio Yamagata
1-1
Omiya Ardija
08 Apr 2023
Omiya Ardija
2-1
Montedio Yamagata
05 Oct 2022
Omiya Ardija
1-1
Montedio Yamagata
23 Apr 2022
Montedio Yamagata
2-0
Omiya Ardija
14 Nov 2021
Montedio Yamagata
2-2
Omiya Ardija
03 Jul 2021
Omiya Ardija
1-3
Montedio Yamagata
11 Nov 2020
Montedio Yamagata
2-1
Omiya Ardija

J2 League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Omiya Ardija
17 9 6 2 32:19 13 33
2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
17 9 5 3 29:18 11 32
3
Albirex Niigata
17 10 2 5 24:27 -3 32
4
Kataller Toyama
16 9 4 3 29:15 14 31
5
Yokohama FC
17 9 4 4 32:19 13 31
6
Vegalta Sendai
16 9 3 4 28:15 13 30
7
Consadole Sapporo
16 8 2 6 22:19 3 26
8
Shonan Bellmare
17 6 8 3 18:15 3 26
9
Iwaki
16 7 2 7 26:22 4 23
10
Jubilo Iwata
16 6 5 5 19:17 2 23
11
Oita Trinita
17 5 7 5 20:20 0 22
12
Blaublitz Akita
16 5 5 6 18:18 0 20
13
Sagan Tosu
16 6 2 8 16:19 -3 20
14
Fujieda MYFC
17 4 7 6 18:21 -3 19
15
Montedio Yamagata
17 6 1 10 15:18 -3 19
16
Tokushima Vortis
16 5 2 9 12:17 -5 17
17
Tochigi City
17 4 3 10 27:32 -5 15
18
Vanraure Hachinohe
16 4 2 10 11:26 -15 14
19
Imabari
16 3 3 10 16:32 -16 12
20
Ventforet Kofu
17 3 3 11 12:35 -23 12

Top scorers

J2 League
# Player Team Goals
1
K. Safo
Consadole Sapporo
1
2
S. Kawasaki
Nara Club
1
3
Pedro Augusto
Tochigi City
0
4
Haruka Suzuki
Kanazawa
0
5
Gun-il Kim
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0
6
Taro Kagawa
Kataller Toyama
0

Recent form

Omiya Ardija

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Montedio Yamagata 2-1 W
A Tochigi City 0-3 W
H Iwaki 2-1 W
A Vegalta Sendai 1-2 W
H Yokohama FC 2-2 D
H Kataller Toyama 0-3 L
A Sagan Tosu 2-1 L
H Vanraure Hachinohe 3-1 W
A Urawa 3-2 L
A Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 D

Montedio Yamagata

2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Omiya Ardija 2-1 L
A Iwaki 2-0 L
H Tokushima Vortis 1-0 W
A Vanraure Hachinohe 1-2 W
H Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 L
H Consadole Sapporo 0-2 L
A Fujieda MYFC 0-0 D
H Vegalta Sendai 0-1 L
A Oita Trinita 2-1 L
H Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Omiya Ardija

1.45

xG

Match

1.45 – 1.10

Montedio Yamagata

1.10

xG

Our tip model

61%
21%
18%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

55%
24%
21%
Omiya Ardija Draw Montedio Yamagata

Most likely scores

1:1

12.5%

2:1

11.8%

1:0

10%

2:0

10%

3:1

8.3%

2:2

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 85%
Over 2.5 goals 65%
Over 3.5 goals 44%
Both teams to score 64%

Team comparison

Omiya Ardija Montedio Yamagata
63% Recent form 38%
75% Attack 25%
50% Defence 50%
59% Poisson 41%
75% Head-to-head 25%
57% Goals 43%
63% Overall 37%

Double chance : Omiya Ardija or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

5
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
1
5
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
3
5
61-75'
2
8
76-90'
7
2
0-15'
4
1
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
3
5
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
3

Side by side

Omiya Ardija Montedio Yamagata
16 Played 16
8 Won 6
6 Drawn 1
2 Lost 9
30 Goals for 14
18 Goals against 16
4 Clean sheets 6
3 Failed to score 8

What comes next

Omiya Ardija

Jubilo Iwata (A) 21 Nov MID
Tokushima Vortis (H) 25 Nov EASY
Imabari (H) 28 Nov EASY
Kataller Toyama (A) 06 Dec HARD

Montedio Yamagata

Blaublitz Akita (A) 21 Nov MID
Jubilo Iwata (H) 25 Nov MID
Vegalta Sendai (A) 29 Nov HARD
Iwaki (H) 06 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.17
85% implied
Under 1.5 5.00
20% implied
Over 2.5 1.53
65% implied
Under 2.5 2.40
42% implied
Over 3.5 2.25
44% implied
Under 3.5 1.57
64% implied
Over 0.5 1.02
98% implied
Under 0.5 17.00
6% implied
Over 4.5 4.00
25% implied
Under 4.5 1.22
82% implied
Over 7.5 29.00
3% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 5.5 1.08
93% implied
Over 6.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 6.5 1.02
98% implied
Yes 1.57
64% implied
No 2.25
44% implied
Home/Draw 1.18
85% implied
Home/Away 1.22
82% implied
Draw/Away 2.10
48% implied
1:0 10.00
10% implied
2:0 10.00
10% implied
2:1 8.50
12% implied
3:0 15.00
7% implied
3:1 12.00
8% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 26.00
4% implied
4:1 21.00
5% implied
0:0 17.00
6% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
0:1 17.00
6% implied
0:2 26.00
4% implied
0:3 51.00
2% implied
1:2 15.00
7% implied
1:3 34.00
3% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 101.00
1% implied
1:4 67.00
1% implied
2:4 67.00
1% implied
4:2 34.00
3% implied
0:5 301.00
1:5 151.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 10.00
10% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 2.60
38% implied
Draw/Home 5.00
20% implied
Away/Home 19.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 7.50
13% implied
Home -1.25 2.38
42% implied
Away -1.25 1.55
65% implied
Home -1 2.10
48% implied
Away -1 1.70
59% implied
Home -0.75 1.82
55% implied
Away -0.75 1.98
51% implied
Home -0.5 1.65
61% implied
Away -0.5 2.10
48% implied
Home -0.25 1.50
67% implied
Away -0.25 2.50
40% implied
Home +0 1.30
77% implied
Away +0 3.45
29% implied
Home +0.25 1.25
80% implied
Away +0.25 3.80
26% implied
Home +0.5 1.18
85% implied
Away +0.5 4.33
23% implied
Home +0.75 1.14
88% implied
Away +0.75 5.75
17% implied
Home -2 4.25
24% implied
Away -2 1.21
83% implied
Home -1.75 3.30
30% implied
Away -1.75 1.32
76% implied
Home -1.5 2.62
38% implied
Away -1.5 1.44
69% implied
Over 10.5 1.91
52% implied
Under 10.5 1.80
56% implied

Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.65 odds).

Omiya Ardija are rated 61% by our tip model, with the draw at 21% and Montedio Yamagata at 18%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 89% and over 2.5 in 67%.

Double chance : Omiya Ardija or draw

Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata FAQs

What is the best prediction for Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.65 odds).

Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?

Model lean: Omiya Ardija 61%, draw 21%, Montedio Yamagata 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 89% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 67% of the time.

When is Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?

Saturday, 14th November 2026 at 05:00 UTC , NACK5 Stadium Omiya.

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Tip X2 Odds 1.30

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Tip 1X Odds 1.25

Sat, Nov 14 · 05:00 UTC

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Match Preview

Omiya Ardija and Montedio Yamagata enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.65 (61% probability) to edge the J2 League clash.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata 

Date: Sat, Nov 14, 2026

Time: 05:00 UTC 

Venue: NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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