AD Marco 09 vs Paredes

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 82% probability rating, X2 stands out as the confident call for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes in the Liga 3, priced at odds of 1.22.

Portugal: Liga 3
Sat, 7th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 9
AD Marco 09

AD Marco 09

3rd in table

D W L D W
FT
1 - 3
Paredes

Paredes

1st in table

W W D W W
41' J. Guerrero
50' P. Ribeiro
60' Miguel
83' J. Yuk
85' D. Rodrigues
90+1' F. Canario
Prediction: X2 (1.22 Odds)
Double Chance 82% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.15

AD Marco 09

1.15

1.15 – 1.00

Paredes

1.00

Municipal de Marco de Canaveses, Marco de Canaveses

AD Marco 09

3.60

25% implied

Draw

3.20

28% implied

Paredes

1.95

46% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

X2

Odds 1.22 82%
2.5 Goals Free

-2.5

Odds 1.65 61%

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

2

AD Marco 09 wins

3

Draws

3

Paredes wins

1.8

Goals / game

13%

Both scored

25%

Over 2.5

03 May 2026
Paredes
2-2
AD Marco 09
14 Feb 2026
AD Marco 09
0-2
Paredes
11 Jan 2026
AD Marco 09
0-3
Paredes
05 Oct 2025
Paredes
2-0
AD Marco 09
01 Jun 2025
Paredes
0-0
AD Marco 09
11 May 2025
AD Marco 09
0-0
Paredes
24 Mar 2024
Paredes
0-2
AD Marco 09
10 Dec 2023
AD Marco 09
1-0
Paredes

Liga 3 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Paredes
9 7 1 1 20:9 11 22
2
Leça
9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
3
AD Marco 09
9 4 2 3 9:8 1 14
4
Fafe
9 3 4 2 13:9 4 13
5
Guimaraes B
9 3 3 3 12:10 2 12
6
Varzim
9 4 0 5 13:13 0 12
7
Vianense
9 2 5 2 12:13 -1 11
8
Pacos Ferreira
9 3 2 4 12:16 -4 11
9
São João Ver
9 2 3 4 9:12 -3 9
10
Trofense
9 1 2 6 7:19 -12 5
1
CF Os Belenenses
9 6 3 0 18:6 12 21
2
Atlético CP
9 6 2 1 18:7 11 20
3
Oliveirense
9 3 4 2 11:11 0 13
4
União Santarém
9 4 1 4 11:15 -4 13
5
Mafra
9 3 3 3 17:13 4 12
6
Louletano
9 3 2 4 12:12 0 11
7
Caldas
9 3 2 4 10:13 -3 11
8
Vitória de Sernache
9 2 1 6 6:16 -10 7
9
SC Covilha
9 1 4 4 5:10 -5 7
10
Lusitano Évora 1911
9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7

Top scorers

Liga 3
# Player Team Goals
1
Bernardo Lourenço
Atlético CP
0
2
E. Opara
Guimaraes B
0
3
Kauan Gomes
SC Covilha
0

Recent form

AD Marco 09

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Paredes 1-3 L
A Trofense 0-2 W
H Fafe 0-0 D
A Farense 3-0 L
A Leça 2-0 L
H Maia Lidador 1-0 W
H Guimaraes B 1-0 W
A São João Ver 0-0 D
A Régua 0-1 W
H Vianense 2-0 W

Paredes

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A AD Marco 09 1-3 W
H São João Ver 2-1 W
H Trofense 4-0 W
H Famalicao 1-0 W
A Vianense 3-3 D
H Maria da Fonte 5-1 W
H Fafe 2-1 W
A Varzim 0-1 W
A Ermesinde 1-3 W
H Leça 1-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.15

AD Marco 09

1.15

xG

Match

1.15 – 1.00

Paredes

1.00

xG

Our tip model

8%
10%
82%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

25%
28%
46%
AD Marco 09 Draw Paredes

Most likely scores

0:1

15.4%

1:1

14.3%

0:0

13.3%

0:2

12.5%

1:2

10%

1:0

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 2.5 goals 45%

Team comparison

AD Marco 09 Paredes
38% Recent form 62%
20% Attack 80%
71% Defence 29%
71% Poisson 29%
15% Head-to-head 85%
18% Goals 82%
39% Overall 61%

Combo Double chance : draw or Paredes and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
5
0
16-30'
4
2
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
1
4
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2

Side by side

AD Marco 09 Paredes
8 Played 8
4 Won 6
2 Drawn 1
2 Lost 1
8 Goals for 17
5 Goals against 8
5 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 0

What comes next

AD Marco 09

Pacos Ferreira (A) 28 Nov MID
Varzim (H) 04 Dec HARD
Vianense (A) 13 Dec MID
São João Ver (H) 19 Dec MID

Paredes

FC Porto (A) 20 Nov MID
Guimaraes B (A) 29 Nov HARD
Pacos Ferreira (H) 05 Dec MID
Leça (A) 12 Dec HARD

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 2.5 2.20
45% implied
Under 2.5 1.65
61% implied
Home/Draw 1.80
56% implied
Home/Away 1.28
78% implied
Draw/Away 1.18
85% implied
1:0 11.00
9% implied
2:0 21.00
5% implied
2:1 17.00
6% implied
3:0 41.00
2% implied
3:1 41.00
2% implied
3:2 51.00
2% implied
4:0 81.00
1% implied
4:1 81.00
1% implied
0:0 7.50
13% implied
1:1 7.00
14% implied
2:2 19.00
5% implied
0:1 6.50
15% implied
0:2 8.00
13% implied
0:3 13.00
8% implied
1:2 10.00
10% implied
1:3 19.00
5% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 67.00
1% implied
0:4 26.00
4% implied
1:4 34.00
3% implied
2:4 51.00
2% implied
4:2 81.00
1% implied
0:5 51.00
2% implied
1:5 67.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Home/Away 26.00
4% implied
Draw/Away 4.75
21% implied
Draw/Draw 5.00
20% implied
Home/Home 6.50
15% implied
Draw/Home 8.50
12% implied
Away/Home 41.00
2% implied
Away/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Away/Away 2.88
35% implied
Home -0.75 5.50
18% implied
Away -0.75 1.15
87% implied
Home -0.5 4.10
24% implied
Away -0.5 1.23
81% implied
Home -0.25 3.55
28% implied
Away -0.25 1.27
79% implied
Home +0 3.10
32% implied
Away +0 1.35
74% implied
Home +0.25 2.30
43% implied
Away +0.25 1.60
63% implied
Home +0.5 1.95
51% implied
Away +0.5 1.85
54% implied
Home +0.75 1.70
59% implied
Away +0.75 2.10
48% implied
Home +1 1.50
67% implied
Away +1 2.50
40% implied
Home +2 1.14
88% implied
Away +2 5.75
17% implied
Home +1.25 1.40
71% implied
Away +1.25 2.85
35% implied
Home +1.5 1.32
76% implied
Away +1.5 3.30
30% implied
Home +1.75 1.23
81% implied
Away +1.75 4.00
25% implied
Over 8.5 1.78
56% implied
Under 8.5 2.02
50% implied

AD Marco 09 vs Paredes: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.22 odds).

AD Marco 09 are rated 8% by our tip model, with the draw at 10% and Paredes at 82%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 1.8 goals per game, with BTTS in 13% and over 2.5 in 25%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Paredes and -3.5 goals

AD Marco 09 vs Paredes FAQs

What is the best prediction for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.22 odds).

Who will win AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

Model lean: AD Marco 09 8%, draw 10%, Paredes 82%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 13% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.8 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 25% of the time.

When is AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 20:00 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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