Paredes vs Trofense

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Paredes arrive in strong form (WLWWD) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Trofense at Municipal das Laranjeiras, with our model giving this a 71% probability at odds of 1.40.

Portugal: Liga 3
Sat, 24th Oct, 2026 Regular Season - 7
Paredes

Paredes

1st in table

W L W W D
FT
4 - 0
Trofense

Trofense

10th in table

L W D L D
8' Erik
20' D. Rodrigues
30' B. Val
42' Miguel
72' Miguel
Prediction: 1 (1.40 Odds) Won
Home Win 71% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.65

Paredes

1.65

1.65 – 1.00

Trofense

1.00

Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes

Paredes

1.40

64% implied

Draw

4.20

21% implied

Trofense

6.00

15% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.40 71%
VIP · Home Win

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Odds ••• 71% conf.
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Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6 games

1

Paredes wins

3

Draws

2

Trofense wins

1.2

Goals / game

17%

Both scored

17%

Over 2.5

07 Dec 2025
Trofense
0-0
Paredes
23 Aug 2025
Paredes
0-0
Trofense
11 Apr 2021
Paredes
0-1
Trofense
10 Jan 2021
Trofense
0-0
Paredes
02 Feb 2020
Paredes
0-1
Trofense
31 Aug 2019
Trofense
1-4
Paredes

Liga 3 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Paredes
9 7 1 1 20:9 11 22
2
Leça
9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
3
AD Marco 09
9 4 2 3 9:8 1 14
4
Fafe
9 3 4 2 13:9 4 13
5
Guimaraes B
9 3 3 3 12:10 2 12
6
Varzim
9 4 0 5 13:13 0 12
7
Vianense
9 2 5 2 12:13 -1 11
8
Pacos Ferreira
9 3 2 4 12:16 -4 11
9
São João Ver
9 2 3 4 9:12 -3 9
10
Trofense
9 1 2 6 7:19 -12 5
1
CF Os Belenenses
9 6 3 0 18:6 12 21
2
Atlético CP
9 6 2 1 18:7 11 20
3
Oliveirense
9 3 4 2 11:11 0 13
4
União Santarém
9 4 1 4 11:15 -4 13
5
Mafra
9 3 3 3 17:13 4 12
6
Louletano
9 3 2 4 12:12 0 11
7
Caldas
9 3 2 4 10:13 -3 11
8
Vitória de Sernache
9 2 1 6 6:16 -10 7
9
SC Covilha
9 1 4 4 5:10 -5 7
10
Lusitano Évora 1911
9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7

Top scorers

Liga 3
# Player Team Goals
1
Bernardo Lourenço
Atlético CP
0
2
E. Opara
Guimaraes B
0
3
Kauan Gomes
SC Covilha
0

Recent form

Paredes

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A AD Marco 09 1-3 W
H São João Ver 2-1 W
H Trofense 4-0 W
H Famalicao 1-0 W
A Vianense 3-3 D
H Maria da Fonte 5-1 W
H Fafe 2-1 W
A Varzim 0-1 W
A Ermesinde 1-3 W
H Leça 1-2 L

Trofense

1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Pacos Ferreira 4-3 L
H AD Marco 09 0-2 L
A Paredes 4-0 L
A Fafe 2-2 D
H Leça 1-4 L
A Guimaraes B 0-0 D
A Varzim 5-1 L
H São João Ver 1-0 W
A Vianense 2-0 L
H Varzim 0-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.65

Paredes

1.65

xG

Match

1.65 – 1.00

Trofense

1.00

xG

Our tip model

71%
16%
13%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

64%
21%
15%
Paredes Draw Trofense

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Paredes Trofense
67% Recent form 33%
67% Attack 33%
57% Defence 43%
71% Poisson 29%
25% Head-to-head 75%
0% Goals 100%
57% Overall 43%

Double chance : Paredes or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
4
76-90'
2
2
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
3

Side by side

Paredes Trofense
6 Played 6
4 Won 1
1 Drawn 2
1 Lost 3
11 Goals for 4
7 Goals against 9
2 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Paredes

FC Porto (A) 20 Nov MID
Guimaraes B (A) 29 Nov HARD
Pacos Ferreira (H) 05 Dec MID
Leça (A) 12 Dec HARD

Trofense

Varzim (A) 28 Nov HARD
Vianense (H) 05 Dec MID
São João Ver (A) 12 Dec MID
Guimaraes B (H) 19 Dec HARD

Paredes vs Trofense: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.40 odds).

Paredes are rated 71% by our tip model, with the draw at 16% and Trofense at 13%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 1.2 goals per game, with BTTS in 17% and over 2.5 in 17%.

Double chance : Paredes or draw

Paredes vs Trofense FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paredes vs Trofense?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.40 odds).

Who will win Paredes vs Trofense?

Model lean: Paredes 71%, draw 16%, Trofense 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 17% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 17% of the time.

When is Paredes vs Trofense?

Saturday, 24th October 2026 at 15:00 UTC , Municipal das Laranjeiras.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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