Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict
Fafe and Trofense enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.60 (63% probability) to edge the Liga 3 clash.
Portugal: Liga 3
Fafe
4th in table
Trofense
10th in table
Expected Goals (xG)
Total 1.00
Fafe
0.75
0.75 – 0.25
Trofense
0.25
Fafe
1.6056% implied
Draw
3.4027% implied
Trofense
5.2517% implied
1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)
1
4
Fafe wins
0
Draws
4
Trofense wins
3.5
Goals / game
75%
Both scored
75%
Over 2.5
Trofense
Fafe
Fafe
Trofense
Trofense
Fafe
Fafe
Trofense
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paredes
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 |
Leça
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 |
AD Marco 09
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 |
Fafe
|
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 |
Guimaraes B
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 |
Varzim
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 |
Vianense
|
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 |
São João Ver
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 |
Trofense
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 |
| 1 |
CF Os Belenenses
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atlético CP
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:7 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 |
Oliveirense
|
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 |
União Santarém
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 5 |
Mafra
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 |
Louletano
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |
Caldas
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 |
Vitória de Sernache
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 7 |
| 9 |
SC Covilha
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 |
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| # | Player | Team | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bernardo Lourenço
|
Atlético CP
|
0 |
| 2 |
E. Opara
|
Guimaraes B
|
0 |
| 3 |
Kauan Gomes
|
SC Covilha
|
0 |
Fafe
0.75
xG
Match
0.75 – 0.25
Trofense
0.25
xG
Our tip model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Fafe
Trofense
Combo Double chance : Fafe or draw and -3.5 goals
Fafe
Trofense
Fafe
Vianense
(A)
28 Nov
MID
São João Ver
(H)
05 Dec
MID
Guimaraes B
(A)
13 Dec
HARD
Leça
(H)
20 Dec
HARD
Trofense
Varzim
(A)
28 Nov
HARD
Vianense
(H)
05 Dec
MID
São João Ver
(A)
12 Dec
MID
Guimaraes B
(H)
19 Dec
HARD
Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.60 odds).
Fafe are rated 63% by our tip model, with the draw at 20% and Trofense at 17%.
In the last 8 meetings they averaged 3.5 goals per game, with BTTS in 75% and over 2.5 in 75%.
Combo Double chance : Fafe or draw and -3.5 goals
Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.60 odds).
Model lean: Fafe 63%, draw 20%, Trofense 17%.
Both teams scored in 75% of the last 8 meetings.
Recent H2H averaged 3.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 75% of the time.
Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 15:30 UTC , Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
Fafe and Trofense enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.60 (63% probability) to edge the Liga 3 clash.
Teams: Fafe vs Trofense
Date: Sun, Oct 11, 2026
Time: 15:30 UTC
Venue: Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe, Fafe
Check our prediction page now to see the complete Fafe vs Trofense prediction, analysis, and odds for today.
Networks:
Trusted football Prediction WebsiteWritten by
Joshua J
Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict