Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Velez Sarsfield arrive in strong form (WW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Boca Juniors, with our model giving this a 82% probability at odds of 1.22.

Argentina: Copa Argentina
Thu, 3rd Sep, 2026 Round of 16
Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

W W
PEN
0 - 0
Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors

W W
41' M. Pellegrini
54' R. Aliendro
74' D. Godoy
85' F. Herrera
90' A. Montero
90+2' D. Godoy
120+1' L. Blanco
120+1' E. Gomez
120+2' K. Zenon
120+2' J. Garcia
120+3' E. Valencia
120+3' S. Escobar
Prediction: X2 (1.22 Odds) Won
Double Chance 82% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.80

Velez Sarsfield

1.55

1.55 – 1.25

Boca Juniors

1.25

Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba S. Zunino

Velez Sarsfield

4.10

23% implied

Draw

3.25

29% implied

Boca Juniors

1.95

48% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.22 82%
1.5 Goals Lost

+1.5

Odds 1.50 67%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

3

Velez Sarsfield wins

2

Draws

4

Boca Juniors wins

3

Goals / game

56%

Both scored

44%

Over 2.5

08 Aug 2026
Boca Juniors
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
09 Feb 2026
Velez Sarsfield
2-1
Boca Juniors
28 Nov 2024
Boca Juniors
3-4
Velez Sarsfield
14 Jun 2024
Boca Juniors
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
26 Feb 2023
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
Boca Juniors
02 Oct 2022
Boca Juniors
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
10 Apr 2022
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Boca Juniors
24 Oct 2021
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Boca Juniors
08 Mar 2021
Velez Sarsfield
1-7
Boca Juniors

Top scorers

Copa Argentina
# Player Team Goals
1
L. Vietto
San Lorenzo
1
2
M. Rojo
Racing Club
1
3
J. Quintero
River Plate
1
4
J. Novillo
Aldosivi
1
5
Á. Di María
Rosario Central
0
6
S. Arias
Independiente
0
7
E. Salvio
Lanus
0
8
G. Campi
Barracas Central
0
9
L. Bucca
Independ. Rivadavia
0
10
Facundo Gulli
San Lorenzo
0

Recent form

Velez Sarsfield

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Union Santa Fe 2-0 L
H San Lorenzo 2-2 D
A Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-5 W
H Gimnasia M. 1-0 W
A Lanus 2-0 L
H Platense 2-2 D
H Tigre 3-2 W
A Newells Old Boys 1-1 D
H Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 W
A Deportivo Riestra 1-1 D

Boca Juniors

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Defensa Y Justicia 1-0 W
H River Plate 1-0 W
A Independiente 0-1 W
A Vasco DA Gama 1-3 W
H Talleres Cordoba 2-1 W
H Vasco DA Gama 0-1 L
A Instituto Cordoba 2-2 D
H Union Santa Fe 3-0 W
A Racing Club 2-3 W
A San Lorenzo 0-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.80

Velez Sarsfield

1.55

xG

Match

1.55 – 1.25

Boca Juniors

1.25

xG

Our tip model

8%
10%
82%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

23%
29%
48%
Velez Sarsfield Draw Boca Juniors

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Velez Sarsfield Boca Juniors
50% Recent form 50%
60% Attack 40%
0% Defence 100%
0% Poisson 100%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
53% Overall 48%

Double chance : draw or Boca Juniors

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Velez Sarsfield Boca Juniors
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
6 Goals for 4
1 Goals against 0
1 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Velez Sarsfield

Belgrano Cordoba (H) 22 Nov MID

Boca Juniors

Banfield (A) 14 Nov MID
Atletico-MG (A) 21 Nov MID
Independ. Rivadavia (H) 22 Nov MID

Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.22 odds).

Velez Sarsfield are rated 8% by our tip model, with the draw at 10% and Boca Juniors at 82%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 56% and over 2.5 in 44%.

Double chance : draw or Boca Juniors

Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors FAQs

What is the best prediction for Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.22 odds).

Who will win Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?

Model lean: Velez Sarsfield 8%, draw 10%, Boca Juniors 82%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 56% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 44% of the time.

When is Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?

Thursday, 3rd September 2026 at 00:15 UTC .

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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