Plymouth vs Swindon Town

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 70% probability rating, 1 stands out as the confident call for Plymouth vs Swindon Town in the EFL Trophy, priced at odds of 1.42.

England: EFL Trophy
Tue, 10th Nov, 2026 Group South - 5
Plymouth

Plymouth

W D
NS
VS
Swindon Town

Swindon Town

L L
Prediction: 1 (1.42 Odds)
Home Win 70% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.05

Plymouth

2.55

2.55 – 0.50

Swindon Town

0.50

Home Park, Plymouth

Plymouth

1.42

64% implied

Draw

4.75

19% implied

Swindon Town

5.25

17% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.42 70%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

4

Plymouth wins

1

Draws

4

Swindon Town wins

3.4

Goals / game

67%

Both scored

78%

Over 2.5

29 Jul 2023
Swindon Town
3-1
Plymouth
20 Sep 2022
Swindon Town
1-3
Plymouth
12 Oct 2021
Plymouth
1-3
Swindon Town
26 Jan 2021
Swindon Town
0-2
Plymouth
03 Nov 2020
Plymouth
4-2
Swindon Town
01 Jan 2020
Plymouth
1-2
Swindon Town
12 Oct 2019
Swindon Town
1-1
Plymouth
08 Oct 2019
Swindon Town
0-3
Plymouth
09 Oct 2018
Plymouth
0-3
Swindon Town

Top scorers

EFL Trophy
# Player Team Goals
1
M. Mothersille
Wycombe
5
2
C. Mills
Leeds United U21
4
3
E. Tezgel
Wycombe
4
4
W. Swan
Bradford
4
5
S. Duke-McKenna
Crawley Town
4
6
N. Powell
Bradford
4
7
Wanya Marçal
Stevenage
3
8
M. Asamoah
Port Vale
3
9
A. Bristrić
Leicester
3
10
Harry Ashfield
Peterborough
3

Recent form

Plymouth

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Alvechurch 4-0 W
H Reading 0-0 D
A Cambridge United 2-3 W
A Stevenage 3-0 L
H Huddersfield 0-2 L
H AFC Wimbledon 2-1 W
A Leyton Orient 0-2 W
H Burton Albion 0-1 L
H Crystal Palace U21 5-1 W
A Blackpool 2-4 W

Swindon Town

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 L
H Rotherham 2-1 W
A Bristol Rovers 0-0 D
A Barnet 1-3 W
H Walsall 1-1 D
H Crewe 0-1 L
A Rochdale 1-0 L
H Accrington ST 1-1 D
H Newport County 0-2 L
A Salford City 1-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.05

Plymouth

2.55

xG

Match

2.55 – 0.50

Swindon Town

0.50

xG

Our tip model

70%
17%
13%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

64%
19%
17%
Plymouth Draw Swindon Town

Most likely scores

2:1

11.1%

2:0

10%

1:1

10%

3:1

9.1%

1:0

8.3%

3:0

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 90%
Over 2.5 goals 71%
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 65%

Team comparison

Plymouth Swindon Town
100% Recent form 0%
88% Attack 13%
57% Defence 43%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
61% Overall 39%

Combo Winner : Plymouth and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Plymouth Swindon Town
2 Played 2
1 Won 0
1 Drawn 0
0 Lost 2
7 Goals for 1
3 Goals against 4
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Plymouth

Swindon Town (H) 10 Nov MID
Sheffield Wednesday (A) 14 Nov MID
Peterborough (H) 21 Nov MID
Wigan (A) 28 Nov MID

Swindon Town

Plymouth (A) 10 Nov MID
Grimsby (H) 14 Nov MID
Newport County (A) 21 Nov MID
Chesterfield (H) 28 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.11
90% implied
Under 1.5 6.00
17% implied
Over 2.5 1.40
71% implied
Under 2.5 2.75
36% implied
Over 3.5 1.91
52% implied
Under 3.5 1.80
56% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 12.00
8% implied
Over 8.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.25
31% implied
Under 4.5 1.33
75% implied
Over 7.5 12.00
8% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 5.00
20% implied
Under 5.5 1.14
88% implied
Over 6.5 8.50
12% implied
Under 6.5 1.05
95% implied
Yes 1.53
65% implied
No 2.38
42% implied
Home/Draw 1.14
88% implied
Home/Away 1.17
85% implied
Draw/Away 2.62
38% implied
1:0 12.00
8% implied
2:0 10.00
10% implied
2:1 9.00
11% implied
3:0 12.00
8% implied
3:1 11.00
9% implied
3:2 19.00
5% implied
4:0 19.00
5% implied
4:1 17.00
6% implied
0:0 23.00
4% implied
1:1 10.00
10% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 23.00
4% implied
0:2 34.00
3% implied
0:3 51.00
2% implied
1:2 17.00
6% implied
1:3 41.00
2% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 126.00
1% implied
1:4 67.00
1% implied
2:4 67.00
1% implied
4:2 29.00
3% implied
2:5 151.00
1% implied
3:4 81.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Home/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 13.00
8% implied
Draw/Draw 8.00
13% implied
Home/Home 2.10
48% implied
Draw/Home 4.75
21% implied
Away/Home 17.00
6% implied
Away/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Away/Away 9.00
11% implied
Home -1.25 1.88
53% implied
Away -1.25 1.92
52% implied
Home -1 1.70
59% implied
Away -1 2.10
48% implied
Home -0.75 1.55
65% implied
Away -0.75 2.38
42% implied
Home -0.5 1.48
68% implied
Away -0.5 2.60
38% implied
Home -0.25 1.32
76% implied
Away -0.25 3.30
30% implied
Home +0 1.21
83% implied
Away +0 4.25
24% implied
Home +0.25 1.18
85% implied
Away +0.25 4.65
22% implied
Home +0.5 1.16
86% implied
Away +0.5 5.25
19% implied
Home +0.75 1.10
91% implied
Away +0.75 6.80
15% implied
Home -3 5.90
17% implied
Away -3 1.13
88% implied
Home -2 2.85
35% implied
Away -2 1.40
71% implied
Home -1.75 2.38
42% implied
Away -1.75 1.55
65% implied
Over 10.5 1.88
53% implied
Under 10.5 1.92
52% implied

Plymouth vs Swindon Town: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.42 odds).

Plymouth are rated 70% by our tip model, with the draw at 17% and Swindon Town at 13%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 67% and over 2.5 in 78%.

Combo Winner : Plymouth and +1.5 goals

Plymouth vs Swindon Town FAQs

What is the best prediction for Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.42 odds).

Who will win Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

Model lean: Plymouth 70%, draw 17%, Swindon Town 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 67% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 78% of the time.

When is Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

Tuesday, 10th November 2026 at 19:00 UTC , Home Park.

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Match Preview

With a 70% probability rating, 1 stands out as the confident call for Plymouth vs Swindon Town in the EFL Trophy, priced at odds of 1.42.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Plymouth vs Swindon Town 

Date: Tue, Nov 10, 2026

Time: 19:00 UTC 

Venue: Home Park, Plymouth

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Plymouth vs Swindon Town prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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