Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Chelmsford City arrive in strong form (DWWLW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Ebbsfleet United at Melbourne Stadium, with our model giving this a 82% probability at odds of 1.22.

England: National League - South
Mon, 9th Nov, 2026 National League South - 3
Chelmsford City

Chelmsford City

10th in table

D W W L W
NS
VS
Ebbsfleet United

Ebbsfleet United

1st in table

W W L W W
Prediction: X2 (1.22 Odds)
Double Chance 82% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.60

Chelmsford City

0.95

0.95 – 1.65

Ebbsfleet United

1.65

Melbourne Stadium

Chelmsford City

3.50

26% implied

Draw

3.50

26% implied

Ebbsfleet United

1.83

49% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

X2

Odds 1.22 82%

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

1

Chelmsford City wins

2

Draws

5

Ebbsfleet United wins

1.4

Goals / game

25%

Both scored

25%

Over 2.5

20 Dec 2025
Chelmsford City
0-1
Ebbsfleet United
19 Aug 2025
Ebbsfleet United
1-0
Chelmsford City
25 Feb 2023
Chelmsford City
0-1
Ebbsfleet United
17 Jan 2023
Ebbsfleet United
2-0
Chelmsford City
07 May 2022
Ebbsfleet United
2-1
Chelmsford City
30 Aug 2021
Chelmsford City
0-0
Ebbsfleet United
29 Sep 2015
Ebbsfleet United
1-2
Chelmsford City
26 Sep 2015
Chelmsford City
0-0
Ebbsfleet United

National League - South table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Ebbsfleet United
15 10 4 1 36:10 26 34
2
Maidstone Utd
16 10 2 4 28:19 9 32
3
Truro City
14 9 3 2 27:12 15 30
4
Farnham Town
16 9 2 5 32:20 12 29
5
Salisbury
14 8 4 2 25:10 15 28
6
Dorking Wanderers
15 7 6 2 34:23 11 27
7
Billericay Town
14 7 5 2 34:18 16 26
8
Dagenham & Redbridge
16 7 4 5 15:13 2 25
9
Tonbridge Angels
16 7 3 6 28:19 9 24
10
Chelmsford City
15 5 9 1 23:15 8 24
11
Horsham
16 5 7 4 23:19 4 22
12
Dover
14 6 4 4 20:19 1 22
13
Weston-super-Mare
15 6 3 6 25:22 3 21
14
Torquay
14 5 5 4 22:17 5 20
15
Folkestone Invicta
15 5 5 5 22:18 4 20
16
AFC Totton
16 6 1 9 17:29 -12 19
17
Farnborough
16 5 2 9 13:33 -20 17
18
Maidenhead
16 3 7 6 15:20 -5 16
19
Braintree
15 5 1 9 22:38 -16 16
20
Hemel Hempstead Town
16 3 6 7 15:24 -9 15
21
Chesham United
15 3 2 10 20:33 -13 11
22
Hampton & Richmond
16 2 4 10 19:37 -18 10
23
Walton & Hersham
15 2 2 11 11:36 -25 8
24
Slough Town
16 2 1 13 18:40 -22 7

Recent form

Chelmsford City

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Farnborough 2-1 W
H Farnham Town 0-2 L
A AFC Totton 1-3 W
A Dover 0-1 W
H Tonbridge Angels 3-3 D
A Wimborne Town 1-0 L
A Chesham United 0-5 W
A Brackley Town 0-2 W
H Horsham 0-0 D
A Canvey Island 0-1 W

Ebbsfleet United

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Chesham United 1-0 W
A Farnborough 0-6 W
A Truro City 3-0 L
A Maidstone Utd 1-3 W
H Maidenhead 4-0 W
H Horsham 2-2 D
H Weston-super-Mare 6-1 W
H AFC Totton 5-0 W
A Hampton & Richmond 0-2 W
H Folkestone Invicta 1-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.60

Chelmsford City

0.95

xG

Match

0.95 – 1.65

Ebbsfleet United

1.65

xG

Our tip model

8%
10%
82%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

26%
26%
49%
Chelmsford City Draw Ebbsfleet United

Most likely scores

1:1

13.3%

1:2

11.1%

0:1

10.5%

0:2

10%

2:1

7.7%

2:2

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 83%
Over 2.5 goals 61%
Over 3.5 goals 40%
Both teams to score 62%

Team comparison

Chelmsford City Ebbsfleet United
45% Recent form 55%
39% Attack 61%
36% Defence 64%
26% Poisson 74%
0% Head-to-head 100%
13% Goals 88%
32% Overall 68%

Double chance : draw or Ebbsfleet United

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
5
6
16-30'
6
7
31-45'
3
4
46-60'
6
2
61-75'
4
1
76-90'
8
3
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
5

Side by side

Chelmsford City Ebbsfleet United
15 Played 15
5 Won 10
9 Drawn 4
1 Lost 1
23 Goals for 36
15 Goals against 10
5 Clean sheets 8
3 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Chelmsford City

Ebbsfleet United (H) 09 Nov HARD
AFC Telford United (A) 14 Nov MID
Walton & Hersham (A) 21 Nov EASY
Maidstone Utd (H) 23 Nov HARD

Ebbsfleet United

Chelmsford City (A) 09 Nov MID
Farnham Town (A) 14 Nov HARD
Dorking Wanderers (A) 21 Nov HARD
Billericay Town (H) 24 Nov HARD

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.20
83% implied
Under 1.5 4.33
23% implied
Over 2.5 1.65
61% implied
Under 2.5 2.20
45% implied
Over 3.5 2.50
40% implied
Under 3.5 1.50
67% implied
Over 0.5 1.03
97% implied
Under 0.5 10.00
10% implied
Over 4.5 4.50
22% implied
Under 4.5 1.17
85% implied
Over 7.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 5.5 1.06
94% implied
Over 6.5 11.00
9% implied
Under 6.5 1.02
98% implied
Yes 1.62
62% implied
No 2.20
45% implied
Home/Draw 1.83
55% implied
Home/Away 1.22
82% implied
Draw/Away 1.22
82% implied
1:0 15.00
7% implied
2:0 21.00
5% implied
2:1 13.00
8% implied
3:0 41.00
2% implied
3:1 29.00
3% implied
3:2 29.00
3% implied
4:0 81.00
1% implied
4:1 51.00
2% implied
0:0 15.00
7% implied
1:1 7.50
13% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
0:1 9.50
11% implied
0:2 10.00
10% implied
0:3 15.00
7% implied
1:2 9.00
11% implied
1:3 13.00
8% implied
2:3 21.00
5% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 29.00
3% implied
1:4 26.00
4% implied
2:4 41.00
2% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
0:5 51.00
2% implied
0:6 101.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 21.00
5% implied
Draw/Away 5.00
20% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50
15% implied
Home/Home 6.00
17% implied
Draw/Home 8.50
12% implied
Away/Home 34.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 2.75
36% implied
Home -1 7.00
14% implied
Away -1 1.10
91% implied
Home -0.75 4.65
22% implied
Away -0.75 1.18
85% implied
Home -0.5 3.55
28% implied
Away -0.5 1.27
79% implied
Home -0.25 3.30
30% implied
Away -0.25 1.32
76% implied
Home +0 2.85
35% implied
Away +0 1.40
71% implied
Home +0.25 2.25
44% implied
Away +0.25 1.62
62% implied
Home +0.5 1.95
51% implied
Away +0.5 1.85
54% implied
Home +0.75 1.75
57% implied
Away +0.75 2.05
49% implied
Home +1 1.52
66% implied
Away +1 2.42
41% implied
Home +2 1.16
86% implied
Away +2 5.25
19% implied
Home -1.5 8.00
13% implied
Away -1.5 1.08
93% implied
Home +1.25 1.42
70% implied
Away +1.25 2.75
36% implied
Over 9 1.80
56% implied
Under 9 2.00
50% implied
Over 9.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 9.5 1.73
58% implied

Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.22 odds).

Chelmsford City are rated 8% by our tip model, with the draw at 10% and Ebbsfleet United at 82%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 1.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 25% and over 2.5 in 25%.

Double chance : draw or Ebbsfleet United

Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.22 odds).

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?

Model lean: Chelmsford City 8%, draw 10%, Ebbsfleet United 82%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 25% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 25% of the time.

When is Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?

Monday, 9th November 2026 at 19:45 UTC , Melbourne Stadium.

More National League - South predictions

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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