Oxford City vs Merthyr Town

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Oxford City vs Merthyr Town is 1, at odds of 1.65 with a 61% probability rating.

England: National League - North
Tue, 27th Oct, 2026 National League North - 14
Oxford City

Oxford City

3rd in table

L W D W D
FT
3 - 0
Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town

17th in table

D L D D L
18' T. Marsh
77' C. Carroll
83' L. Francillette
Prediction: 1 (1.65 Odds) Won
Home Win 61% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.30

Oxford City

1.40

1.40 – 0.90

Merthyr Town

0.90

RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford

Oxford City

1.65

54% implied

Draw

3.80

24% implied

Merthyr Town

4.10

22% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Won

-3.5

Odds 1.53 65%
Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.65 61%

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

0

Oxford City wins

1

Draws

1

Merthyr Town wins

3

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

03 Apr 2026
Merthyr Town
1-1
Oxford City
26 Dec 2025
Oxford City
1-3
Merthyr Town

National League - North table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
South Shields
15 10 2 3 30:20 10 32
2
Hereford
16 9 3 4 28:14 14 30
3
Oxford City
15 8 4 3 27:12 15 28
4
Macclesfield
13 8 3 2 21:11 10 27
5
Hednesford Town
16 8 3 5 30:22 8 27
6
King's Lynn Town
16 8 3 5 27:21 6 27
7
Buxton
16 8 3 5 32:27 5 27
8
Chester
15 8 2 5 18:14 4 26
9
Morecambe
16 7 3 6 25:20 5 24
10
Bedford Town
14 7 1 6 17:19 -2 22
11
AFC Telford United
16 6 4 6 18:22 -4 22
12
Spalding United
15 6 3 6 20:17 3 21
13
Chorley
15 6 2 7 24:25 -1 20
14
Worksop Town
15 6 2 7 20:21 -1 20
15
Hebburn Town
15 5 5 5 20:28 -8 20
16
Marine
15 6 1 8 20:20 0 19
17
Merthyr Town
16 4 7 5 22:23 -1 19
18
Brackley Town
16 5 4 7 18:27 -9 19
19
Harborough Town
14 4 5 5 13:17 -4 17
20
Scarborough Athletic
16 4 4 8 22:25 -3 16
21
Radcliffe
15 5 1 9 19:27 -8 16
22
Darlington 1883
16 3 3 10 20:29 -9 12
23
Southport
15 2 4 9 15:30 -15 10
24
Spennymoor Town
15 2 4 9 14:29 -15 10

Recent form

Oxford City

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Darlington 1883 1-1 D
H Leicester 2-4 L
H South Shields 1-3 L
H Merthyr Town 3-0 W
A Marine 1-1 D
A Torquay 0-1 W
A Hebburn Town 0-3 W
H Enfield Town 6-1 W
H Morecambe 1-1 D
A Dorchester Town 0-2 W

Merthyr Town

1 W 5 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Hebburn Town 4-1 W
A Radcliffe 3-3 D
A Oxford City 3-0 L
H Morecambe 1-3 L
H King's Lynn Town 1-1 D
A Darlington 1883 1-1 D
H Marine 1-2 L
A Truro City 2-0 L
H Truro City 1-1 D
A Scarborough Athletic 0-0 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.30

Oxford City

1.40

xG

Match

1.40 – 0.90

Merthyr Town

0.90

xG

Our tip model

61%
21%
18%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

54%
24%
22%
Oxford City Draw Merthyr Town

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Oxford City Merthyr Town
73% Recent form 27%
67% Attack 33%
70% Defence 30%
61% Poisson 39%
20% Head-to-head 80%
33% Goals 67%
54% Overall 46%

Double chance : Oxford City or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
2
5
31-45'
3
5
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
1
4
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
2

Side by side

Oxford City Merthyr Town
12 Played 13
7 Won 3
3 Drawn 6
2 Lost 4
22 Goals for 15
8 Goals against 16
6 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Oxford City

Newmarket (A) 14 Nov MID
Macclesfield (H) 17 Nov HARD
Scarborough Athletic (H) 21 Nov EASY
Hednesford Town (A) 24 Nov HARD

Merthyr Town

Harborough Town (H) 14 Nov EASY
Spalding United (A) 21 Nov MID
Bedford Town (H) 24 Nov MID
Worksop Town (H) 28 Nov MID

Oxford City vs Merthyr Town: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.65 odds).

Oxford City are rated 61% by our tip model, with the draw at 21% and Merthyr Town at 18%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Double chance : Oxford City or draw

Oxford City vs Merthyr Town FAQs

What is the best prediction for Oxford City vs Merthyr Town?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.65 odds).

Who will win Oxford City vs Merthyr Town?

Model lean: Oxford City 61%, draw 21%, Merthyr Town 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Oxford City vs Merthyr Town?

Tuesday, 27th October 2026 at 19:45 UTC , RAW Charging Stadium.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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