Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras is 1, at odds of 1.80 with a 56% probability rating.

Brazil: Mineiro - 3
Mon, 5th Oct, 2026 Regular Season - 3
Nacional AC MG

Nacional AC MG

3rd in table

W W
FT
2 - 1
Nova Lavras

Nova Lavras

4th in table

L W
35' Theo
53' R. Batista
57' Victor Almeida
Prediction: 1 (1.80 Odds)
Home Win 56% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.05

Nacional AC MG

2.50

2.50 – 0.55

Nova Lavras

0.55

Nacional AC MG

1.80

51% implied

Draw

3.30

28% implied

Nova Lavras

4.33

21% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.80 56%

Mineiro - 3 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Venda Nova
5 3 2 0 14:2 12 11
2
Novo Esporte Clube
5 3 1 1 26:5 21 10
3
Nacional AC MG
5 3 1 1 7:3 4 10
4
Nova Lavras
5 3 0 2 21:4 17 9
5
Inter de Minas
5 1 0 4 8:10 -2 3
6
Santarritense
5 0 0 5 2:54 -52 0
1
Paracatu
5 4 0 1 12:2 10 12
2
Betim 2
5 4 0 1 6:2 4 12
3
Sao Joao del Rei
5 3 0 2 7:3 4 9
4
Araxá
5 2 0 3 6:5 1 6
5
Funorte
5 1 1 3 3:10 -7 4
6
Siderurgica
5 0 1 4 3:15 -12 1

Recent form

Nacional AC MG

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Betim 2 4-0 L
H Venda Nova 1-1 D
A Paracatu 0-0 D
H Venda Nova 1-1 D
A Novo Esporte Clube 1-0 L
H Nova Lavras 2-1 W
A Inter de Minas 0-1 W
H Santarritense 3-0 W
A Valeriodoce 2-2 D
H North Esporte 0-3 L

Nova Lavras

3 W 0 D 2 L in the last 5
Scored Conceded
A Inter de Minas 0-3 W
H Santarritense 13-0 W
A Nacional AC MG 2-1 L
H Novo Esporte Clube 3-0 W
A Venda Nova 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.05

Nacional AC MG

2.50

xG

Match

2.50 – 0.55

Nova Lavras

0.55

xG

Our tip model

56%
24%
20%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

51%
28%
21%
Nacional AC MG Draw Nova Lavras

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Nacional AC MG Nova Lavras
67% Recent form 33%
50% Attack 50%
100% Defence 0%
100% Poisson 0%
59% Overall 42%

Double chance : Nacional AC MG or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Nacional AC MG Nova Lavras
2 Played 2
2 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
4 Goals for 4
0 Goals against 2
2 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Nacional AC MG

Sao Joao del Rei (A) 13 Nov HARD
Novo Esporte Clube (H) 21 Nov HARD

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.80 odds).

Nacional AC MG are rated 56% by our tip model, with the draw at 24% and Nova Lavras at 20%.

Double chance : Nacional AC MG or draw

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras FAQs

What is the best prediction for Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.80 odds).

Who will win Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras?

Model lean: Nacional AC MG 56%, draw 24%, Nova Lavras 20%.

When is Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras?

Monday, 5th October 2026 at 22:30 UTC .

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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