Penybont vs Caernarfon Town

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Penybont arrive in strong form (WWLWW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Caernarfon Town at Bryntirion Park, with our model giving this a 67% probability at odds of 1.50.

Wales: Premier League
Fri, 6th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 16
Penybont

Penybont

3rd in table

W W L W W
FT
2 - 0
Caernarfon Town

Caernarfon Town

6th in table

D L W W L
19' C. Venables
49' T. Walker
50' H. Charsley
76' A. Cieslewicz
83' C. Marriott
86' S. Bradley
Prediction: 1X (1.50 Odds) Won
Double Chance 67% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Penybont

1.55

1.55 – 1.75

Caernarfon Town

1.75

Bryntirion Park, Bridgend B. Markham-Jones

Penybont

2.50

36% implied

Draw

3.40

26% implied

Caernarfon Town

2.38

38% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.50 67%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

5

Penybont wins

1

Draws

3

Caernarfon Town wins

3

Goals / game

56%

Both scored

56%

Over 2.5

07 Aug 2026
Caernarfon Town
1-2
Penybont
18 Apr 2026
Caernarfon Town
2-0
Penybont
24 Jan 2026
Penybont
0-0
Caernarfon Town
25 Oct 2025
Penybont
0-2
Caernarfon Town
20 Sep 2025
Caernarfon Town
1-2
Penybont
13 Apr 2025
Penybont
3-1
Caernarfon Town
22 Feb 2025
Caernarfon Town
3-2
Penybont
02 Nov 2024
Caernarfon Town
1-5
Penybont
07 Sep 2024
Penybont
2-0
Caernarfon Town

Premier League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
The New Saints
16 14 2 0 54:6 48 44
2
GAP Connah S Quay FC
16 12 2 2 34:9 25 38
3
Penybont
15 11 3 1 32:11 21 36
4
Colwyn Bay
16 10 2 4 28:18 10 32
5
Airbus UK
16 10 0 6 34:24 10 30
6
Caernarfon Town
16 9 2 5 42:21 21 29
7
Barry Town
16 9 2 5 35:29 6 29
8
Cardiff MET
16 7 4 5 29:23 6 25
9
Cambrian & Clydach
16 5 4 7 26:41 -15 19
10
Llandudno
16 5 1 10 22:29 -7 16
11
Haverfordwest County AFC
16 5 1 10 12:23 -11 16
12
Briton Ferry
16 4 3 9 17:28 -11 15
13
Flint Town United
16 4 2 10 19:27 -8 14
14
Ammanford AFC
16 3 3 10 13:43 -30 12
15
Trefelin
16 1 3 12 9:38 -29 6
16
Holywell
15 0 2 13 16:52 -36 2

Recent form

Penybont

9 W 0 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Caernarfon Town 2-0 W
A Cardiff MET 0-5 W
A Afan Lido 2-3 W
H Barry Town 3-1 W
A GAP Connah S Quay FC 1-0 L
H Airbus UK 2-1 W
A Ammanford AFC 1-5 W
H Briton Ferry 3-2 W
A Trefelin 0-1 W
H Colwyn Bay 1-0 W

Caernarfon Town

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Penybont 2-0 L
A Airbus UK 3-2 L
H Briton Ferry 3-1 W
A Flint Town United 1-3 W
A Haverfordwest County AFC 1-2 W
H Barry Town 0-1 L
A Cardiff MET 2-2 D
H Cambrian & Clydach 9-1 W
A Llandudno 1-1 D
A Ammanford AFC 0-5 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Penybont

1.55

xG

Match

1.55 – 1.75

Caernarfon Town

1.75

xG

Our tip model

67%
18%
15%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

36%
26%
38%
Penybont Draw Caernarfon Town

Most likely scores

1:1

14.3%

1:0

10%

2:1

10%

0:1

9.1%

1:2

9.1%

2:0

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 83%
Over 2.5 goals 59%
Over 3.5 goals 38%
Both teams to score 62%

Team comparison

Penybont Caernarfon Town
63% Recent form 37%
63% Attack 38%
67% Defence 33%
46% Poisson 54%
50% Head-to-head 50%
40% Goals 60%
55% Overall 45%

Double chance : Penybont or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
4
5
16-30'
6
13
31-45'
9
4
46-60'
5
2
61-75'
10
4
76-90'
8
3
0-15'
4
0
16-30'
4
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
3

Side by side

Penybont Caernarfon Town
14 Played 15
10 Won 9
3 Drawn 2
1 Lost 4
30 Goals for 42
11 Goals against 19
5 Clean sheets 4
2 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Penybont

Cardiff Draconians (H) 13 Nov MID
Haverfordwest County AFC (H) 20 Nov EASY
Holywell (A) 24 Nov EASY
Briton Ferry (A) 27 Nov EASY

Caernarfon Town

Holywell (H) 13 Nov EASY
GAP Connah S Quay FC (H) 20 Nov HARD
Barry Town (A) 28 Nov MID
Haverfordwest County AFC (H) 05 Dec EASY

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.20
83% implied
Under 1.5 4.33
23% implied
Over 2.5 1.70
59% implied
Under 2.5 2.10
48% implied
Over 3.5 2.62
38% implied
Under 3.5 1.44
69% implied
Over 0.5 1.04
96% implied
Under 0.5 9.00
11% implied
Over 4.5 4.50
22% implied
Under 4.5 1.17
85% implied
Over 7.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 5.5 1.06
94% implied
Over 6.5 12.00
8% implied
Under 6.5 1.01
99% implied
Yes 1.62
62% implied
No 2.20
45% implied
Home/Draw 1.44
69% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 1.44
69% implied
1:0 10.00
10% implied
2:0 13.00
8% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:0 23.00
4% implied
3:1 19.00
5% implied
3:2 26.00
4% implied
4:0 41.00
2% implied
4:1 41.00
2% implied
0:0 13.00
8% implied
1:1 7.00
14% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
0:1 11.00
9% implied
0:2 15.00
7% implied
0:3 26.00
4% implied
1:2 11.00
9% implied
1:3 21.00
5% implied
2:3 26.00
4% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 51.00
2% implied
1:4 41.00
2% implied
2:4 51.00
2% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
0:5 101.00
1% implied
1:5 81.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 6.50
15% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00
17% implied
Home/Home 3.75
27% implied
Draw/Home 6.00
17% implied
Away/Home 26.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 4.33
23% implied
Home -1.25 3.80
26% implied
Away -1.25 1.25
80% implied
Home -1 3.45
29% implied
Away -1 1.30
77% implied
Home -0.75 2.68
37% implied
Away -0.75 1.45
69% implied
Home -0.5 2.25
44% implied
Away -0.5 1.62
62% implied
Home -0.25 2.00
50% implied
Away -0.25 1.80
56% implied
Home +0 1.70
59% implied
Away +0 2.10
48% implied
Home +0.25 1.52
66% implied
Away +0.25 2.42
41% implied
Home +0.5 1.42
70% implied
Away +0.5 2.75
36% implied
Home +0.75 1.30
77% implied
Away +0.75 3.45
29% implied
Home +1 1.18
85% implied
Away +1 4.65
22% implied
Home -1.75 5.50
18% implied
Away -1.75 1.15
87% implied
Home -1.5 4.15
24% implied
Away -1.5 1.22
82% implied
Over 8.5 1.80
56% implied
Under 8.5 2.00
50% implied

Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.50 odds).

Penybont are rated 67% by our tip model, with the draw at 18% and Caernarfon Town at 15%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 56% and over 2.5 in 56%.

Double chance : Penybont or draw

Penybont vs Caernarfon Town FAQs

What is the best prediction for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.50 odds).

Who will win Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?

Model lean: Penybont 67%, draw 18%, Caernarfon Town 15%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 56% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 56% of the time.

When is Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?

Friday, 6th November 2026 at 19:45 UTC , Bryntirion Park.

Match Preview

Penybont arrive in strong form (WWLWW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Caernarfon Town at Bryntirion Park, with our model giving this a 67% probability at odds of 1.50.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Penybont vs Caernarfon Town 

Date: Fri, Nov 6, 2026

Time: 19:45 UTC 

Venue: Bryntirion Park, Bridgend

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Penybont vs Caernarfon Town prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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