FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 75% probability rating, 2 stands out as the confident call for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München in the Bundesliga, priced at odds of 1.33.

Germany: Bundesliga
Sat, 7th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 9
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

W L W L L
NS
VS
Bayern München

Bayern München

W D W W D
Prediction: 2 (1.33 Odds)
Away Win 75% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.40

FSV Mainz 05

1.25

1.25 – 2.15

Bayern München

2.15

MEWA Arena, Mainz Robert Schroder

FSV Mainz 05

6.50

15% implied

Draw

6.50

15% implied

Bayern München

1.33

71% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Away Win Free

2

Odds 1.33 75%
Free Tip Free

2

Odds 1.34 75%
Free 2 Odds Free

2

Odds 1.34 75%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10 games

2

FSV Mainz 05 wins

1

Draws

7

Bayern München wins

5

Goals / game

70%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

25 Apr 2026
FSV Mainz 05
3-4
Bayern München
14 Dec 2025
Bayern München
2-2
FSV Mainz 05
26 Apr 2025
Bayern München
3-0
FSV Mainz 05
14 Dec 2024
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
Bayern München
30 Oct 2024
FSV Mainz 05
0-4
Bayern München
09 Mar 2024
Bayern Munich
8-1
FSV Mainz 05
21 Oct 2023
FSV Mainz 05
1-3
Bayern Munich
22 Apr 2023
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
Bayern Munich
01 Feb 2023
FSV Mainz 05
0-4
Bayern Munich
29 Oct 2022
Bayern Munich
6-2
FSV Mainz 05

Top scorers

Bundesliga
# Player Team Goals
1
N. Füllkrug
Werder Bremen
9
2
P. Schick
Bayer Leverkusen
7
3
M. Olise
Bayern München
6
4
Y. Ebnoutalib
Eintracht Frankfurt
6
5
E. Demirović
VfB Stuttgart
5
6
P. Tietz
FSV Mainz 05
5
7
M. Gregoritsch
FC Augsburg
5
8
M. Krattenmacher
SV Elversberg
4
9
I. Matanović
SC Freiburg
4
10
C. Nkunku
RB Leipzig
4

Recent form

FSV Mainz 05

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A SV Elversberg 4-1 L
A VfL Bochum 2-0 L
H Werder Bremen 2-3 L
A FC Schalke 04 0-1 W
H Bayer Leverkusen 3-4 L
A Waldhof Mannheim 0-3 W
A Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 W
H Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 L
A Hamburger SV 0-5 W
H SC Paderborn 07 0-0 D

Bayern München

6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Atletico Madrid 0-2 W
H Borussia Dortmund 2-2 D
H 1. FC Magdeburg 6-1 W
A SC Freiburg 1-3 W
H Arsenal 2-2 D
H RB Leipzig 6-1 W
A Viking 3-3 D
A FC Augsburg 2-2 D
H Union Berlin 7-0 W
A SV Elversberg 1-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.40

FSV Mainz 05

1.25

xG

Match

1.25 – 2.15

Bayern München

2.15

xG

Our tip model

11%
14%
75%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

15%
15%
71%
FSV Mainz 05 Draw Bayern München

Most likely scores

1:2

10%

1:3

10%

0:2

9.1%

0:3

8.3%

1:1

7.7%

1:4

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 93%
Over 2.5 goals 80%
Over 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 69%

Team comparison

FSV Mainz 05 Bayern München
35% Recent form 65%
35% Attack 65%
30% Defence 70%
18% Poisson 82%
29% Head-to-head 71%
33% Goals 67%
30% Overall 70%

Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
5
4
31-45'
5
2
46-60'
5
1
61-75'
5
5
76-90'
5
6
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
4
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2

Side by side

FSV Mainz 05 Bayern München
8 Played 8
3 Won 5
1 Drawn 3
4 Lost 0
17 Goals for 27
17 Goals against 8
3 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

FSV Mainz 05

Bayern München (H) 07 Nov MID
FC Augsburg (A) 22 Nov MID
Union Berlin (H) 28 Nov MID
RB Leipzig (A) 05 Dec MID

Bayern München

FSV Mainz 05 (A) 07 Nov MID
1. FC Köln (H) 20 Nov MID
Lille (A) 25 Nov MID
Hamburger SV (A) 28 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.07
93% implied
Under 1.5 9.00
11% implied
Over 2.5 1.25
80% implied
Under 2.5 4.00
25% implied
Over 3.5 1.67
60% implied
Under 3.5 2.20
45% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 26.00
4% implied
Over 8.5 26.00
4% implied
Under 8.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 9.5 51.00
2% implied
Under 9.5 1.00
Over 4.5 2.50
40% implied
Under 4.5 1.53
65% implied
Over 7.5 13.00
8% implied
Under 7.5 1.04
96% implied
Over 5.5 4.00
25% implied
Under 5.5 1.25
80% implied
Over 6.5 7.00
14% implied
Under 6.5 1.10
91% implied
Yes 1.44
69% implied
No 2.62
38% implied
Home/Draw 3.25
31% implied
Home/Away 1.12
89% implied
Draw/Away 1.10
91% implied
1:0 34.00
3% implied
2:0 41.00
2% implied
2:1 23.00
4% implied
3:0 81.00
1% implied
3:1 41.00
2% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:1 101.00
1% implied
0:0 34.00
3% implied
1:1 13.00
8% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 17.00
6% implied
0:2 11.00
9% implied
0:3 12.00
8% implied
1:2 10.00
10% implied
1:3 10.00
10% implied
2:3 17.00
6% implied
3:3 34.00
3% implied
0:4 15.00
7% implied
1:4 13.00
8% implied
2:4 21.00
5% implied
4:2 67.00
1% implied
0:5 23.00
4% implied
0:6 41.00
2% implied
1:5 21.00
5% implied
Home/Draw 19.00
5% implied
Home/Away 13.00
8% implied
Draw/Away 4.50
22% implied
Draw/Draw 11.00
9% implied
Home/Home 13.00
8% implied
Draw/Home 17.00
6% implied
Away/Home 34.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Away/Away 1.80
56% implied
Home -0.25 6.40
16% implied
Away -0.25 1.12
89% implied
Home +0 6.00
17% implied
Away +0 1.12
89% implied
Home +0.25 4.10
24% implied
Away +0.25 1.23
81% implied
Home +0.5 3.30
30% implied
Away +0.5 1.32
76% implied
Home +0.75 3.00
33% implied
Away +0.75 1.38
72% implied
Home +1 2.68
37% implied
Away +1 1.45
69% implied
Home +2 1.62
62% implied
Away +2 2.25
44% implied
Home +3 1.23
81% implied
Away +3 4.10
24% implied
Home +1.25 2.30
43% implied
Away +1.25 1.60
63% implied
Home +1.5 2.02
50% implied
Away +1.5 1.78
56% implied
Home +1.75 1.85
54% implied
Away +1.75 2.00
50% implied
Home +2.5 1.42
70% implied
Away +2.5 2.75
36% implied
Over 10 1.85
54% implied
Under 10 1.95
51% implied
Over 10.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 10.5 1.73
58% implied

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.33 odds).

FSV Mainz 05 are rated 11% by our tip model, with the draw at 14% and Bayern München at 75%.

In the last 10 meetings they averaged 5 goals per game, with BTTS in 70% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München FAQs

What is the best prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.33 odds).

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

Model lean: FSV Mainz 05 11%, draw 14%, Bayern München 75%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 70% of the last 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 14:30 UTC , MEWA Arena.

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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