Pontevedra vs UD Ourense

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Pontevedra and UD Ourense enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.48 (68% probability) to edge the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 clash.

Spain: Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sat, 7th Nov, 2026 Group 1 - 11
Pontevedra

Pontevedra

3rd in table

L L W W D
FT
1 - 0
UD Ourense

UD Ourense

20th in table

D W L L W
7' D. Alba
18' Rui Pedro
20' J. Labrada
34' D. Alba
34' D. Alba
39' Rivelott Curro
45' A. Bastida
45+2' J. Labrada
45+2' J. Labrada
75' R. Ergouai
79' A. Bastida
79' A. Bastida
Prediction: 1 (1.48 Odds) Won
Home Win 68% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.80

Pontevedra

1.90

1.90 – 0.90

UD Ourense

0.90

J. Lopez

Pontevedra

1.48

61% implied

Draw

3.75

24% implied

UD Ourense

6.00

15% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.48 68%

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

0

Pontevedra wins

1

Draws

0

UD Ourense wins

2

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

29 Oct 2025
UD Ourense
1-1
Pontevedra

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Lugo
11 9 1 1 19:9 10 28
2
UD Logroñés
11 7 2 2 22:14 8 23
3
Pontevedra
11 5 3 3 13:11 2 18
4
Real Avilés
11 5 2 4 23:15 8 17
5
Mirandes
11 5 2 4 13:12 1 17
6
Racing Ferrol
11 5 2 4 10:9 1 17
7
Extremadura 1924
11 5 1 5 21:15 6 16
8
Mérida AD
11 5 1 5 18:14 4 16
9
Athletic Club II
11 4 3 4 17:15 2 15
10
Cacereño
11 4 3 4 9:9 0 15
11
Ponferradina
11 3 6 2 7:7 0 15
12
Barakaldo
11 3 5 3 10:10 0 14
13
Real Unión
11 3 4 4 19:19 0 13
14
Cultural Leonesa
11 3 4 4 11:11 0 13
15
Unionistas de Salamanca
11 4 1 6 13:18 -5 13
16
Zamora
11 3 3 5 11:13 -2 12
17
CD Coria
11 3 3 5 14:17 -3 12
18
Deportivo La Coruña II
11 3 2 6 12:19 -7 11
19
Arenas Getxo
11 3 2 6 10:23 -13 11
20
UD Ourense
11 2 2 7 4:16 -12 8

Recent form

Pontevedra

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H UD Ourense 1-0 W
A Barakaldo 0-0 D
A Arosa 2-0 L
A Cultural Leonesa 1-2 W
H Cacereño 1-0 W
H Mérida AD 1-2 L
A Racing Ferrol 2-0 L
H Ponferradina 1-1 D
A UD Logroñés 1-1 D
H Athletic Club II 1-3 L

UD Ourense

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Pontevedra 1-0 L
H Cultural Leonesa 1-0 W
A Arenas Getxo 2-0 L
A Real Avilés 3-0 L
H Barakaldo 1-0 W
A Real Unión 1-1 D
H Cacereño 0-0 D
A Unionistas de Salamanca 3-1 L
H UD Logroñés 0-3 L
A Mirandes 2-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.80

Pontevedra

1.90

xG

Match

1.90 – 0.90

UD Ourense

0.90

xG

Our tip model

68%
18%
14%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

61%
24%
15%
Pontevedra Draw UD Ourense

Most likely scores

1:0

16.7%

2:0

15.4%

1:1

12.5%

2:1

11.1%

0:0

11.1%

3:0

10%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 75%
Over 2.5 goals 49%
Over 3.5 goals 29%
Both teams to score 45%

Team comparison

Pontevedra UD Ourense
50% Recent form 50%
57% Attack 43%
55% Defence 45%
83% Poisson 17%
100% Head-to-head 0%
67% Goals 33%
62% Overall 38%

Double chance : Pontevedra or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
5
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
3

Side by side

Pontevedra UD Ourense
10 Played 10
4 Won 2
3 Drawn 2
3 Lost 6
12 Goals for 4
11 Goals against 15
3 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 6

What comes next

Pontevedra

Extremadura 1924 (A) 15 Nov MID
Lugo (H) 21 Nov HARD
Zamora (A) 29 Nov EASY
Unionistas de Salamanca (H) 06 Dec EASY

UD Ourense

Mérida AD (H) 14 Nov MID
Racing Ferrol (H) 22 Nov HARD
Lugo (A) 29 Nov HARD
CD Coria (H) 06 Dec EASY

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.33
75% implied
Under 1.5 3.25
31% implied
Over 2.5 2.05
49% implied
Under 2.5 1.75
57% implied
Over 3.5 3.50
29% implied
Under 3.5 1.28
78% implied
Over 0.5 1.06
94% implied
Under 0.5 8.00
13% implied
Over 4.5 6.50
15% implied
Under 4.5 1.10
91% implied
Over 5.5 10.50
10% implied
Under 5.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 6.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 6.5 1.00
Yes 2.20
45% implied
No 1.62
62% implied
Home/Draw 1.08
93% implied
Home/Away 1.20
83% implied
Draw/Away 2.40
42% implied
1:0 6.00
17% implied
2:0 6.50
15% implied
2:1 9.00
11% implied
3:0 10.00
10% implied
3:1 15.00
7% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:0 21.00
5% implied
4:1 29.00
3% implied
0:0 9.00
11% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:2 21.00
5% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
0:2 29.00
3% implied
0:3 67.00
1% implied
1:2 19.00
5% implied
1:3 51.00
2% implied
2:3 51.00
2% implied
3:3 67.00
1% implied
1:4 126.00
1% implied
2:4 151.00
1% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
5:0 41.00
2% implied
5:1 51.00
2% implied
5:2 101.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 19.00
5% implied
Home/Away 51.00
2% implied
Draw/Away 12.00
8% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50
18% implied
Home/Home 2.30
43% implied
Draw/Home 4.00
25% implied
Away/Home 26.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 19.00
5% implied
Away/Away 10.00
10% implied
Home -1.25 2.25
44% implied
Away -1.25 1.62
62% implied
Home -1 1.95
51% implied
Away -1 1.85
54% implied
Home -0.75 1.68
60% implied
Away -0.75 2.15
47% implied
Home -0.5 1.52
66% implied
Away -0.5 2.42
41% implied
Home -0.25 1.38
72% implied
Away -0.25 3.00
33% implied
Home +0 1.20
83% implied
Away +0 4.40
23% implied
Home +0.25 1.16
86% implied
Away +0.25 5.25
19% implied
Home +0.5 1.14
88% implied
Away +0.5 5.75
17% implied
Home -2 4.10
24% implied
Away -2 1.23
81% implied
Home -1.75 3.10
32% implied
Away -1.75 1.35
74% implied
Home -1.5 2.50
40% implied
Away -1.5 1.50
67% implied
Home -2.5 5.00
20% implied
Away -2.5 1.17
85% implied
Over 8.5 1.73
58% implied
Under 8.5 2.00
50% implied
Over 9 2.00
50% implied
Under 9 1.80
56% implied

Pontevedra vs UD Ourense: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.48 odds).

Pontevedra are rated 68% by our tip model, with the draw at 18% and UD Ourense at 14%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Double chance : Pontevedra or draw

Pontevedra vs UD Ourense FAQs

What is the best prediction for Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.48 odds).

Who will win Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?

Model lean: Pontevedra 68%, draw 18%, UD Ourense 14%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?

Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 15:30 UTC .

Match Preview

Pontevedra and UD Ourense enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.48 (68% probability) to edge the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 clash.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Pontevedra vs UD Ourense 

Date: Sat, Nov 7, 2026

Time: 15:30 UTC 

Venue: , Pontevedra

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Pontevedra vs UD Ourense prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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