Cacereño vs Lugo

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Lugo travel in excellent form (WWWLW) while Cacereño have struggled recently (LDLWL), making 2 at odds of 2.70 our pick for the meeting at Estadio Principe Felipe.

Spain: Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Fri, 6th Nov, 2026 Group 1 - 11
Cacereño

Cacereño

10th in table

L D L W L
FT
0 - 1
Lugo

Lugo

1st in table

W W W L W
17' T. Morchiladze
45' T. Morchiladze
46' R. Lucero
56' P. Moreno
69' M. Molina
76' A. Exposito
87' M. Dauda
Prediction: 2 (2.70 Odds) Won
Away Win 37% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.30

Cacereño

1.40

1.40 – 0.90

Lugo

0.90

Estadio Principe Felipe F. Jaramillo

Cacereño

2.35

38% implied

Draw

3.10

29% implied

Lugo

2.70

33% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Won

-2.5

Odds 1.73 58%
Away Win Won

2

Odds 2.70 37%

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

0

Cacereño wins

0

Draws

2

Lugo wins

2

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

29 Mar 2026
Cacereño
1-2
Lugo
04 Oct 2025
Lugo
1-0
Cacereño

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Lugo
11 9 1 1 19:9 10 28
2
UD Logroñés
11 7 2 2 22:14 8 23
3
Pontevedra
11 5 3 3 13:11 2 18
4
Real Avilés
11 5 2 4 23:15 8 17
5
Mirandes
11 5 2 4 13:12 1 17
6
Racing Ferrol
11 5 2 4 10:9 1 17
7
Extremadura 1924
11 5 1 5 21:15 6 16
8
Mérida AD
11 5 1 5 18:14 4 16
9
Athletic Club II
11 4 3 4 17:15 2 15
10
Cacereño
11 4 3 4 9:9 0 15
11
Ponferradina
11 3 6 2 7:7 0 15
12
Barakaldo
11 3 5 3 10:10 0 14
13
Real Unión
11 3 4 4 19:19 0 13
14
Cultural Leonesa
11 3 4 4 11:11 0 13
15
Unionistas de Salamanca
11 4 1 6 13:18 -5 13
16
Zamora
11 3 3 5 11:13 -2 12
17
CD Coria
11 3 3 5 14:17 -3 12
18
Deportivo La Coruña II
11 3 2 6 12:19 -7 11
19
Arenas Getxo
11 3 2 6 10:23 -13 11
20
UD Ourense
11 2 2 7 4:16 -12 8

Recent form

Cacereño

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Lugo 0-1 L
A Athletic Club II 3-1 L
H Zamora 1-0 W
A Pontevedra 1-0 L
H Unionistas de Salamanca 1-1 D
A Mérida AD 2-0 L
A UD Ourense 0-0 D
H Arenas Getxo 3-0 W
A Recreativo Huelva 2-1 L
H Cultural Leonesa 1-0 W

Lugo

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Cacereño 0-1 W
H Mérida AD 2-1 W
A Real Unión 4-1 L
H Deportivo La Coruña II 3-0 W
H UD Logroñés 3-1 W
A Real Avilés 1-2 W
H Racing Ferrol 1-0 W
A Zamora 1-2 W
H CD Coria 1-0 W
A Ponferradina 0-0 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.30

Cacereño

1.40

xG

Match

1.40 – 0.90

Lugo

0.90

xG

Our tip model

28%
35%
37%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

38%
29%
33%
Cacereño Draw Lugo

Most likely scores

1:1

15.4%

1:0

12.5%

2:1

10.5%

0:0

10.5%

0:1

10.5%

2:0

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 77%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Over 3.5 goals 29%
Both teams to score 56%

Team comparison

Cacereño Lugo
25% Recent form 75%
21% Attack 79%
50% Defence 50%
83% Poisson 17%
0% Head-to-head 100%
25% Goals 75%
41% Overall 59%

Double chance : draw or Lugo

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
3
0
31-45'
5
0
46-60'
0
4
61-75'
4
2
76-90'
5
1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
4
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
4

Side by side

Cacereño Lugo
10 Played 10
4 Won 8
3 Drawn 1
3 Lost 1
9 Goals for 18
8 Goals against 9
5 Clean sheets 4
3 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Cacereño

Ponferradina (A) 13 Nov MID
UD Logroñés (H) 22 Nov HARD
Extremadura 1924 (A) 29 Nov MID
Real Unión (H) 06 Dec MID

Lugo

Mirandes (H) 15 Nov HARD
Pontevedra (A) 21 Nov HARD
UD Ourense (H) 29 Nov EASY
Arenas Getxo (A) 06 Dec EASY

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.30
77% implied
Under 1.5 3.40
29% implied
Over 2.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 2.5 1.80
56% implied
Over 3.5 3.40
29% implied
Under 3.5 1.30
77% implied
Over 0.5 1.06
94% implied
Under 0.5 8.00
13% implied
Over 4.5 6.50
15% implied
Under 4.5 1.10
91% implied
Over 7.5 21.00
5% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 10.00
10% implied
Under 5.5 1.03
97% implied
Over 6.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 6.5 1.00
Yes 1.80
56% implied
No 1.91
52% implied
Home/Draw 1.30
77% implied
Home/Away 1.28
78% implied
Draw/Away 1.57
64% implied
1:0 8.00
13% implied
2:0 11.00
9% implied
2:1 9.50
11% implied
3:0 21.00
5% implied
3:1 19.00
5% implied
3:2 29.00
3% implied
4:0 41.00
2% implied
4:1 41.00
2% implied
0:0 9.50
11% implied
1:1 6.50
15% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 9.50
11% implied
0:2 15.00
7% implied
0:3 34.00
3% implied
1:2 12.00
8% implied
1:3 26.00
4% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
0:4 51.00
2% implied
1:4 51.00
2% implied
2:4 67.00
1% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
0:5 151.00
1% implied
1:5 126.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 7.00
14% implied
Draw/Draw 5.00
20% implied
Home/Home 3.50
29% implied
Draw/Home 5.50
18% implied
Away/Home 29.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 4.75
21% implied
Home -1.25 3.90
26% implied
Away -1.25 1.24
81% implied
Home -1 3.45
29% implied
Away -1 1.30
77% implied
Home -0.75 2.68
37% implied
Away -0.75 1.45
69% implied
Home -0.5 2.25
44% implied
Away -0.5 1.62
62% implied
Home -0.25 2.00
50% implied
Away -0.25 1.80
56% implied
Home +0 1.65
61% implied
Away +0 2.20
45% implied
Home +0.25 1.48
68% implied
Away +0.25 2.60
38% implied
Home +0.5 1.38
72% implied
Away +0.5 3.00
33% implied
Home +0.75 1.26
79% implied
Away +0.75 3.70
27% implied
Home +1 1.15
87% implied
Away +1 5.50
18% implied
Home -1.75 5.75
17% implied
Away -1.75 1.14
88% implied
Home -1.5 4.25
24% implied
Away -1.5 1.21
83% implied
Over 9.5 1.83
55% implied
Under 9.5 1.83
55% implied

Cacereño vs Lugo: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (2.70 odds).

Cacereño are rated 28% by our tip model, with the draw at 35% and Lugo at 37%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Double chance : draw or Lugo

Cacereño vs Lugo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Cacereño vs Lugo?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (2.70 odds).

Who will win Cacereño vs Lugo?

Model lean: Cacereño 28%, draw 35%, Lugo 37%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Cacereño vs Lugo?

Friday, 6th November 2026 at 18:00 UTC , Estadio Principe Felipe.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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