Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Atletico Madrid arrive in strong form (WWWWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Barcelona at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with our model giving this a 80% probability at odds of 1.25.

Spain: La Liga
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 12
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

W W W W W
FT
1 - 2
Barcelona

Barcelona

W W W L W
10' Giuliano Simeone Baldini
43' Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
45' Fermín López
66' Fermín López
74' Marc Bernal
87' Marcos Llorente
88' Marc Pubill
90+4' Morten Hjulmand
Prediction: X2 (1.25 Odds)
Double Chance 80% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.10

Atletico Madrid

1.60

1.60 – 2.50

Barcelona

2.50

Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid Javier Alberola Rojas

Atletico Madrid

3.75

25% implied

Draw

4.33

22% implied

Barcelona

1.80

53% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

X2

Odds 1.25 80%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona

37%   Possession   63%

4   Shots on Target   4

0   Pass Accuracy   0

4   Corner Kicks   2

14   Fouls   14

0 4 5
1 1 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

2

Atletico Madrid wins

1

Draws

6

Barcelona wins

3.8

Goals / game

56%

Both scored

78%

Over 2.5

14 Apr 2026
Atletico Madrid
1-2
Barcelona
08 Apr 2026
Barcelona
0-2
Atletico Madrid
04 Apr 2026
Atletico Madrid
1-2
Barcelona
03 Mar 2026
Barcelona
3-0
Atletico Madrid
12 Feb 2026
Atletico Madrid
4-0
Barcelona
02 Dec 2025
Barcelona
3-1
Atletico Madrid
02 Apr 2025
Atletico Madrid
0-1
Barcelona
16 Mar 2025
Atletico Madrid
2-4
Barcelona
25 Feb 2025
Barcelona
4-4
Atletico Madrid

Top scorers

La Liga
# Player Team Goals
1
Raphinha
Barcelona
15
2
Kylian Mbappé
Real Madrid
13
3
Lamine Yamal
Barcelona
10
4
M. Zabiri
Racing Santander
9
5
A. Budimir
Osasuna
8
6
Fermín
Barcelona
7
7
Sergio Camello
Rayo Vallecano
7
8
Roberto Fernández
Espanyol
6
9
Fer Niño
Elche
6
10
Álex Baena
Atletico Madrid
5

Recent form

Atletico Madrid

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Barcelona 1-2 L
H Bayern München 0-2 L
A Levante 0-2 W
H Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 W
A VfB Stuttgart 1-1 D
A Espanyol 0-1 W
H Manchester United 2-0 W
A Alaves 1-2 W
H Real Madrid 2-1 W
H Osasuna 4-0 W

Barcelona

8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Atletico Madrid 1-2 W
H Aston Villa 3-0 W
H Alaves 6-1 W
H Real Madrid 1-2 L
A Paris Saint Germain 4-2 L
A Real Betis 2-5 W
A Galatasaray 1-4 W
H Getafe 3-0 W
A Sevilla 1-3 W
H Racing Santander 7-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.10

Atletico Madrid

1.60

xG

Match

1.60 – 2.50

Barcelona

2.50

xG

Our tip model

9%
11%
80%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

25%
22%
53%
Atletico Madrid Draw Barcelona

Most likely scores

1:2

10.5%

1:1

10%

2:2

9.1%

2:1

7.7%

1:3

7.7%

0:1

6.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 91%
Over 2.5 goals 74%
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 75%

Team comparison

Atletico Madrid Barcelona
56% Recent form 44%
31% Attack 69%
75% Defence 25%
40% Poisson 60%
40% Head-to-head 60%
53% Goals 47%
49% Overall 51%

Double chance : draw or Barcelona

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
7
2
16-30'
8
3
31-45'
5
5
46-60'
5
3
61-75'
9
8
76-90'
10
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
4

Side by side

Atletico Madrid Barcelona
11 Played 11
9 Won 10
1 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
22 Goals for 46
8 Goals against 12
6 Clean sheets 4
1 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Atletico Madrid

Getafe (A) 22 Nov MID
Viking (H) 25 Nov MID
Elche (A) 29 Nov MID
Real Betis (H) 06 Dec MID

Barcelona

Villarreal (H) 22 Nov MID
Sabah FA (A) 25 Nov MID
Deportivo La Coruna (A) 29 Nov MID
Celta Vigo (H) 06 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.10
91% implied
Under 1.5 7.00
14% implied
Over 2.5 1.36
74% implied
Under 2.5 3.20
31% implied
Over 3.5 1.91
52% implied
Under 3.5 1.91
52% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 26.00
4% implied
Over 8.5 29.00
3% implied
Under 8.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 9.5 51.00
2% implied
Under 9.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.00
33% implied
Under 4.5 1.40
71% implied
Over 7.5 19.00
5% implied
Under 7.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 5.5 5.00
20% implied
Under 5.5 1.17
85% implied
Over 6.5 10.00
10% implied
Under 6.5 1.06
94% implied
Yes 1.33
75% implied
No 3.25
31% implied
Home/Draw 1.80
56% implied
Home/Away 1.22
82% implied
Draw/Away 1.33
75% implied
1:0 21.00
5% implied
2:0 26.00
4% implied
2:1 13.00
8% implied
3:0 41.00
2% implied
3:1 23.00
4% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 67.00
1% implied
4:1 41.00
2% implied
0:0 29.00
3% implied
1:1 10.00
10% implied
2:2 11.00
9% implied
0:1 15.00
7% implied
0:2 15.00
7% implied
0:3 19.00
5% implied
1:2 9.50
11% implied
1:3 13.00
8% implied
2:3 15.00
7% implied
3:3 26.00
4% implied
0:4 29.00
3% implied
1:4 21.00
5% implied
2:4 26.00
4% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
0:5 51.00
2% implied
0:6 101.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 17.00
6% implied
Draw/Away 6.00
17% implied
Draw/Draw 7.50
13% implied
Home/Home 5.00
20% implied
Draw/Home 8.50
12% implied
Away/Home 23.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Away/Away 3.00
33% implied
Home -1.25 6.00
17% implied
Away -1.25 1.12
89% implied
Home -1 5.75
17% implied
Away -1 1.14
88% implied
Home -0.75 4.00
25% implied
Away -0.75 1.23
81% implied
Home -0.5 3.30
30% implied
Away -0.5 1.32
76% implied
Home -0.25 2.85
35% implied
Away -0.25 1.40
71% implied
Home +0 2.60
38% implied
Away +0 1.48
68% implied
Home +0.25 2.15
47% implied
Away +0.25 1.68
60% implied
Home +0.5 2.00
50% implied
Away +0.5 1.85
54% implied
Home +0.75 1.70
59% implied
Away +0.75 2.10
48% implied
Home +1 1.52
66% implied
Away +1 2.42
41% implied
Home +2 1.17
85% implied
Away +2 5.00
20% implied
Home -1.5 6.40
16% implied
Away -1.5 1.12
89% implied
Over 10 1.82
55% implied
Under 10 1.98
51% implied
Over 10.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 10.5 1.73
58% implied

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.25 odds).

Atletico Madrid are rated 9% by our tip model, with the draw at 11% and Barcelona at 80%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3.8 goals per game, with BTTS in 56% and over 2.5 in 78%.

Double chance : draw or Barcelona

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.25 odds).

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?

Model lean: Atletico Madrid 9%, draw 11%, Barcelona 80%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 56% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.8 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 78% of the time.

When is Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 20:00 UTC , Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Match Preview

Atletico Madrid arrive in strong form (WWWWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Barcelona at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with our model giving this a 80% probability at odds of 1.25.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona 

Date: Sun, Nov 8, 2026

Time: 20:00 UTC 

Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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