Ferroviario vs Imperatriz

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Ferroviario and Imperatriz enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on -2.5 at odds of 1.75 (57% probability) to edge the Serie D clash.

Brazil: Serie D
Sun, 12th Jul, 2026 Round of 32
Ferroviario

Ferroviario

D W D W D
FT
3 - 0
Imperatriz

Imperatriz

W W D W D
45+7' Pedrinho
71' Red Card
81' Lucas Black
90+1' Raphael Freitas
Prediction: -2.5 (1.75 Odds) Lost
2.5 Goals 57% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.20

Ferroviario

1.50

1.50 – 0.70

Imperatriz

0.70

Estadio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza

Ferroviario

1.55

58% implied

Draw

3.40

26% implied

Imperatriz

5.75

16% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Lost

-2.5

Odds 1.75 57%

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5 games

3

Ferroviario wins

2

Draws

0

Imperatriz wins

3

Goals / game

60%

Both scored

60%

Over 2.5

04 Jul 2026
Imperatriz
1-1
Ferroviario
28 Nov 2020
Ferroviario
7-0
Imperatriz
26 Sep 2020
Imperatriz
1-2
Ferroviario
17 Aug 2019
Imperatriz
0-0
Ferroviario
15 Jun 2019
Ferroviario
2-1
Imperatriz

Serie D table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Manauara
10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
2
Nacional AM
10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
3
Sao Raimundo
10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
4
Monte Roraima
10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
5
Manaus FC
10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
6
GAS
10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5

Top scorers

Serie D
# Player Team Goals
1
Michel Douglas
CSE
7
2
Ciel
Ferroviario
6
3
Kayke
Uberlandia
3
4
Lucas Silva
CSA
3
5
Yann Rolim
Capital Brasilia
2
6
Matheuzinho
Capital Brasilia
2
7
Y. Mena
Ferroviario
2
8
Mateus Anderson
Capital Brasilia
1
9
Marcelo Toscano
Serra Branca
1
10
Éverson Bispo Pereira
Manauara
1

Recent form

Ferroviario

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Goiatuba EC 1-2 L
A Goiatuba EC 3-0 L
H Imperatriz 3-0 W
A Imperatriz 1-1 D
H Central SC 2-0 W
A Central SC 1-1 D
H Fluminense PI 1-0 W
A Tirol/CEFAT 0-0 D
H Altos 3-1 W
H Uniclinic Atletico Clube 2-0 W

Imperatriz

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Ferroviario 3-0 L
H Ferroviario 1-1 D
H Maracanã 1-1 D
H Tuna Luso 4-0 W
A Oratório 0-1 W
H Águia de Marabá 0-3 L
A Tocantinópolis 2-0 L
H Trem 4-0 W
A Trem 2-1 L
A Jacuipense 0-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.20

Ferroviario

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 0.70

Imperatriz

0.70

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

58%
26%
16%
Ferroviario Draw Imperatriz

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Ferroviario Imperatriz
45% Recent form 55%
38% Attack 62%
50% Defence 50%
75% Poisson 25%
85% Head-to-head 15%
80% Goals 20%
62% Overall 38%

Combo Double chance : Ferroviario or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
4
2
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
3
4
46-60'
4
3
61-75'
0
4
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
4

Side by side

Ferroviario Imperatriz
13 Played 13
7 Won 5
5 Drawn 5
1 Lost 3
19 Goals for 18
9 Goals against 12
5 Clean sheets 5
2 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Ferroviario

Floresta (H) 05 Jan MID
Itapipoca (A) 10 Jan MID
Icasa (H) 13 Jan MID
Ceara (A) 15 Jan MID

Ferroviario vs Imperatriz: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 2.5 Goals: -2.5 (1.75 odds).

Ferroviario are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Imperatriz at 10%.

In the last 5 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 60% and over 2.5 in 60%.

Combo Double chance : Ferroviario or draw and -3.5 goals

Ferroviario vs Imperatriz FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ferroviario vs Imperatriz?

Our top tip is 2.5 Goals: -2.5 (1.75 odds).

Who will win Ferroviario vs Imperatriz?

Model lean: Ferroviario 45%, draw 45%, Imperatriz 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 60% of the last 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 60% of the time.

When is Ferroviario vs Imperatriz?

Sunday, 12th July 2026 at 20:00 UTC , Estadio Presidente Vargas.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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