Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Preview

Millwall and Derby enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.67 (60% probability) to edge the Championship clash.

Championship Championship

Sat, Oct 31, 2026 |

Millwall

15:00
VS

Derby

Our Expert Prediction

Tip

1

Odds

1.67

Probability

60%

Match Odds

Home Win

1.67

Draw

3.70

Away Win

4.75

Expected Goals (xG)

A measure of shot quality — higher xG means more dangerous chances created

Millwall
4.16
Derby
1.26

Match Statistics

Millwall vs Derby

56%   Possession   44%

9   Shots on Target   4

0   Pass Accuracy   0

4   Corner Kicks   5

9   Fouls   9

0 3 2
1 2 0

Head to Head History

Previous encounters between Millwall and Derby

Tue, Mar 10, 2026
19:45
Millwall
Millwall
1 - 0
Derby
Derby
League Championship
Wed, Dec 10, 2025
19:45
Derby
Derby
1 - 1
Millwall
Millwall
League Championship
Sat, Feb 22, 2025
12:30
Derby
Derby
0 - 1
Millwall
Millwall
League Championship
Sat, Oct 19, 2024
14:00
Millwall
Millwall
1 - 1
Derby
Derby
League Championship
Wed, Feb 23, 2022
19:45
Derby
Derby
1 - 2
Millwall
Millwall
League Championship
Sat, Nov 6, 2021
15:00
Millwall
Millwall
1 - 1
Derby
Derby
League Championship
Sat, Mar 13, 2021
15:00
Derby
Derby
0 - 1
Millwall
Millwall
League Championship
Sat, Dec 5, 2020
15:00
Millwall
Millwall
0 - 1
Derby
Derby
League Championship
Sat, Jun 20, 2020
12:00
Millwall
Millwall
2 - 3
Derby
Derby
League Championship
Sat, Dec 14, 2019
15:00
Derby
Derby
0 - 1
Millwall
Millwall
League Championship

Millwall - Recent Matches

Sat, Oct 31
15:00
Millwall
Millwall
4 - 1
Derby
Derby
League Championship
W
Sat, Oct 24
11:30
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
2 - 1
Millwall
Millwall
League Championship
L
Sat, Oct 17
11:30
Millwall
Millwall
2 - 2
Lincoln
Lincoln
League Championship
D
Tue, Oct 13
18:45
Millwall
Millwall
0 - 1
Swansea
Swansea
League Championship
L
Sat, Oct 10
14:00
Preston
Preston
0 - 1
Millwall
Millwall
League Championship
W
Sat, Sep 19
11:30
Millwall
Millwall
2 - 2
West Ham
West Ham
League Championship
D
Tue, Sep 15
18:45
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
2 - 2
Millwall
Millwall
League Championship
D
Sat, Sep 12
14:00
Blackburn
Blackburn
3 - 1
Millwall
Millwall
League Championship
L
Tue, Sep 8
19:00
Millwall
Millwall
0 - 1
Newcastle
Newcastle
League League Cup
L
Sat, Sep 5
14:00
Millwall
Millwall
4 - 0
Bolton
Bolton
League Championship
W

Millwall Form Analysis

Millwall come into this fixture in mixed form, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 6 during that run, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Key contributors in front of goal include Kyrell Lisbie (2 goals), Luke Cundle and Jake Cooper. Their most recent outing ended in a victory against Derby (4–1) in the Championship. Consistency will be key if they are to get a positive result here.

Derby - Recent Matches

Sat, Oct 31
15:00
Millwall
Millwall
4 - 1
Derby
Derby
League Championship
L
Sat, Oct 24
11:30
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd
1 - 1
Derby
Derby
League Championship
D
Sat, Oct 17
14:00
Derby
Derby
0 - 1
Stoke City
Stoke City
League Championship
L
Wed, Oct 14
18:45
QPR
QPR
4 - 1
Derby
Derby
League Championship
L
Sat, Oct 10
14:00
Derby
Derby
1 - 1
Wrexham
Wrexham
League Championship
D
Sat, Sep 19
14:00
Burnley
Burnley
1 - 1
Derby
Derby
League Championship
D
Sat, Sep 12
11:30
Derby
Derby
1 - 2
Birmingham
Birmingham
League Championship
L
Wed, Sep 9
18:45
Derby
Derby
0 - 1
West Brom
West Brom
League Championship
L
Sat, Sep 5
14:00
West Ham
West Ham
3 - 0
Derby
Derby
League Championship
L
Tue, Sep 1
18:45
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
0 - 2
Derby
Derby
League Championship
W

Derby Form Analysis

Derby arrive in poor form, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across their last 5 fixtures. They have netted 4 goals and let in 11, averaging 0.8 goals per game going forward. Key contributors in front of goal include Filip Bilbija, B. Clark and L. Salvesen. Most recently, they recorded a defeat against Millwall (1–4) in the Championship. They will need a significant improvement to get anything from this match.

Injury & Suspension Report

Millwall

T. Arconte
Ankle Injury
J. Coburn
Muscle Injury
C. De Norre
Muscle Injury
L. Jensen
Muscle Injury
F. Marschall
Injury
M. Servais
Inactive
M. Luongo
Knee Injury

Derby

P. Agyemang
Achilles Tendon Injury
E. Cashin
Inactive
M. Clarke
Calf Injury
C. Forsyth
Knee Injury
S. Langas
Injury
D. Murkin
Hamstring Injury
D. Sanderson
Red Card
C. Taylor
Injury
L. Travis
Ankle Injury

Championship - Standings

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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