Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Stal Mielec and Ruch Chorzów enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 2 at odds of 1.70 (59% probability) to edge the I Liga clash.

Poland: I Liga
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 14
Stal Mielec

Stal Mielec

11th in table

L W L D W
FT
2 - 0
Ruch Chorzów

Ruch Chorzów

5th in table

D W W W D
12' A. Komor
61' P. Szwedzik
62' T. Gmur
67' S. Nagamatsu
68' F. Gerbowski
Prediction: 2 (1.70 Odds)
Away Win 59% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.45

Stal Mielec

1.40

1.40 – 1.05

Ruch Chorzów

1.05

Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec S. Lezny

Stal Mielec

3.90

23% implied

Draw

3.60

25% implied

Ruch Chorzów

1.70

52% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Free

-3.5

Odds 1.44 69%
Away Win Free

2

Odds 1.70 59%

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

1

Stal Mielec wins

2

Draws

1

Ruch Chorzów wins

3.3

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

75%

Over 2.5

14 Mar 2026
Ruch Chorzów
2-1
Stal Mielec
31 Aug 2025
Stal Mielec
2-2
Ruch Chorzów
10 Mar 2024
Stal Mielec
3-1
Ruch Chorzów
01 Sep 2023
Ruch Chorzów
1-1
Stal Mielec

I Liga table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Polonia Warszawa
14 7 4 3 23:15 8 25
2
ŁKS Łódź
14 7 4 3 17:12 5 25
3
Polonia Bytom
14 6 6 2 24:20 4 24
4
Lechia Gdansk
14 7 1 6 25:22 3 22
5
Ruch Chorzów
14 6 4 4 17:14 3 22
6
Nieciecza
14 6 4 4 22:20 2 22
7
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
14 6 3 5 20:14 6 21
8
Miedz Legnica
14 5 5 4 20:13 7 20
9
Warta Poznań
14 6 1 7 20:20 0 19
10
Pogoń Siedlce
14 5 4 5 17:17 0 19
11
Stal Mielec
14 5 4 5 19:27 -8 19
12
Arka Gdynia
14 5 3 6 19:17 2 18
13
Stal Rzeszów
14 5 3 6 18:25 -7 18
14
Chrobry Głogów
14 3 6 5 15:17 -2 15
15
Podbeskidzie
14 2 9 3 17:20 -3 15
16
Puszcza Niepołomice
14 4 2 8 16:20 -4 14
17
Unia Skierniewice
14 4 2 8 20:26 -6 14
18
Odra Opole
14 3 3 8 11:21 -10 12

Recent form

Stal Mielec

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Ruch Chorzów 2-0 W
A Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0-1 W
H Chrobry Głogów 0-0 D
A Miedz Legnica 3-0 L
H Warta Poznań 2-1 W
A Lechia Gdansk 7-1 L
H Nieciecza 1-2 L
H Odra Opole 1-1 D
A Pogoń Siedlce 2-0 L
A ŁKS Łódź 4-0 L

Ruch Chorzów

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Stal Mielec 2-0 L
A Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 D
A Znicz Pruszków 0-1 W
H Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2-0 W
H Odra Opole 3-0 W
A ŁKS Łódź 0-2 W
H Lechia Gdansk 1-3 L
A Polonia Bytom 0-0 D
H Podbeskidzie 3-3 D
H Unia Skierniewice 3-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.45

Stal Mielec

1.40

xG

Match

1.40 – 1.05

Ruch Chorzów

1.05

xG

Our tip model

18%
23%
59%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

23%
25%
52%
Stal Mielec Draw Ruch Chorzów

Most likely scores

1:1

13.3%

0:1

11.8%

1:2

11.8%

0:2

11.1%

0:0

7.7%

0:3

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 83%
Over 2.5 goals 60%
Over 3.5 goals 38%
Both teams to score 60%

Team comparison

Stal Mielec Ruch Chorzów
39% Recent form 61%
33% Attack 67%
8% Defence 92%
56% Poisson 44%
50% Head-to-head 50%
54% Goals 46%
40% Overall 60%

Double chance : draw or Ruch Chorzów

Season numbers

When the goals come

6
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
3
3
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
6
3
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
1
4
46-60'
1
9
61-75'
5
5
76-90'
4

Side by side

Stal Mielec Ruch Chorzów
13 Played 13
4 Won 6
4 Drawn 4
5 Lost 3
17 Goals for 17
27 Goals against 12
2 Clean sheets 6
4 Failed to score 4

What comes next

Stal Mielec

Polonia Warszawa (A) 21 Nov HARD
Puszcza Niepołomice (A) 29 Nov EASY
Arka Gdynia (H) 04 Dec EASY
Unia Skierniewice (H) 12 Dec EASY

Ruch Chorzów

Warta Poznań (H) 21 Nov MID
Arka Gdynia (A) 28 Nov EASY
Odra Opole (A) 02 Dec EASY
Puszcza Niepołomice (H) 06 Dec EASY

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.20
83% implied
Under 1.5 4.33
23% implied
Over 2.5 1.67
60% implied
Under 2.5 2.15
47% implied
Over 3.5 2.62
38% implied
Under 3.5 1.44
69% implied
Over 0.5 1.04
96% implied
Under 0.5 13.00
8% implied
Over 4.5 5.00
20% implied
Under 4.5 1.17
85% implied
Over 7.5 41.00
2% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 10.00
10% implied
Under 5.5 1.06
94% implied
Over 6.5 21.00
5% implied
Under 6.5 1.01
99% implied
Yes 1.67
60% implied
No 2.10
48% implied
Home/Draw 2.10
48% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 1.20
83% implied
1:0 15.00
7% implied
2:0 23.00
4% implied
2:1 15.00
7% implied
3:0 51.00
2% implied
3:1 34.00
3% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:0 101.00
1% implied
4:1 67.00
1% implied
0:0 13.00
8% implied
1:1 7.50
13% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 8.50
12% implied
0:2 9.00
11% implied
0:3 13.00
8% implied
1:2 8.50
12% implied
1:3 13.00
8% implied
2:3 23.00
4% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 26.00
4% implied
1:4 23.00
4% implied
2:4 41.00
2% implied
4:2 81.00
1% implied
0:5 51.00
2% implied
0:6 101.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 21.00
5% implied
Draw/Away 4.75
21% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00
17% implied
Home/Home 7.50
13% implied
Draw/Home 10.00
10% implied
Away/Home 34.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Away/Away 2.62
38% implied
Home -0.75 5.75
17% implied
Away -0.75 1.14
88% implied
Home -0.5 4.25
24% implied
Away -0.5 1.21
83% implied
Home -0.25 3.80
26% implied
Away -0.25 1.25
80% implied
Home +0 3.45
29% implied
Away +0 1.30
77% implied
Home +0.25 2.50
40% implied
Away +0.25 1.50
67% implied
Home +0.5 2.10
48% implied
Away +0.5 1.70
59% implied
Home +0.75 1.90
53% implied
Away +0.75 1.90
53% implied
Home +1 1.65
61% implied
Away +1 2.20
45% implied
Home +2 1.19
84% implied
Away +2 4.50
22% implied
Home -1.5 11.00
9% implied
Away -1.5 1.05
95% implied
Home +1.25 1.50
67% implied
Away +1.25 2.50
40% implied
Home +1.5 1.42
70% implied
Away +1.5 2.75
36% implied
Over 10.5 1.80
56% implied
Under 10.5 2.00
50% implied

Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.70 odds).

Stal Mielec are rated 18% by our tip model, with the draw at 23% and Ruch Chorzów at 59%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 3.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 75%.

Double chance : draw or Ruch Chorzów

Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów FAQs

What is the best prediction for Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.70 odds).

Who will win Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?

Model lean: Stal Mielec 18%, draw 23%, Ruch Chorzów 59%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 75% of the time.

When is Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 19:15 UTC , Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu.

More I Liga predictions

Sun, Nov 8 · 11:15 UTC

Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk

Tip 1X Odds 1.36

Sun, Nov 8 · 13:30 UTC

ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Rzeszów

Tip -3.5 Odds 1.50

Sun, Nov 8 · 16:00 UTC

Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Tip X2 Odds 1.62

Match Preview

Stal Mielec and Ruch Chorzów enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 2 at odds of 1.70 (59% probability) to edge the I Liga clash.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów 

Date: Sun, Nov 8, 2026

Time: 19:15 UTC 

Venue: Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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