Manchester United vs Aston Villa

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Aston Villa travel in excellent form (WDWWD) while Manchester United have struggled recently (DDDLL), making 1X at odds of 1.36 our pick for the meeting at Old Trafford.

England: Premier League
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 10
Manchester United

Manchester United

18th in table

D D D L L
FT
4 - 4
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

10th in table

W D W W D
1' Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
4' Nicolas Jackson
16' Bruno Fernandes
44' Youri Tielemans
48' John McGinn
53' Leon Goretzka
57' Ayden Heaven
90+2' Joshua Zirkzee
90+6' Patrick Dorgu
90+7' Zion Suzuki
Prediction: 1X (1.36 Odds) Won
Double Chance 74% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.90

Manchester United

1.50

1.50 – 1.40

Aston Villa

1.40

Old Trafford, Manchester Chris Kavanagh

Manchester United

2.10

45% implied

Draw

3.60

26% implied

Aston Villa

3.30

29% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.36 74%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Manchester United vs Aston Villa

56%   Possession   44%

9   Shots on Target   6

0   Pass Accuracy   0

8   Corner Kicks   1

18   Fouls   9

0 1 2
0 1 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

6

Manchester United wins

1

Draws

2

Aston Villa wins

3.1

Goals / game

67%

Both scored

67%

Over 2.5

15 Mar 2026
Manchester United
3-1
Aston Villa
21 Dec 2025
Aston Villa
2-1
Manchester United
25 May 2025
Manchester United
2-0
Aston Villa
06 Oct 2024
Aston Villa
0-0
Manchester United
11 Feb 2024
Aston Villa
1-2
Manchester United
26 Dec 2023
Manchester United
3-2
Aston Villa
30 Apr 2023
Manchester United
1-0
Aston Villa
10 Nov 2022
Manchester United
4-2
Aston Villa
06 Nov 2022
Aston Villa
3-1
Manchester United

Premier League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 15:5 10 27
2
Brighton
10 7 1 2 26:7 19 22
3
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 21:13 8 21
4
Liverpool
10 5 3 2 14:10 4 18
5
Chelsea
10 5 1 4 19:16 3 16
6
Everton
10 4 4 2 12:10 2 16
7
Bournemouth
10 4 3 3 16:14 2 15
8
Brentford
10 3 5 2 16:11 5 14
9
Leeds
10 3 5 2 10:8 2 14
10
Aston Villa
10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
11
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 10:11 -1 12
12
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 13:16 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 11:11 0 11
14
Ipswich
10 3 2 5 15:20 -5 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 10:12 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 9:13 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 10:19 -9 9
18
Manchester United
10 1 5 4 14:19 -5 8
19
Sunderland
10 2 2 6 8:17 -9 8
20
Crystal Palace
10 2 1 7 10:24 -14 7

Top scorers

Premier League
# Player Team Goals
1
E. Haaland
Manchester City
9
2
A. Isak
Liverpool
7
3
T. Barry
Everton
6
4
N. Jackson
Aston Villa
6
5
Evanilson
Bournemouth
5
6
João Pedro
Chelsea
5
7
R. Cherki
Manchester City
5
8
M. Rogers
Chelsea
5
9
M. Tavernier
Bournemouth
5
10
B. Mbeumo
Manchester United
4

Recent form

Manchester United

1 W 4 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Aston Villa 4-4 D
H AS Roma 3-2 W
A Chelsea 2-0 L
H Bournemouth 0-3 L
A Como 4-1 L
A Leeds 1-1 D
A Atletico Madrid 2-0 L
H Tottenham 1-1 D
A Fulham 1-1 D
H Brighton 2-3 L

Aston Villa

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Manchester United 4-4 D
A Barcelona 3-0 L
H Fulham 1-1 D
A Bournemouth 3-0 L
H Manchester City 2-1 W
H Viking 3-1 W
A Newcastle 0-1 W
H Fenerbahçe 6-0 W
H Brentford 2-2 D
A Sevilla 1-3 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.90

Manchester United

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 1.40

Aston Villa

1.40

xG

Our tip model

74%
14%
12%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

45%
26%
29%
Manchester United Draw Aston Villa

Most likely scores

1:1

12.5%

2:1

10%

2:2

8.3%

1:0

7.7%

1:2

7.7%

2:0

6.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 88%
Over 2.5 goals 65%
Over 3.5 goals 45%
Both teams to score 69%

Team comparison

Manchester United Aston Villa
21% Recent form 79%
25% Attack 75%
43% Defence 57%
50% Poisson 50%
71% Head-to-head 29%
67% Goals 33%
46% Overall 54%

Double chance : Manchester United or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
3
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
1
4
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
1
4
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
4

Side by side

Manchester United Aston Villa
9 Played 9
1 Won 3
4 Drawn 3
4 Lost 3
10 Goals for 10
15 Goals against 13
0 Clean sheets 2
4 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Manchester United

Liverpool (A) 22 Nov HARD
Sporting CP (A) 25 Nov MID
Brentford (H) 28 Nov MID
Newcastle (A) 02 Dec MID

Aston Villa

Sunderland (H) 21 Nov EASY
Galatasaray (A) 24 Nov MID
Ipswich (A) 28 Nov EASY
Everton (H) 02 Dec HARD

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.14
88% implied
Under 1.5 5.50
18% implied
Over 2.5 1.53
65% implied
Under 2.5 2.50
40% implied
Over 3.5 2.20
45% implied
Under 3.5 1.67
60% implied
Over 0.5 1.02
98% implied
Under 0.5 17.00
6% implied
Over 8.5 51.00
2% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 4.00
25% implied
Under 4.5 1.25
80% implied
Over 7.5 26.00
4% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 7.00
14% implied
Under 5.5 1.10
91% implied
Over 6.5 15.00
7% implied
Under 6.5 1.03
97% implied
Yes 1.44
69% implied
No 2.62
38% implied
Home/Draw 1.36
74% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 1.70
59% implied
1:0 13.00
8% implied
2:0 15.00
7% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:0 23.00
4% implied
3:1 17.00
6% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 41.00
2% implied
4:1 34.00
3% implied
0:0 19.00
5% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:2 12.00
8% implied
0:1 17.00
6% implied
0:2 23.00
4% implied
0:3 41.00
2% implied
1:2 13.00
8% implied
1:3 23.00
4% implied
2:3 26.00
4% implied
3:3 34.00
3% implied
0:4 67.00
1% implied
1:4 51.00
2% implied
2:4 51.00
2% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
0:5 151.00
1% implied
1:5 101.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 26.00
4% implied
Draw/Away 8.00
13% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 3.40
29% implied
Draw/Home 6.00
17% implied
Away/Home 21.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 5.00
20% implied
Home -1.25 3.30
30% implied
Away -1.25 1.32
76% implied
Home -1 3.00
33% implied
Away -1 1.38
72% implied
Home -0.5 2.08
48% implied
Away -0.5 1.72
58% implied
Home -0.25 1.85
54% implied
Away -0.25 2.00
50% implied
Home +0 1.58
63% implied
Away +0 2.35
43% implied
Home +0.25 1.45
69% implied
Away +0.25 2.68
37% implied
Home +0.5 1.38
72% implied
Away +0.5 3.00
33% implied
Home +0.75 1.26
79% implied
Away +0.75 3.70
27% implied
Home -2 6.60
15% implied
Away -2 1.11
90% implied
Home +1 1.16
86% implied
Away +1 5.25
19% implied
Home -1.75 4.50
22% implied
Away -1.75 1.19
84% implied
Home -1.5 3.55
28% implied
Away -1.5 1.27
79% implied
Over 9.5 1.73
58% implied
Under 9.5 2.00
50% implied
Over 10 1.95
51% implied
Under 10 1.85
54% implied

Manchester United vs Aston Villa: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.36 odds).

Manchester United are rated 74% by our tip model, with the draw at 14% and Aston Villa at 12%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3.1 goals per game, with BTTS in 67% and over 2.5 in 67%.

Double chance : Manchester United or draw

Manchester United vs Aston Villa FAQs

What is the best prediction for Manchester United vs Aston Villa?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.36 odds).

Who will win Manchester United vs Aston Villa?

Model lean: Manchester United 74%, draw 14%, Aston Villa 12%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 67% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 67% of the time.

When is Manchester United vs Aston Villa?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 16:30 UTC , Old Trafford.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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