Brighton vs Brentford

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Brighton arrive in strong form (WWWLW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Brentford at American Express Stadium, with our model giving this a 78% probability at odds of 1.28.

England: Premier League
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 10
Brighton

Brighton

W W W L W
NS
VS
Brentford

Brentford

W D L D W
Prediction: 1X (1.28 Odds)
Double Chance 78% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Brighton

2.40

2.40 – 0.90

Brentford

0.90

American Express Stadium, Falmer Michael Oliver

Brighton

1.90

50% implied

Draw

3.80

25% implied

Brentford

3.70

26% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

1X

Odds 1.28 78%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10 games

4

Brighton wins

3

Draws

3

Brentford wins

2.5

Goals / game

40%

Both scored

40%

Over 2.5

21 Feb 2026
Brentford
0-2
Brighton
22 Nov 2025
Brighton
2-1
Brentford
19 Apr 2025
Brentford
4-2
Brighton
27 Dec 2024
Brighton
0-0
Brentford
03 Apr 2024
Brentford
0-0
Brighton
06 Dec 2023
Brighton
2-1
Brentford
26 Jul 2023
Brentford
0-2
Brighton
01 Apr 2023
Brighton
3-3
Brentford
14 Oct 2022
Brentford
2-0
Brighton
26 Jul 2022
Brighton
0-1
Brentford

Top scorers

Premier League
# Player Team Goals
1
E. Haaland
Manchester City
9
2
A. Isak
Liverpool
6
3
João Pedro
Chelsea
5
4
M. Rogers
Chelsea
5
5
M. Tavernier
Bournemouth
5
6
N. Jackson
Aston Villa
5
7
Evanilson
Bournemouth
4
8
R. Cherki
Manchester City
4
9
T. Barry
Everton
4
10
B. Mbeumo
Manchester United
4

Recent form

Brighton

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Getafe 0-1 W
A Manchester City 0-1 W
A Liverpool 2-0 L
A FK Jablonec 0-0 D
H Crystal Palace 5-0 W
H Kauno Žalgiris 4-0 W
A Sunderland 0-2 W
H Arsenal 3-0 W
A Manchester United 2-3 W
A Coventry 0-5 W

Brentford

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Nottingham Forest 2-0 W
A Sunderland 3-2 L
A Hull City 1-1 D
H Liverpool 1-2 L
A Aston Villa 2-2 D
H Chelsea 3-0 W
A Reading 1-2 W
A Bournemouth 2-2 D
H Sunderland 1-1 D
A Leeds 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Brighton

2.40

xG

Match

2.40 – 0.90

Brentford

0.90

xG

Our tip model

78%
12%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

50%
25%
26%
Brighton Draw Brentford

Most likely scores

1:1

12.5%

2:1

10.5%

1:0

9.1%

2:0

8.3%

2:2

7.7%

3:1

6.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 85%
Over 2.5 goals 64%
Over 3.5 goals 42%
Both teams to score 65%

Team comparison

Brighton Brentford
60% Recent form 40%
55% Attack 45%
71% Defence 29%
91% Poisson 9%
62% Head-to-head 38%
55% Goals 45%
66% Overall 34%

Double chance : Brighton or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
0
5
31-45'
4
4
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
4
5
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
3

Side by side

Brighton Brentford
9 Played 9
6 Won 3
1 Drawn 5
2 Lost 1
24 Goals for 16
7 Goals against 9
6 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Brighton

Brentford (H) 08 Nov MID
Hull City (A) 22 Nov MID
Universitatea Craiova (H) 26 Nov MID
Newcastle (H) 29 Nov MID

Brentford

Brighton (A) 08 Nov MID
Everton (H) 23 Nov MID
Manchester United (A) 28 Nov MID
Arsenal (H) 02 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.17
85% implied
Under 1.5 5.00
20% implied
Over 2.5 1.57
64% implied
Under 2.5 2.38
42% implied
Over 3.5 2.38
42% implied
Under 3.5 1.57
64% implied
Over 0.5 1.03
97% implied
Under 0.5 15.00
7% implied
Over 4.5 4.33
23% implied
Under 4.5 1.22
82% implied
Over 7.5 29.00
3% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 5.5 1.08
93% implied
Over 6.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 6.5 1.02
98% implied
Yes 1.53
65% implied
No 2.38
42% implied
Home/Draw 1.28
78% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 1.91
52% implied
1:0 11.00
9% implied
2:0 12.00
8% implied
2:1 9.50
11% implied
3:0 19.00
5% implied
3:1 15.00
7% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 34.00
3% implied
4:1 29.00
3% implied
0:0 17.00
6% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
0:1 17.00
6% implied
0:2 26.00
4% implied
0:3 41.00
2% implied
1:2 15.00
7% implied
1:3 29.00
3% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 101.00
1% implied
1:4 51.00
2% implied
2:4 67.00
1% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
0:5 301.00
1:5 151.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 9.00
11% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 3.00
33% implied
Draw/Home 5.50
18% implied
Away/Home 21.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 6.00
17% implied
Home -1.25 2.85
35% implied
Away -1.25 1.40
71% implied
Home -1 2.50
40% implied
Away -1 1.50
67% implied
Home -0.5 1.90
53% implied
Away -0.5 1.95
51% implied
Home -0.25 1.65
61% implied
Away -0.25 2.20
45% implied
Home +0 1.42
70% implied
Away +0 2.75
36% implied
Home +0.25 1.32
76% implied
Away +0.25 3.30
30% implied
Home +0.5 1.27
79% implied
Away +0.5 3.55
28% implied
Home +0.75 1.19
84% implied
Away +0.75 4.50
22% implied
Home -2 5.75
17% implied
Away -2 1.14
88% implied
Home +1 1.10
91% implied
Away +1 6.80
15% implied
Home -1.75 3.90
26% implied
Away -1.75 1.24
81% implied
Home -1.5 3.10
32% implied
Away -1.5 1.35
74% implied
Over 9.5 1.67
60% implied
Under 9.5 2.10
48% implied
Over 10 1.90
53% implied
Under 10 1.90
53% implied

Brighton vs Brentford: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.28 odds).

Brighton are rated 78% by our tip model, with the draw at 12% and Brentford at 10%.

In the last 10 meetings they averaged 2.5 goals per game, with BTTS in 40% and over 2.5 in 40%.

Double chance : Brighton or draw

Brighton vs Brentford FAQs

What is the best prediction for Brighton vs Brentford?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.28 odds).

Who will win Brighton vs Brentford?

Model lean: Brighton 78%, draw 12%, Brentford 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 40% of the last 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 40% of the time.

When is Brighton vs Brentford?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 14:00 UTC , American Express Stadium.

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Tip -3.5 Odds 1.62

Sat, Nov 7 · 15:00 UTC

Fulham vs Newcastle

Tip 1X Odds 1.30

Sat, Nov 7 · 15:00 UTC

Fulham vs Newcastle

Tip -3.5 Odds 1.50

Sat, Nov 7 · 17:30 UTC

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City

Tip 2 Odds 1.73

Sat, Nov 7 · 17:30 UTC

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City

Tip -3.5 Odds 1.50

Match Preview

Brighton arrive in strong form (WWWLW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Brentford at American Express Stadium, with our model giving this a 78% probability at odds of 1.28.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Brighton vs Brentford 

Date: Sun, Nov 8, 2026

Time: 14:00 UTC 

Venue: American Express Stadium, Falmer

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Brighton vs Brentford prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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