Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Sagamihara arrive in strong form (WLDWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Kagoshima United at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, with our model giving this a 78% probability at odds of 1.28.

Japan: J3 League
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 16
Sagamihara

Sagamihara

3rd in table

W L D W W
FT
1 - 0
Kagoshima United

Kagoshima United

4th in table

W W L D D
1' G. Egawa
48' A. Tanahashi
55' Y. Yamada
90+2' Juanma Delgado
Prediction: X2 (1.28 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 78% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Sagamihara

1.25

1.25 – 1.30

Kagoshima United

1.30

Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara City

Sagamihara

3.20

28% implied

Draw

3.30

27% implied

Kagoshima United

2.00

45% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 1.28 78%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

4

Sagamihara wins

0

Draws

5

Kagoshima United wins

2

Goals / game

22%

Both scored

44%

Over 2.5

16 Aug 2025
Kagoshima United
3-0
Sagamihara
01 Mar 2025
Sagamihara
0-2
Kagoshima United
09 Sep 2023
Sagamihara
0-3
Kagoshima United
26 Mar 2023
Kagoshima United
2-1
Sagamihara
20 Aug 2022
Sagamihara
0-1
Kagoshima United
17 Jul 2022
Kagoshima United
0-1
Sagamihara
22 Nov 2020
Kagoshima United
0-1
Sagamihara
02 Aug 2020
Sagamihara
2-1
Kagoshima United
02 Dec 2018
Sagamihara
1-0
Kagoshima United

J3 League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Nara Club
16 10 2 4 33:21 12 32
2
FC Gifu
16 10 1 5 29:15 14 31
3
Sagamihara
16 9 4 3 26:15 11 31
4
Kagoshima United
16 9 4 3 29:19 10 31
5
Renofa Yamaguchi
16 9 3 4 22:13 9 30
6
Osaka
16 8 5 3 27:16 11 29
7
Ehime FC
16 9 2 5 31:25 6 29
8
Roasso Kumamoto
16 6 6 4 18:12 6 24
9
Kanazawa
16 7 2 7 28:21 7 23
10
Parceiro Nagano
16 7 2 7 22:21 1 23
11
FC Ryukyu
16 7 2 7 24:24 0 23
12
Tochigi SC
16 5 6 5 15:16 -1 21
13
Kitakyushu
16 5 4 7 21:24 -3 19
14
Fukushima United
16 5 3 8 31:33 -2 18
15
Matsumoto Yamaga
16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
16
Biwako Shiga
16 5 2 9 19:28 -9 17
17
Gainare Tottori
16 4 3 9 15:30 -15 15
18
Kamatamare Sanuki
16 4 2 10 17:27 -10 14
19
Thespakusatsu Gunma
16 4 1 11 13:31 -18 13
20
Kochi United
16 2 3 11 10:36 -26 9

Recent form

Sagamihara

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Kagoshima United 1-0 W
A Gainare Tottori 0-1 W
A Kochi United 1-3 W
H Tochigi SC 0-0 D
A FC Gifu 2-1 L
A Biwako Shiga 0-2 W
H Kamatamare Sanuki 3-2 W
H Osaka 1-0 W
A Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 D
H Kitakyushu 1-2 L

Kagoshima United

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Sagamihara 1-0 L
A Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 D
H Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 D
A Osaka 2-1 L
H Kochi United 3-1 W
H Ehime FC 4-2 W
A Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 L
A Cerezo Osaka 2-0 L
H Fukushima United 3-2 W
A Kitakyushu 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Sagamihara

1.25

xG

Match

1.25 – 1.30

Kagoshima United

1.30

xG

Our tip model

10%
12%
78%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

28%
27%
45%
Sagamihara Draw Kagoshima United

Most likely scores

1:1

14.3%

0:1

11.8%

1:0

10%

0:0

10%

0:2

9.1%

1:2

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 2.5 goals 54%

Team comparison

Sagamihara Kagoshima United
56% Recent form 44%
41% Attack 59%
70% Defence 30%
48% Poisson 52%
0% Head-to-head 100%
8% Goals 92%
45% Overall 55%

Double chance : draw or Kagoshima United

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
3
6
31-45'
8
4
46-60'
5
3
61-75'
4
4
76-90'
7
3
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
7
5
76-90'
6

Side by side

Sagamihara Kagoshima United
15 Played 15
8 Won 9
4 Drawn 4
3 Lost 2
25 Goals for 29
15 Goals against 18
5 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Sagamihara

Fukushima United (A) 14 Nov EASY
Nara Club (A) 21 Nov HARD
Ehime FC (H) 25 Nov MID
Tochigi SC (A) 29 Nov MID

Kagoshima United

Gainare Tottori (H) 15 Nov EASY
Kanazawa (A) 21 Nov MID
Parceiro Nagano (A) 25 Nov MID
Kamatamare Sanuki (H) 29 Nov EASY

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 2.5 1.85
54% implied
Under 2.5 1.95
51% implied
Home/Draw 1.60
63% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 1.30
77% implied
1:0 10.00
10% implied
2:0 15.00
7% implied
2:1 12.00
8% implied
3:0 26.00
4% implied
3:1 23.00
4% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:0 51.00
2% implied
4:1 41.00
2% implied
0:0 10.00
10% implied
1:1 7.00
14% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 8.50
12% implied
0:2 11.00
9% implied
0:3 19.00
5% implied
1:2 11.00
9% implied
1:3 19.00
5% implied
2:3 29.00
3% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 41.00
2% implied
1:4 41.00
2% implied
2:4 51.00
2% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
0:5 67.00
1% implied
1:5 67.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 26.00
4% implied
Draw/Away 5.50
18% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00
17% implied
Home/Home 4.50
22% implied
Draw/Home 6.50
15% implied
Away/Home 29.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 3.60
28% implied
Home +0.25 1.90
53% implied
Away +0.25 1.90
53% implied
Home +0.5 1.95
51% implied
Away +0.5 1.85
54% implied
Home +0.75 1.80
56% implied
Away +0.75 2.00
50% implied
Over 10.5 1.83
55% implied
Under 10.5 1.83
55% implied

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.28 odds).

Sagamihara are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 12% and Kagoshima United at 78%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 22% and over 2.5 in 44%.

Double chance : draw or Kagoshima United

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.28 odds).

Who will win Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

Model lean: Sagamihara 10%, draw 12%, Kagoshima United 78%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 22% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 44% of the time.

When is Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 05:00 UTC , Sagamihara Gion Stadium.

More J3 League predictions

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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