Lens vs Marseille

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Lens and Marseille enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 2 at odds of 2.90 (34% probability) to edge the Ligue 1 clash.

France: Ligue 1

Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 | | Regular Season - 10

Lens

L W W W L

1 - 2

Marseille

L W W W W

2' Amine Gouiri

20' Florian Thauvin

79' Yassine Titraoui

81' Amine Gouiri

82' Keyliane Abdallah

90+2' Jeffrey De Lange

Prediction: 2 (2.90 Odds)

Away Win 34% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.35

Lens

1.80

1.80 – 1.55

Marseille

1.55

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens Willy Delajod

Lens

2.20

43% implied

Draw

3.90

24% implied

Marseille

2.90

33% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Away Win Free

Odds 2.90 34%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Lens vs Marseille

41% Possession 59%

6 Shots on Target 5

0 Pass Accuracy 0

4 Corner Kicks 6

15 Fouls 8

0 1 1

0 2 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

9 games

Lens wins

Draws

Marseille wins

2.4

Goals / game

56%

Both scored

56%

Over 2.5

24 Jan 2026

Marseille

3-1

Lens

25 Oct 2025

Lens

2-1

Marseille

08 Mar 2025

Marseille

0-1

Lens

23 Nov 2024

Lens

1-3

Marseille

28 Apr 2024

Marseille

2-1

Lens

12 Nov 2023

Lens

1-0

Marseille

06 May 2023

Lens

2-1

Marseille

22 Oct 2022

Marseille

0-1

Lens

22 Jan 2022

Lens

0-2

Marseille

Top scorers

Ligue 1

#	Player	Team	Goals	Assists
1	L. Sinayoko	Paris FC	9	5
2	A. Gouiri	Marseille	7	3
3	E. Lepaul	Rennes	7	0
4	C. Archer	Auxerre	6	0
5	E. Wahi	Nice	6	2
6	L. Ajorque	Stade Brestois 29	5	1
7	B. Dia	Rennes	5	0
8	C. Tengstedt	Toulouse	5	1
9	F. Thauvin	Lens	5	7
10	Gessime Yassine	Strasbourg	4	3

Recent form

Lens

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10

Scored Conceded

H Marseille 1-2 L

H Como 1-9 L

A Lille 1-0 L

H Paris FC 2-1 W

A Club Brugge KV 3-0 L

A Estac Troyes 1-3 W

H Sporting CP 0-2 L

H Lyon 2-1 W

A Standard Liege 0-2 W

A Monaco 2-1 L

Marseille

6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10

Scored Conceded

A Lens 1-2 W

A Bayer Leverkusen 0-1 W

H Toulouse 2-0 W

H Le Havre 4-3 W

A Sturm Graz 1-0 L

A Angers 2-5 W

H Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 L

A Estac Troyes 0-2 W

H Paris Saint Germain 1-2 L

A Beşiktaş 4-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.35

Lens

1.80

Match

1.80 – 1.55

Marseille

1.55

Our tip model

30%

36%

34%

API-Football

10%

45%

Bookmaker

43%

24%

33%

Lens Draw Marseille

Most likely scores

1:1

14.3%

2:1

11.1%

1:0

10%

1:2

9.1%

2:2

8.3%

2:0

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 83%

Over 2.5 goals 60%

Over 3.5 goals 38%

Both teams to score 65%

Team comparison

Lens Marseille

43% Recent form 57%

36% Attack 64%

54% Defence 46%

51% Poisson 49%

40% Head-to-head 60%

40% Goals 60%

44% Overall 56%

Double chance : draw or Marseille

Season numbers

When the goals come

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

Side by side

Lens Marseille

9 Played 9

4 Won 5

1 Drawn 0

4 Lost 4

16 Goals for 20

13 Goals against 13

0 Clean sheets 3

2 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Lens

Toulouse (H) 21 Nov MID

RB Leipzig (A) 24 Nov MID

Angers (A) 28 Nov MID

Le Havre (H) 05 Dec MID

Marseille

Le Mans (H) 22 Nov MID

Levski Sofia (H) 26 Nov MID

Auxerre (A) 29 Nov MID

Nice (H) 06 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %

Over 1.5 1.20

83% implied

Under 1.5 4.50

22% implied

Over 2.5 1.67

60% implied

Under 2.5 2.20

45% implied

Over 3.5 2.62

38% implied

Under 3.5 1.50

67% implied

Over 0.5 1.03

97% implied

Under 0.5 15.00

7% implied

Over 8.5 51.00

2% implied

Under 8.5 1.00

Over 4.5 4.50

22% implied

Under 4.5 1.20

83% implied

Over 7.5 34.00

3% implied

Under 7.5 1.00

Over 5.5 9.00

11% implied

Under 5.5 1.07

93% implied

Over 6.5 19.00

5% implied

Under 6.5 1.02

98% implied

Yes 1.53

65% implied

No 2.38

42% implied

Home/Draw 1.36

74% implied

Home/Away 1.28

78% implied

Draw/Away 1.62

62% implied

1:0 10.00

10% implied

2:0 13.00

8% implied

2:1 9.00

11% implied

3:0 21.00

5% implied

3:1 17.00

6% implied

3:2 21.00

5% implied

4:0 41.00

2% implied

4:1 34.00

3% implied

0:0 15.00

7% implied

1:1 7.00

14% implied

2:2 12.00

8% implied

0:1 13.00

8% implied

0:2 17.00

6% implied

0:3 34.00

3% implied

1:2 11.00

9% implied

1:3 21.00

5% implied

2:3 26.00

4% implied

3:3 34.00

3% implied

0:4 51.00

2% implied

1:4 41.00

2% implied

2:4 51.00

2% implied

4:2 41.00

2% implied

0:5 151.00

1% implied

1:5 101.00

1% implied

Home/Draw 13.00

8% implied

Home/Away 26.00

4% implied

Draw/Away 7.00

14% implied

Draw/Draw 6.00

17% implied

Home/Home 3.60

28% implied

Draw/Home 6.00

17% implied

Away/Home 21.00

5% implied

Away/Draw 13.00

8% implied

Away/Away 4.75

21% implied

Home -1.25 3.70

27% implied

Away -1.25 1.26

79% implied

Home -1 3.30

30% implied

Away -1 1.32

76% implied

Home -0.75 2.60

38% implied

Away -0.75 1.48

68% implied

Home -0.5 2.20

45% implied

Away -0.5 1.65

61% implied

Home -0.25 1.98

51% implied

Away -0.25 1.88

53% implied

Home +0 1.65

61% implied

Away +0 2.20

45% implied

Home +0.25 1.50

67% implied

Away +0.25 2.50

40% implied

Home +0.5 1.40

71% implied

Away +0.5 2.85

35% implied

Home +0.75 1.27

79% implied

Away +0.75 3.55

28% implied

Home -2 7.00

14% implied

Away -2 1.10

91% implied

Home +1 1.17

85% implied

Away +1 5.00

20% implied

Home -1.75 5.50

18% implied

Away -1.75 1.15

87% implied

Over 9.5 1.83

55% implied

Under 9.5 1.83

55% implied

Lens vs Marseille: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (2.90 odds).

Lens are rated 30% by our tip model, with the draw at 36% and Marseille at 34%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 56% and over 2.5 in 56%.

Double chance : draw or Marseille

Lens vs Marseille FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lens vs Marseille?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (2.90 odds).

Who will win Lens vs Marseille?

Model lean: Lens 30%, draw 36%, Marseille 34%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 56% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 56% of the time.

When is Lens vs Marseille?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 19:45 UTC , Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

Injury & Suspension Report

Marseille

D. Cornelius

Hip Injury

Emerson

Jumpers Knee

Lens

O. Édouard

Groin Injury

F. Ivanović

Head Injury

I. Ganiou

Jumpers Knee

M. Nawrocki

Jumpers Knee

A. Sima

Muscle Bruise

Match Preview

Lens and Marseille enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 2 at odds of 2.90 (34% probability) to edge the Ligue 1 clash.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Lens vs Marseille

Date: Sun, Nov 8, 2026

Time: 19:45 UTC

Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Lens vs Marseille prediction, analysis, and odds for today.

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Free 2 Odds

Banker of The Day

1.5 Goals

2.5 Goals

Double Chance

Home Win

Away Win

Super Single

BTTS/GG

Draws

Win Either Half

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Lens vs Marseille

All our tips for this match

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Head to head

Top scorers

Recent form

Lens

Marseille

Who wins? Three ways to read it

Expected Goals (xG)

Most likely scores

Goal lines

Team comparison

Season numbers

When the goals come

Side by side

What comes next

Betting markets

Lens vs Marseille: preview and prediction

Lens vs Marseille FAQs

Injury & Suspension Report

Marseille

Lens

Match Preview

Match Info Summary

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