Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes is +3.5, at odds of 1.67 with a 60% probability rating.

France: Ligue 1
Sat, 7th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 10
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

1st in table

W W W W W
NS
VS
Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes

16th in table

L L L D W
Prediction: +3.5 (1.67 Odds)
3 5 Goals 60% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.40

Paris Saint Germain

1.65

1.65 – 0.75

Estac Troyes

0.75

Parc des Princes, Paris Ruddy Buquet

Paris Saint Germain

1.12

85% implied

Draw

9.00

11% implied

Estac Troyes

19.00

5% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Free

+3.5

Odds 1.67 60%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10 games

9

Paris Saint Germain wins

1

Draws

0

Estac Troyes wins

4.1

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

70%

Over 2.5

07 May 2023
Estac Troyes
1-3
Paris Saint Germain
29 Oct 2022
Paris Saint Germain
4-3
Estac Troyes
08 May 2022
Paris Saint Germain
2-2
Estac Troyes
07 Aug 2021
Estac Troyes
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
03 Mar 2018
Estac Troyes
0-2
Paris Saint Germain
29 Nov 2017
Paris Saint Germain
2-0
Estac Troyes
13 Mar 2016
Estac Troyes
0-9
Paris Saint Germain
28 Nov 2015
Paris Saint Germain
4-1
Estac Troyes
13 Apr 2013
Estac Troyes
0-1
Paris Saint Germain
24 Nov 2012
Paris Saint Germain
4-0
Estac Troyes

Ligue 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
9 6 2 1 21:10 11 20
2
Lille
9 5 3 1 12:6 6 18
3
Lyon
9 5 2 2 15:7 8 17
4
Paris FC
9 5 2 2 16:10 6 17
5
Rennes
9 5 1 3 20:19 1 16
6
Marseille
9 5 0 4 20:13 7 15
7
Monaco
9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
8
Nice
9 4 2 3 13:12 1 14
9
Lens
9 4 1 4 16:13 3 13
10
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 15:14 1 13
11
Stade Brestois 29
9 3 3 3 16:12 4 12
12
Lorient
9 3 3 3 7:8 -1 12
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 18:22 -4 10
14
Auxerre
9 3 1 5 13:23 -10 10
15
Angers
9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
16
Estac Troyes
9 2 2 5 7:16 -9 8
17
Le Mans
9 1 4 4 11:18 -7 7
18
Le Havre
9 0 2 7 9:20 -11 2

Top scorers

Ligue 1
# Player Team Goals
1
L. Sinayoko
Paris FC
8
2
E. Lepaul
Rennes
7
3
C. Archer
Auxerre
6
4
A. Gouiri
Marseille
6
5
E. Wahi
Nice
6
6
C. Tengstedt
Toulouse
5
7
Gessime Yassine
Strasbourg
4
8
Ferran Torres
Paris Saint Germain
4
9
L. Ajorque
Stade Brestois 29
4
10
S. Szymański
Rennes
4

Recent form

Estac Troyes

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Le Mans 2-0 W
A Toulouse 0-0 D
H Lens 1-3 L
H Marseille 0-2 L
A Dijon 2-2 D
A Angers 2-0 L
A Lille 2-0 L
H Strasbourg 2-6 L
A Lorient 1-2 W
H Paris FC 0-0 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.40

Paris Saint Germain

1.65

xG

Match

1.65 – 0.75

Estac Troyes

0.75

xG

Our tip model

50%
50%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

85%
11%
5%
Paris Saint Germain Draw Estac Troyes

Most likely scores

3:0

13.3%

2:0

12.5%

4:0

11.1%

3:1

10%

2:1

9.1%

1:0

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 93%
Over 2.5 goals 78%
Over 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%

Team comparison

Paris Saint Germain Estac Troyes
79% Recent form 21%
83% Attack 17%
64% Defence 36%
80% Poisson 20%
93% Head-to-head 7%
65% Goals 35%
77% Overall 23%

Winner : Paris Saint Germain

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
8
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
6
2
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
3

Side by side

Paris Saint Germain Estac Troyes
9 Played 9
6 Won 2
2 Drawn 2
1 Lost 5
21 Goals for 7
10 Goals against 16
2 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 5

What comes next

Estac Troyes

Paris Saint Germain (A) 07 Nov HARD
Le Havre (H) 20 Nov EASY
Nice (A) 28 Nov MID
Lyon (H) 06 Dec HARD

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.08
93% implied
Under 1.5 8.00
13% implied
Over 2.5 1.28
78% implied
Under 2.5 3.75
27% implied
Over 3.5 1.73
58% implied
Under 3.5 2.10
48% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 26.00
4% implied
Over 8.5 26.00
4% implied
Under 8.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 9.5 51.00
2% implied
Under 9.5 1.00
Over 4.5 2.62
38% implied
Under 4.5 1.50
67% implied
Over 7.5 15.00
7% implied
Under 7.5 1.03
97% implied
Over 5.5 4.50
22% implied
Under 5.5 1.20
83% implied
Over 6.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 6.5 1.08
93% implied
Yes 1.95
51% implied
No 1.80
56% implied
Home/Draw 1.02
98% implied
Home/Away 1.07
93% implied
Draw/Away 6.00
17% implied
1:0 13.00
8% implied
2:0 8.00
13% implied
2:1 11.00
9% implied
3:0 7.50
13% implied
3:1 10.00
10% implied
3:2 26.00
4% implied
4:0 9.00
11% implied
4:1 13.00
8% implied
0:0 29.00
3% implied
1:1 17.00
6% implied
2:2 26.00
4% implied
0:1 51.00
2% implied
0:2 81.00
1% implied
0:3 301.00
1:2 41.00
2% implied
1:3 101.00
1% implied
2:3 81.00
1% implied
3:3 67.00
1% implied
2:4 301.00
4:2 29.00
3% implied
3:4 301.00
5:0 13.00
8% implied
5:1 19.00
5% implied
5:2 41.00
2% implied
Home/Draw 26.00
4% implied
Home/Away 51.00
2% implied
Draw/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Home 1.44
69% implied
Draw/Home 4.00
25% implied
Away/Home 17.00
6% implied
Away/Draw 29.00
3% implied
Away/Away 34.00
3% implied
Home -1.25 1.26
79% implied
Away -1.25 3.70
27% implied
Home -1 1.16
86% implied
Away -1 5.25
19% implied
Home -0.75 1.14
88% implied
Away -0.75 5.75
17% implied
Home -0.5 1.12
89% implied
Away -0.5 6.25
16% implied
Home -3 2.50
40% implied
Away -3 1.50
67% implied
Home -2 1.55
65% implied
Away -2 2.38
42% implied
Home -1.75 1.45
69% implied
Away -1.75 2.68
37% implied
Home -1.5 1.38
72% implied
Away -1.5 3.00
33% implied
Home -4 4.65
22% implied
Away -4 1.18
85% implied
Home -2.5 1.98
51% implied
Away -2.5 1.88
53% implied
Home -2.25 1.72
58% implied
Away -2.25 2.08
48% implied
Home -3.75 3.55
28% implied
Away -3.75 1.27
79% implied
Over 8.5 1.83
55% implied
Under 8.5 1.83
55% implied

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: +3.5 (1.67 odds).

Paris Saint Germain are rated 50% by our tip model, with the draw at 50% and Estac Troyes at 0%.

In the last 10 meetings they averaged 4.1 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 70%.

Winner : Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: +3.5 (1.67 odds).

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?

Model lean: Paris Saint Germain 50%, draw 50%, Estac Troyes 0%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 4.1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 70% of the time.

When is Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?

Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 20:05 UTC , Parc des Princes.

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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