Twente vs Ajax

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Twente arrive in strong form (WDLWW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Ajax at De Grolsch Veste, with our model giving this a 71% probability at odds of 1.40.

Netherlands: Eredivisie
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 12
Twente

Twente

4th in table

W D L W W
NS
VS
Ajax

Ajax

2nd in table

D D W W W
Prediction: 1X (1.40 Odds)
Double Chance 71% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.70

Twente

1.40

1.40 – 2.30

Ajax

2.30

De Grolsch Veste, Enschede Joey Kooij

Twente

2.25

42% implied

Draw

3.80

25% implied

Ajax

2.90

33% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

1X

Odds 1.40 71%
Free Tip Free

BTTS/GG

Odds 1.40 71%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10 games

4

Twente wins

2

Draws

4

Ajax wins

2.7

Goals / game

60%

Both scored

60%

Over 2.5

16 Apr 2026
Ajax
0-1
Twente
04 Apr 2026
Ajax
1-2
Twente
26 Oct 2025
Twente
2-3
Ajax
18 May 2025
Ajax
2-0
Twente
10 Nov 2024
Twente
2-2
Ajax
14 Apr 2024
Ajax
2-1
Twente
17 Sep 2023
Twente
3-1
Ajax
28 May 2023
Twente
3-1
Ajax
09 Feb 2023
Twente
0-1
Ajax
14 Jan 2023
Ajax
0-0
Twente

Eredivisie table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Feyenoord
11 7 4 0 33:12 21 25
2
Ajax
11 7 3 1 30:13 17 24
3
PSV Eindhoven
11 7 2 2 35:13 22 23
4
Twente
11 7 2 2 28:10 18 23
5
AZ Alkmaar
11 6 2 3 20:13 7 20
6
Fortuna Sittard
12 5 5 2 20:20 0 20
7
Heerenveen
11 5 3 3 19:13 6 18
8
GO Ahead Eagles
12 4 5 3 24:27 -3 17
9
Groningen
11 4 3 4 26:24 2 15
10
Cambuur
11 4 3 4 23:22 1 15
11
Utrecht
11 3 3 5 19:31 -12 12
12
Sparta Rotterdam
12 3 3 6 21:29 -8 12
13
PEC Zwolle
12 3 3 6 13:24 -11 12
14
NEC Nijmegen
11 2 5 4 17:19 -2 11
15
Excelsior
12 3 2 7 16:29 -13 11
16
Telstar
12 2 4 6 18:25 -7 10
17
ADO Den Haag
12 2 3 7 16:25 -9 9
18
Willem II
12 0 3 9 11:40 -29 3

Top scorers

Eredivisie
# Player Team Goals
1
S. Tengstedt
GO Ahead Eagles
8
2
B. Willumsson
Groningen
8
3
W. Weghorst
Twente
8
4
M. Zonneveld
Sparta Rotterdam
7
5
G. Til
PSV Eindhoven
7
6
T. van Bergen
Groningen
7
7
J. Brandt
Ajax
6
8
J. Trenskow
Heerenveen
6
9
A. Hadj-Moussa
Feyenoord
6
10
S. Mijnans
PSV Eindhoven
6

Recent form

Twente

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Pafos 3-1 W
A Excelsior 0-9 W
A AZ Alkmaar 0-2 W
A Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-4 W
H Utrecht 1-2 L
H FC Thun 1-0 W
A Fortuna Sittard 1-1 D
H Werder Bremen 7-0 W
H PSV Eindhoven 3-2 W
H ADO Den Haag 2-0 W

Ajax

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A FC Midtjylland 1-6 W
H AZ Alkmaar 1-0 W
A Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 W
H Atalanta 2-0 W
A Groningen 2-5 W
A HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 L
H NEC Nijmegen 1-1 D
H Excelsior 2-2 D
H Willem II 5-1 W
A Fortuna Sittard 1-5 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.70

Twente

1.40

xG

Match

1.40 – 2.30

Ajax

2.30

xG

Our tip model

71%
16%
13%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

42%
25%
33%
Twente Draw Ajax

Most likely scores

1:1

12.5%

2:1

10.5%

2:2

9.1%

1:2

8.3%

1:0

7.7%

2:0

6.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 89%
Over 2.5 goals 69%
Over 3.5 goals 48%
Both teams to score 71%

Team comparison

Twente Ajax
48% Recent form 52%
59% Attack 41%
55% Defence 45%
33% Poisson 67%
50% Head-to-head 50%
47% Goals 53%
49% Overall 51%

Double chance : Twente or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
3
6
31-45'
7
3
46-60'
4
6
61-75'
7
5
76-90'
6
1
0-15'
2
5
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
4

Side by side

Twente Ajax
11 Played 11
7 Won 7
2 Drawn 3
2 Lost 1
28 Goals for 30
10 Goals against 13
4 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Twente

Ajax (H) 08 Nov HARD
Willem II (H) 22 Nov EASY
SC Freiburg (A) 26 Nov MID
NEC Nijmegen (A) 29 Nov EASY

Ajax

Twente (A) 08 Nov HARD
ADO Den Haag (H) 22 Nov EASY
FC Thun (H) 26 Nov MID
Feyenoord (A) 29 Nov HARD

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.12
89% implied
Under 1.5 6.00
17% implied
Over 2.5 1.44
69% implied
Under 2.5 2.70
37% implied
Over 3.5 2.10
48% implied
Under 3.5 1.67
60% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 21.00
5% implied
Over 8.5 51.00
2% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.50
29% implied
Under 4.5 1.28
78% implied
Over 7.5 26.00
4% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 6.50
15% implied
Under 5.5 1.11
90% implied
Over 6.5 13.00
8% implied
Under 6.5 1.04
96% implied
Yes 1.40
71% implied
No 2.75
36% implied
Home/Draw 1.36
74% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 1.67
60% implied
1:0 13.00
8% implied
2:0 15.00
7% implied
2:1 9.50
11% implied
3:0 21.00
5% implied
3:1 15.00
7% implied
3:2 19.00
5% implied
4:0 41.00
2% implied
4:1 29.00
3% implied
0:0 21.00
5% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:2 11.00
9% implied
0:1 17.00
6% implied
0:2 21.00
5% implied
0:3 34.00
3% implied
1:2 12.00
8% implied
1:3 21.00
5% implied
2:3 21.00
5% implied
3:3 29.00
3% implied
0:4 51.00
2% implied
1:4 41.00
2% implied
2:4 41.00
2% implied
4:2 34.00
3% implied
0:5 126.00
1% implied
1:5 81.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 23.00
4% implied
Draw/Away 7.00
14% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 3.50
29% implied
Draw/Home 6.00
17% implied
Away/Home 21.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Away/Away 4.33
23% implied
Home -1.25 3.45
29% implied
Away -1.25 1.30
77% implied
Home -1 3.00
33% implied
Away -1 1.38
72% implied
Home -0.75 2.42
41% implied
Away -0.75 1.52
66% implied
Home -0.5 2.10
48% implied
Away -0.5 1.70
59% implied
Home -0.25 1.80
56% implied
Away -0.25 2.00
50% implied
Home +0 1.60
63% implied
Away +0 2.30
43% implied
Home +0.25 1.48
68% implied
Away +0.25 2.60
38% implied
Home +0.5 1.38
72% implied
Away +0.5 3.00
33% implied
Home +0.75 1.27
79% implied
Away +0.75 3.55
28% implied
Home -2 6.80
15% implied
Away -2 1.10
91% implied
Home +1 1.17
85% implied
Away +1 5.00
20% implied
Home -1.75 4.65
22% implied
Away -1.75 1.18
85% implied
Over 9.5 1.90
53% implied
Under 9.5 1.90
53% implied

Twente vs Ajax: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Twente are rated 71% by our tip model, with the draw at 16% and Ajax at 13%.

In the last 10 meetings they averaged 2.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 60% and over 2.5 in 60%.

Double chance : Twente or draw

Twente vs Ajax FAQs

What is the best prediction for Twente vs Ajax?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Who will win Twente vs Ajax?

Model lean: Twente 71%, draw 16%, Ajax 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 60% of the last 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 60% of the time.

When is Twente vs Ajax?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 13:30 UTC , De Grolsch Veste.

More Eredivisie predictions

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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