Monza vs Atalanta

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 78% probability rating, X2 stands out as the confident call for Monza vs Atalanta in the Serie A, priced at odds of 1.28.

Italy: Serie A
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 11
Monza

Monza

L W L L L
FT
0 - 1
Atalanta

Atalanta

W L D D L
14' Eddy Kouadio
48' Leonardo Colombo
49' Nikola Krstović
85' Éderson José dos Santos
90+2' Charles De Ketelaere
90+2' Andrea Carboni
90+3' Ivan Juric
90+3' Andrea Colpani
90+4' Ivan Juric
Prediction: X2 (1.28 Odds) Won
Double Chance 78% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.95

Monza

2.30

2.30 – 1.65

Atalanta

1.65

Stadio Brianteo, Monza Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta

Monza

3.50

27% implied

Draw

3.60

26% implied

Atalanta

2.05

46% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.28 78%
2.5 Goals Lost

+2.5

Odds 1.57 64%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Monza vs Atalanta

49%   Possession   51%

7   Shots on Target   7

0   Pass Accuracy   0

7   Corner Kicks   2

11   Fouls   6

0 4 1
0 2 0

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6 games

0

Monza wins

0

Draws

6

Atalanta wins

3.5

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

67%

Over 2.5

04 May 2025
Monza
0-4
Atalanta
30 Oct 2024
Atalanta
2-0
Monza
21 Apr 2024
Monza
1-2
Atalanta
02 Sep 2023
Atalanta
3-0
Monza
04 Jun 2023
Atalanta
5-2
Monza
05 Sep 2022
Monza
0-2
Atalanta

Top scorers

Serie A
# Player Team Goals
1
Gustavo Varela
Monza
9
2
D. Malen
AS Roma
8
3
A. Raimondo
Frosinone
8
4
N. Krstović
Atalanta
7
5
M. Thuram
Inter
6
6
A. Rabiot
AC Milan
5
7
T. Douvikas
Como
5
8
A. Cissè
AC Milan
5
9
G. Calò
Frosinone
5
10
D. Maldini
Cagliari
5

Recent form

Monza

2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Atalanta 0-1 L
A Bologna 2-1 L
H Napoli 1-4 L
A Torino 3-2 L
H Cagliari 4-0 W
A Lazio 3-1 L
A Stade Brestois 29 2-2 D
H Cremonese 2-3 L
H Sassuolo 2-1 W
A Lecce 3-2 L

Atalanta

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Monza 0-1 W
H Kairat Almaty 1-1 D
H Parma 0-3 L
A Fiorentina 2-2 D
H Frosinone 4-4 D
A Ajax 2-0 L
A AC Milan 3-2 L
H Pafos 3-1 W
H Venezia 3-1 W
A Juventus 2-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.95

Monza

2.30

xG

Match

2.30 – 1.65

Atalanta

1.65

xG

Our tip model

10%
12%
78%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

27%
26%
46%
Monza Draw Atalanta

Most likely scores

1:1

12.5%

1:2

11.1%

2:2

9.1%

2:1

7.7%

0:1

7.7%

0:2

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 88%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
Over 3.5 goals 48%
Both teams to score 69%

Team comparison

Monza Atalanta
38% Recent form 63%
45% Attack 55%
52% Defence 48%
66% Poisson 34%
0% Head-to-head 100%
16% Goals 84%
43% Overall 57%

Combo Double chance : draw or Atalanta and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
4
2
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
4
4
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
2
5
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
4
5
31-45'
3
5
46-60'
5
5
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
4

Side by side

Monza Atalanta
10 Played 10
2 Won 3
1 Drawn 2
7 Lost 5
17 Goals for 16
24 Goals against 20
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Monza

Fiorentina (H) 23 Nov MID
AS Roma (A) 29 Nov MID
Como (H) 06 Dec MID
Juventus (A) 13 Dec MID

Atalanta

Inter (H) 22 Nov MID
Borac Banja Luka (A) 26 Nov MID
Lecce (A) 29 Nov MID
Lazio (A) 06 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.14
88% implied
Under 1.5 5.50
18% implied
Over 2.5 1.50
67% implied
Under 2.5 2.62
38% implied
Over 3.5 2.10
48% implied
Under 3.5 1.73
58% implied
Over 0.5 1.02
98% implied
Under 0.5 17.00
6% implied
Over 8.5 51.00
2% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.75
27% implied
Under 4.5 1.28
78% implied
Over 7.5 23.00
4% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 6.50
15% implied
Under 5.5 1.11
90% implied
Over 6.5 13.00
8% implied
Under 6.5 1.04
96% implied
Yes 1.44
69% implied
No 2.62
38% implied
Home/Draw 1.80
56% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 1.28
78% implied
1:0 19.00
5% implied
2:0 23.00
4% implied
2:1 13.00
8% implied
3:0 41.00
2% implied
3:1 23.00
4% implied
3:2 23.00
4% implied
4:0 67.00
1% implied
4:1 51.00
2% implied
0:0 21.00
5% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:2 11.00
9% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
0:2 13.00
8% implied
0:3 19.00
5% implied
1:2 9.00
11% implied
1:3 13.00
8% implied
2:3 17.00
6% implied
3:3 29.00
3% implied
0:4 34.00
3% implied
1:4 23.00
4% implied
2:4 34.00
3% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
0:5 51.00
2% implied
0:6 126.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 19.00
5% implied
Draw/Away 5.50
18% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 5.50
18% implied
Draw/Home 8.50
12% implied
Away/Home 26.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Away/Away 3.10
32% implied
Home -1.25 6.40
16% implied
Away -1.25 1.12
89% implied
Home -1 6.00
17% implied
Away -1 1.12
89% implied
Home -0.75 4.25
24% implied
Away -0.75 1.21
83% implied
Home -0.5 3.45
29% implied
Away -0.5 1.30
77% implied
Home -0.25 3.00
33% implied
Away -0.25 1.38
72% implied
Home +0 2.60
38% implied
Away +0 1.48
68% implied
Home +0.25 2.08
48% implied
Away +0.25 1.72
58% implied
Home +0.5 1.80
56% implied
Away +0.5 2.00
50% implied
Home +0.75 1.65
61% implied
Away +0.75 2.20
45% implied
Home +1 1.45
69% implied
Away +1 2.68
37% implied
Home +2 1.14
88% implied
Away +2 5.75
17% implied
Home -1.5 6.80
15% implied
Away -1.5 1.10
91% implied
Over 9 1.88
53% implied
Under 9 1.92
52% implied
Over 9.5 2.10
48% implied
Under 9.5 1.67
60% implied

Monza vs Atalanta: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.28 odds).

Monza are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 12% and Atalanta at 78%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 3.5 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 67%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Atalanta and +1.5 goals

Monza vs Atalanta FAQs

What is the best prediction for Monza vs Atalanta?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.28 odds).

Who will win Monza vs Atalanta?

Model lean: Monza 10%, draw 12%, Atalanta 78%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 67% of the time.

When is Monza vs Atalanta?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 14:00 UTC , Stadio Brianteo.

Injury & Suspension Report

Atalanta

I. Hien
Muscle Bruise

Match Preview

With a 78% probability rating, X2 stands out as the confident call for Monza vs Atalanta in the Serie A, priced at odds of 1.28.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Monza vs Atalanta 

Date: Sun, Nov 8, 2026

Time: 14:00 UTC 

Venue: Stadio Brianteo, Monza

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Monza vs Atalanta prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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