Genoa vs AC Milan

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Genoa arrive in strong form (WLWWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against AC Milan at Luigi Ferraris, with our model giving this a 85% probability at odds of 1.18.

Italy: Serie A
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 11
Genoa

Genoa

W L W W W
FT
1 - 2
AC Milan

AC Milan

D W W L W
13' Alphadjo Cissè
19' Christian Pulisic
28' Sankhoun Diawara
50' Alessandro Marcandalli
50' Adrien Rabiot
76' Christian Pulisic
87' Mario Gila
88' Mikael Ellertsson
90+4' Kingsley Ehizibue
Prediction: X2 (1.18 Odds) Won
Double Chance 85% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Genoa

1.10

1.10 – 1.45

AC Milan

1.45

Luigi Ferraris, Genoa Davide Massa

Genoa

4.50

21% implied

Draw

3.60

26% implied

AC Milan

1.80

53% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.18 85%
1.5 Goals Won

+1.5

Odds 1.36 74%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Genoa vs AC Milan

38%   Possession   62%

5   Shots on Target   2

0   Pass Accuracy   0

3   Corner Kicks   0

14   Fouls   13

0 2 3
1 4 0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10 games

0

Genoa wins

3

Draws

7

AC Milan wins

2.7

Goals / game

60%

Both scored

60%

Over 2.5

17 May 2026
Genoa
1-2
AC Milan
08 Jan 2026
AC Milan
1-1
Genoa
05 May 2025
Genoa
1-2
AC Milan
15 Dec 2024
AC Milan
0-0
Genoa
05 May 2024
AC Milan
3-3
Genoa
07 Oct 2023
Genoa
0-1
AC Milan
15 Apr 2022
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
13 Jan 2022
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
01 Dec 2021
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan
18 Apr 2021
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa

Top scorers

Serie A
# Player Team Goals
1
Gustavo Varela
Monza
9
2
D. Malen
AS Roma
8
3
A. Raimondo
Frosinone
8
4
N. Krstović
Atalanta
7
5
M. Thuram
Inter
6
6
A. Rabiot
AC Milan
5
7
T. Douvikas
Como
5
8
A. Cissè
AC Milan
5
9
G. Calò
Frosinone
5
10
D. Maldini
Cagliari
5

Recent form

Genoa

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H AC Milan 1-2 L
A Lecce 1-2 W
H Juventus 2-0 W
H Venezia 1-0 W
A AS Roma 2-0 L
H Fiorentina 2-1 W
A Rapid 2-0 L
A Parma 2-1 L
H Sudtirol 1-0 W
H Frosinone 1-1 D

AC Milan

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Genoa 1-2 W
H Ferencvarosi TC 0-2 L
H Inter 3-1 W
H Bologna 2-4 L
A Udinese 0-2 W
A Bournemouth 3-0 L
H Atalanta 3-2 W
A Red Bull Salzburg 0-4 W
A Sassuolo 1-1 D
H Lecce 3-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Genoa

1.10

xG

Match

1.10 – 1.45

AC Milan

1.45

xG

Our tip model

7%
8%
85%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

21%
26%
53%
Genoa Draw AC Milan

Most likely scores

1:1

15.4%

0:1

15.4%

0:0

12.5%

0:2

11.8%

1:2

11.1%

1:0

10%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 74%
Over 2.5 goals 45%
Over 3.5 goals 25%
Both teams to score 51%

Team comparison

Genoa AC Milan
55% Recent form 45%
39% Attack 61%
67% Defence 33%
34% Poisson 66%
25% Head-to-head 75%
43% Goals 57%
44% Overall 56%

Double chance : draw or AC Milan

Season numbers

When the goals come

4
0-15'
5
4
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
10
0
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
5

Side by side

Genoa AC Milan
10 Played 10
4 Won 6
1 Drawn 3
5 Lost 1
10 Goals for 21
14 Goals against 12
2 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Genoa

Sassuolo (A) 22 Nov MID
Inter (A) 29 Nov MID
Inter (A) 01 Dec MID
Torino (H) 06 Dec MID

AC Milan

Frosinone (H) 22 Nov MID
Olympiakos Piraeus (A) 26 Nov MID
Cagliari (A) 29 Nov MID
Parma (H) 06 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.36
74% implied
Under 1.5 3.20
31% implied
Over 2.5 2.20
45% implied
Under 2.5 1.67
60% implied
Over 3.5 4.00
25% implied
Under 3.5 1.25
80% implied
Over 0.5 1.07
93% implied
Under 0.5 9.00
11% implied
Over 4.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 4.5 1.08
93% implied
Over 5.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 5.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 6.5 34.00
3% implied
Under 6.5 1.00
Yes 1.95
51% implied
No 1.80
56% implied
Home/Draw 1.80
56% implied
Home/Away 1.30
77% implied
Draw/Away 1.22
82% implied
1:0 10.00
10% implied
2:0 19.00
5% implied
2:1 13.00
8% implied
3:0 41.00
2% implied
3:1 34.00
3% implied
3:2 41.00
2% implied
4:0 101.00
1% implied
4:1 81.00
1% implied
0:0 8.00
13% implied
1:1 6.50
15% implied
2:2 17.00
6% implied
0:1 6.50
15% implied
0:2 8.50
12% implied
0:3 17.00
6% implied
1:2 9.00
11% implied
1:3 17.00
6% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
0:4 41.00
2% implied
1:4 41.00
2% implied
2:4 51.00
2% implied
4:2 101.00
1% implied
0:5 81.00
1% implied
0:6 201.00
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 26.00
4% implied
Draw/Away 4.75
21% implied
Draw/Draw 4.75
21% implied
Home/Home 6.50
15% implied
Draw/Home 8.00
13% implied
Away/Home 34.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 3.10
32% implied
Home -0.75 5.25
19% implied
Away -0.75 1.16
86% implied
Home -0.5 3.80
26% implied
Away -0.5 1.25
80% implied
Home -0.25 3.45
29% implied
Away -0.25 1.30
77% implied
Home +0 2.85
35% implied
Away +0 1.40
71% implied
Home +0.25 2.15
47% implied
Away +0.25 1.68
60% implied
Home +0.5 1.85
54% implied
Away +0.5 2.00
50% implied
Home +0.75 1.62
62% implied
Away +0.75 2.25
44% implied
Home +1 1.40
71% implied
Away +1 2.85
35% implied
Home +2 1.12
89% implied
Away +2 6.25
16% implied
Home -1.5 11.00
9% implied
Away -1.5 1.05
95% implied
Home +1.25 1.32
76% implied
Away +1.25 3.30
30% implied
Home +1.5 1.27
79% implied
Away +1.5 3.55
28% implied
Over 8.5 1.90
53% implied
Under 8.5 1.90
53% implied

Genoa vs AC Milan: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.18 odds).

Genoa are rated 7% by our tip model, with the draw at 8% and AC Milan at 85%.

In the last 10 meetings they averaged 2.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 60% and over 2.5 in 60%.

Double chance : draw or AC Milan

Genoa vs AC Milan FAQs

What is the best prediction for Genoa vs AC Milan?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.18 odds).

Who will win Genoa vs AC Milan?

Model lean: Genoa 7%, draw 8%, AC Milan 85%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 60% of the last 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 60% of the time.

When is Genoa vs AC Milan?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 14:00 UTC , Luigi Ferraris.

Injury & Suspension Report

Genoa

L. Venturino
Jumpers Knee

Match Preview

Genoa arrive in strong form (WLWWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against AC Milan at Luigi Ferraris, with our model giving this a 85% probability at odds of 1.18.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Genoa vs AC Milan 

Date: Sun, Nov 8, 2026

Time: 14:00 UTC 

Venue: Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Genoa vs AC Milan prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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