Universitario vs UCV Moquegua

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Universitario arrive in strong form (DWWWD) and are well-fancied to back +2.5 against UCV Moquegua at Estadio Monumental U Marathon, with our model giving this a 67% probability at odds of 1.50.

Peru: Primera División
Mon, 9th Nov, 2026 Clausura - 16
Universitario

Universitario

2nd in table

D W W W D
FT
2 - 2
UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

17th in table

L W L L D
33' Edgar Lastre
36' William Riveros
43' Juan Diego Lojas
46' Aldair Perleche
53' R. Chipao
59' Gianluca Lapadula
68' William Riveros
75' Jorge Murrugarra
78' Brayan Angulo
Prediction: +2.5 (1.50 Odds) Won
2.5 Goals 67% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.40

Universitario

1.75

1.75 – 0.65

UCV Moquegua

0.65

Estadio Monumental U Marathon, Lima Sebastian Lozano

Universitario

1.14

81% implied

Draw

7.00

13% implied

UCV Moquegua

17.00

5% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Won

+2.5

Odds 1.50 67%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua

68%   Possession   32%

5   Shots on Target   4

0   Pass Accuracy   0

11   Corner Kicks   6

11   Fouls   8

0 2 0
0 3 0

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

0

Universitario wins

1

Draws

0

UCV Moquegua wins

0

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

23 May 2026
UCV Moquegua
0-0
Universitario

Primera División table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Alianza Lima
33 20 9 4 54:24 30 69
2
Universitario
33 17 10 6 59:39 20 61
3
FBC Melgar
33 16 9 8 56:38 18 57
4
Deportivo Garcilaso
33 16 7 10 50:35 15 55
5
Sporting Cristal
33 15 6 12 63:48 15 51
6
Cusco
33 16 3 14 46:47 -1 51
7
Cienciano
33 15 5 13 54:46 8 50
8
Sport Huancayo
33 15 5 13 48:49 -1 50
9
Alianza Atletico
33 14 7 12 49:48 1 49
10
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
33 13 9 11 40:52 -12 48
11
Sport Boys
33 12 10 11 37:35 2 46
12
Juan Pablo II College
33 11 8 14 48:59 -11 41
13
Comerciantes Unidos
33 8 13 12 44:47 -3 37
14
Atletico Grau
33 10 7 16 32:41 -9 37
15
ADT
33 7 11 15 36:48 -12 32
16
FC Cajamarca
33 8 7 18 46:65 -19 31
17
UCV Moquegua
33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
18
UTC Cajamarca
33 5 9 19 38:58 -20 19

Top scorers

Primera División
# Player Team Goals
1
E. Castillo
Alianza Lima
21
2
C. Garcés
Cienciano
18
3
A. Valera
Universitario
18
4
F. Callejo
Cusco
18
5
B. Cuesta
FBC Melgar
15
6
J. Vidales
FBC Melgar
14
7
H. Barcos
Sporting Cristal
13
8
A. Hohberg
Cienciano
12
9
L. Iberico
Sporting Cristal
11
10
L. da Silva
Deportivo Garcilaso
11

Recent form

Universitario

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H UCV Moquegua 2-2 D
H Sport Boys 2-2 D
A Atletico Grau 1-3 W
H Juan Pablo II College 3-0 W
A Alianza Atletico 1-4 W
H FBC Melgar 2-2 D
A Deportivo Garcilaso 4-0 L
A Alianza Lima 1-2 W
H Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 D
A UTC Cajamarca 2-4 W

UCV Moquegua

1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Universitario 2-2 D
H Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-0 D
A ADT 2-0 L
H Alianza Lima 0-1 L
A FC Cajamarca 0-1 W
H Cienciano 0-2 L
A Juan Pablo II College 4-0 L
H Sporting Cristal 1-2 L
A Cusco 2-0 L
H Alianza Atletico 1-4 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.40

Universitario

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 0.65

UCV Moquegua

0.65

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

81%
13%
5%
Universitario Draw UCV Moquegua

Most likely scores

2:0

16.7%

1:0

13.3%

3:0

13.3%

2:1

10.5%

3:1

9.1%

4:0

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 85%
Over 2.5 goals 62%
Over 3.5 goals 40%
Both teams to score 48%

Team comparison

Universitario UCV Moquegua
73% Recent form 27%
93% Attack 7%
45% Defence 55%
83% Poisson 17%
50% Head-to-head 50%
69% Overall 31%

Winner : Universitario

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
6
14
16-30'
4
5
31-45'
3
8
46-60'
8
11
61-75'
3
15
76-90'
3
7
0-15'
2
5
16-30'
5
4
31-45'
10
7
46-60'
9
5
61-75'
5
10
76-90'
13

Side by side

Universitario UCV Moquegua
32 Played 32
17 Won 7
9 Drawn 8
6 Lost 17
57 Goals for 25
37 Goals against 46
9 Clean sheets 9
6 Failed to score 16

What comes next

Universitario

Sport Huancayo (A) 14 Nov MID

UCV Moquegua

Atletico Grau (H) 14 Nov EASY

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.18
85% implied
Under 1.5 4.50
22% implied
Over 2.5 1.62
62% implied
Under 2.5 2.25
44% implied
Over 3.5 2.50
40% implied
Under 3.5 1.50
67% implied
Over 0.5 1.03
97% implied
Under 0.5 15.00
7% implied
Over 8.5 51.00
2% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 4.33
23% implied
Under 4.5 1.20
83% implied
Over 7.5 34.00
3% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 9.00
11% implied
Under 5.5 1.07
93% implied
Over 6.5 19.00
5% implied
Under 6.5 1.02
98% implied
Yes 2.10
48% implied
No 1.67
60% implied
Home/Draw 1.05
95% implied
Home/Away 1.14
88% implied
Draw/Away 3.75
27% implied
1:0 7.50
13% implied
2:0 6.00
17% implied
2:1 9.50
11% implied
3:0 7.50
13% implied
3:1 11.00
9% implied
3:2 29.00
3% implied
4:0 11.00
9% implied
4:1 17.00
6% implied
0:0 15.00
7% implied
1:1 11.00
9% implied
2:2 23.00
4% implied
0:1 26.00
4% implied
0:2 51.00
2% implied
0:3 151.00
1% implied
1:2 34.00
3% implied
1:3 81.00
1% implied
2:3 67.00
1% implied
3:3 67.00
1% implied
0:4 301.00
1:4 351.00
2:4 301.00
4:2 41.00
2% implied
3:4 351.00
5:0 21.00
5% implied
Home/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Home/Away 41.00
2% implied
Draw/Away 17.00
6% implied
Draw/Draw 7.50
13% implied
Home/Home 1.95
51% implied
Draw/Home 4.00
25% implied
Away/Home 19.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 21.00
5% implied
Away/Away 15.00
7% implied
Home -1.25 1.55
65% implied
Away -1.25 2.38
42% implied
Home -1 1.35
74% implied
Away -1 3.10
32% implied
Home -0.75 1.30
77% implied
Away -0.75 3.45
29% implied
Home -0.5 1.25
80% implied
Away -0.5 3.80
26% implied
Home -0.25 1.15
87% implied
Away -0.25 5.50
18% implied
Home +0.5 1.07
93% implied
Away +0.5 9.00
11% implied
Home -3 4.50
22% implied
Away -3 1.19
84% implied
Home -2 2.25
44% implied
Away -2 1.62
62% implied
Home -1.75 1.90
53% implied
Away -1.75 1.90
53% implied
Home -1.5 1.72
58% implied
Away -1.5 2.08
48% implied
Home -4 6.80
15% implied
Away -4 1.10
91% implied
Home -2.5 2.85
35% implied
Away -2.5 1.40
71% implied
Over 9 1.90
53% implied
Under 9 1.90
53% implied
Over 9.5 2.10
48% implied
Under 9.5 1.67
60% implied

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 2.5 Goals: +2.5 (1.50 odds).

Universitario are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and UCV Moquegua at 10%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 0 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Winner : Universitario

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua FAQs

What is the best prediction for Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

Our top tip is 2.5 Goals: +2.5 (1.50 odds).

Who will win Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

Model lean: Universitario 45%, draw 45%, UCV Moquegua 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 0 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

Monday, 9th November 2026 at 01:30 UTC , Estadio Monumental U Marathon.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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