Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Atletico Tucuman arrive in strong form (WW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Independiente, with our model giving this a 80% probability at odds of 1.25.

Argentina: Copa Argentina
Wed, 12th Aug, 2026 Round of 16
Atletico Tucuman

Atletico Tucuman

W W
FT
4 - 0
Independiente

Independiente

W W
11' C. D. Ferreira Namandu
30' S. Montiel
31' N. Lamendola
49' M. Brondo
54' N. Franco
70' N. Lamendola
76' J. Arrayago
88' K. Lomonaco
Prediction: X2 (1.25 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 80% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Atletico Tucuman

1.05

1.05 – 1.50

Independiente

1.50

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario F. Tello

Atletico Tucuman

3.75

25% implied

Draw

3.30

29% implied

Independiente

2.05

46% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 1.25 80%
Draws Lost

X

Odds 3.10 32%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

4

Atletico Tucuman wins

1

Draws

4

Independiente wins

2

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

33%

Over 2.5

01 Nov 2025
Independiente
3-0
Atletico Tucuman
01 May 2025
Atletico Tucuman
2-0
Independiente
10 Dec 2024
Independiente
2-1
Atletico Tucuman
31 Mar 2024
Independiente
1-1
Atletico Tucuman
05 Nov 2023
Atletico Tucuman
1-2
Independiente
23 Jul 2023
Atletico Tucuman
1-0
Independiente
24 Jul 2022
Independiente
0-1
Atletico Tucuman
23 Jun 2022
Atletico Tucuman
0-1
Independiente
24 Aug 2021
Atletico Tucuman
2-0
Independiente

Top scorers

Copa Argentina
# Player Team Goals
1
L. Vietto
San Lorenzo
1
2
M. Rojo
Racing Club
1
3
J. Quintero
River Plate
1
4
J. Novillo
Aldosivi
1
5
Á. Di María
Rosario Central
0
6
S. Arias
Independiente
0
7
E. Salvio
Lanus
0
8
G. Campi
Barracas Central
0
9
L. Bucca
Independ. Rivadavia
0
10
Facundo Gulli
San Lorenzo
0

Recent form

Atletico Tucuman

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Banfield 2-2 D
H Argentinos JRS 1-2 L
A Tigre 0-1 W
H Rosario Central 2-3 L
A Gimnasia L.P. 1-1 D
H Barracas Central 2-3 L
A Aldosivi 1-0 L
H River Plate 1-2 L
A Racing Club 1-2 W
H Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 D

Independiente

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Deportivo Riestra 2-1 W
A Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 D
H Boca Juniors 0-1 L
A Racing Club 1-1 D
A Talleres Cordoba 0-0 D
H Instituto Cordoba 1-4 L
A Union Santa Fe 1-2 W
H San Lorenzo 1-1 D
A Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-1 W
H Gimnasia M. 0-3 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Atletico Tucuman

1.05

xG

Match

1.05 – 1.50

Independiente

1.50

xG

Our tip model

9%
11%
80%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

25%
29%
46%
Atletico Tucuman Draw Independiente

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Atletico Tucuman Independiente
50% Recent form 50%
45% Attack 55%
67% Defence 33%
0% Poisson 100%
29% Head-to-head 71%
38% Goals 62%
46% Overall 54%

Double chance : draw or Independiente

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
2

Side by side

Atletico Tucuman Independiente
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
5 Goals for 6
1 Goals against 2
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Independiente

Argentinos JRS (A) 22 Nov MID

Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.25 odds).

Atletico Tucuman are rated 9% by our tip model, with the draw at 11% and Independiente at 80%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 33%.

Double chance : draw or Independiente

Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.25 odds).

Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente?

Model lean: Atletico Tucuman 9%, draw 11%, Independiente 80%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 33% of the time.

When is Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente?

Wednesday, 12th August 2026 at 22:15 UTC .

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links