Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Independiente del Valle arrive in strong form (WLWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Deportes Tolima at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, with our model giving this a 65% probability at odds of 1.53.

World: CONMEBOL Libertadores
Wed, 26th Aug, 2026 Round of 16
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

W L W W W
FT
3 - 1
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

W W L D L
58' Adrián Parra
59' D. A. Romero Padilla
65' Homer Martinez
70' C. Gonzalez
74' Junior Sornoza
80' Sebastián Guzmán
84' J. Hernandez
90' M. Perello
Prediction: 1 (1.53 Odds) Won
Home Win 65% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.60

Independiente del Valle

2.05

2.05 – 0.55

Deportes Tolima

0.55

Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito D. Herrera

Independiente del Valle

1.53

62% implied

Draw

4.10

23% implied

Deportes Tolima

6.25

15% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.53 65%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima

46%   Possession   54%

7   Shots on Target   3

0   Pass Accuracy   0

3   Corner Kicks   2

3   Fouls   11

0 1 0
2 3 0

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3 games

1

Independiente del Valle wins

1

Draws

1

Deportes Tolima wins

2

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

33%

Over 2.5

19 Aug 2026
Deportes Tolima
0-1
Independiente del Valle
05 May 2022
Deportes Tolima
1-0
Independiente del Valle
14 Apr 2022
Independiente del Valle
2-2
Deportes Tolima

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Flamengo
6 5 1 0 14:2 12 16
2
Estudiantes L.P.
6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
3
Independiente Medellin
6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
4
Cusco
6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1

Top scorers

CONMEBOL Libertadores
# Player Team Goals
1
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
9
2
C. González
Independiente del Valle
7
3
Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
5
4
F. Fydriszewski
Independiente Medellin
4
5
G. de Arrascaeta
Flamengo
4
6
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
4
7
J. López
Palmeiras
4
8
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
4
9
L. Melgarejo
Libertad Asuncion
4
10
J. Arias
Palmeiras
3

Recent form

Independiente del Valle

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Aucas 2-4 W
H Delfin SC 2-0 W
H LDU de Quito 2-0 W
A Delfin SC 0-3 W
H Universidad Catolica 0-0 D
A Macara 1-0 L
H Aucas 2-1 W
A Gualaceo SC 0-2 W
A Flamengo 1-1 D
A Libertad 2-3 W

Deportes Tolima

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Millonarios 2-1 W
A Deportivo Pereira 1-3 W
H Deportivo Pasto 0-1 L
A Águilas Doradas 2-1 L
A Jaguares 3-2 L
A Atletico Nacional 0-0 D
H Chico 0-0 D
A Fortaleza FC 2-2 D
H America de Cali 1-1 D
A Once Caldas 1-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.60

Independiente del Valle

2.05

xG

Match

2.05 – 0.55

Deportes Tolima

0.55

xG

Our tip model

65%
19%
16%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

62%
23%
15%
Independiente del Valle Draw Deportes Tolima

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Independiente del Valle Deportes Tolima
63% Recent form 37%
60% Attack 40%
44% Defence 56%
90% Poisson 10%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
60% Overall 41%

Winner : Independiente del Valle

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
5
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
1
4
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
5
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2

Side by side

Independiente del Valle Deportes Tolima
7 Played 11
5 Won 4
1 Drawn 3
1 Lost 4
12 Goals for 11
6 Goals against 9
3 Clean sheets 6
2 Failed to score 5

What comes next

Independiente del Valle

Macara (H) 22 Nov MID
Barcelona SC (A) 25 Nov MID
Universidad Catolica (A) 29 Nov MID
Universidad Catolica (A) 02 Dec MID

Deportes Tolima

Deportivo Cali (A) 14 Nov MID

Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.53 odds).

Independiente del Valle are rated 65% by our tip model, with the draw at 19% and Deportes Tolima at 16%.

In the last 3 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 33%.

Winner : Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima FAQs

What is the best prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.53 odds).

Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?

Model lean: Independiente del Valle 65%, draw 19%, Deportes Tolima 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 33% of the time.

When is Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?

Wednesday, 26th August 2026 at 00:30 UTC , Estadio Banco Guayaquil.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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