Flamengo vs Cruzeiro

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Flamengo and Cruzeiro enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.65 (61% probability) to edge the CONMEBOL Libertadores clash.

World: CONMEBOL Libertadores
Thu, 20th Aug, 2026 Round of 16
Flamengo

Flamengo

1st in table

W D W W D
FT
2 - 1
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

W D D W D
35' G. de Arrascaeta
51' L. Romero
62' Samuel Lino
70' William Furtado
90+3' Bruno Henrique
90+4' João Costa
Prediction: 1 (1.65 Odds) Won
Home Win 61% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

Flamengo

1.50

1.50 – 0.50

Cruzeiro

0.50

Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro G. Tejera

Flamengo

1.65

57% implied

Draw

3.75

25% implied

Cruzeiro

5.25

18% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.65 61%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro

52%   Possession   48%

9   Shots on Target   3

83%   Pass Accuracy   82%

3   Corner Kicks   6

9   Fouls   13

0 1 0
0 2 0

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

4

Flamengo wins

3

Draws

1

Cruzeiro wins

1.9

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

25%

Over 2.5

13 Aug 2026
Cruzeiro
1-1
Flamengo
12 Mar 2026
Flamengo
2-0
Cruzeiro
02 Oct 2025
Flamengo
0-0
Cruzeiro
04 May 2025
Cruzeiro
2-1
Flamengo
07 Nov 2024
Cruzeiro
0-1
Flamengo
30 Jun 2024
Flamengo
2-1
Cruzeiro
19 Oct 2023
Cruzeiro
0-2
Flamengo
27 May 2023
Flamengo
1-1
Cruzeiro

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Flamengo
6 5 1 0 14:2 12 16
2
Estudiantes L.P.
6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
3
Independiente Medellin
6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
4
Cusco
6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1

Top scorers

CONMEBOL Libertadores
# Player Team Goals
1
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
9
2
C. González
Independiente del Valle
7
3
Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
5
4
F. Fydriszewski
Independiente Medellin
4
5
G. de Arrascaeta
Flamengo
4
6
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
4
7
J. López
Palmeiras
4
8
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
4
9
L. Melgarejo
Libertad Asuncion
4
10
J. Arias
Palmeiras
3

Recent form

Flamengo

7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Gremio 3-1 W
A Vasco DA Gama 1-4 W
H Atletico-MG 3-2 W
A Bahia 0-3 W
A Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 D
H Fluminense 1-0 W
A Santos 2-2 D
H RB Bragantino 2-1 W
H Independiente del Valle 1-1 D
H Corinthians 2-1 W

Cruzeiro

7 W 0 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Bahia 3-2 W
A Atletico-MG 0-1 W
H Remo 1-0 W
A Gremio 2-4 W
A RB Bragantino 4-2 L
H Sao Paulo 2-0 W
A Vitoria 1-3 W
A Santos 2-1 L
H Atletico Paranaense 3-1 W
A Atletico-MG 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

Flamengo

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 0.50

Cruzeiro

0.50

xG

Our tip model

61%
21%
18%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

57%
25%
18%
Flamengo Draw Cruzeiro

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Flamengo Cruzeiro
55% Recent form 45%
59% Attack 41%
40% Defence 60%
73% Poisson 27%
62% Head-to-head 38%
63% Goals 38%
59% Overall 42%

Combo Double chance : Flamengo or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
6
2
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Flamengo Cruzeiro
6 Played 7
4 Won 3
2 Drawn 3
0 Lost 1
12 Goals for 9
3 Goals against 4
3 Clean sheets 4
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Flamengo

Atletico Paranaense (H) 18 Nov MID
Palmeiras (A) 21 Nov MID
Coritiba (A) 29 Nov MID
Chapecoense-sc (H) 03 Dec MID

Cruzeiro

Palmeiras (H) 18 Nov MID
Chapecoense-sc (A) 22 Nov MID
Fluminense (A) 27 Nov MID
Internacional (H) 03 Dec MID

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.65 odds).

Flamengo are rated 61% by our tip model, with the draw at 21% and Cruzeiro at 18%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 1.9 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 25%.

Combo Double chance : Flamengo or draw and -3.5 goals

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro FAQs

What is the best prediction for Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.65 odds).

Who will win Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Model lean: Flamengo 61%, draw 21%, Cruzeiro 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.9 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 25% of the time.

When is Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Thursday, 20th August 2026 at 00:30 UTC .

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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